Urbanization and physician maldistribution: a longitudinal study in Japan

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The relative shortage of physicians in Japan's rural areas is an important issue in health policy. In the 1970s, the Japanese government began a policy to increase the number of medical students and to achieve a better distribut...

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Main Authors: Une Hiroshi, Kobayashi Yasuki, Tanihara Shinichi, Kawachi Ichiro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2011-10-01
Series:BMC Health Services Research
Online Access:http://www.biomedcentral.com/1472-6963/11/260
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author Une Hiroshi
Kobayashi Yasuki
Tanihara Shinichi
Kawachi Ichiro
author_facet Une Hiroshi
Kobayashi Yasuki
Tanihara Shinichi
Kawachi Ichiro
author_sort Une Hiroshi
collection DOAJ
description <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The relative shortage of physicians in Japan's rural areas is an important issue in health policy. In the 1970s, the Japanese government began a policy to increase the number of medical students and to achieve a better distribution of physicians. Beginning in 1985, however, admissions to medical school were reduced to prevent a future oversupply of physicians. In 2007, medical school entrants equaled just 92% of their 1982 peers. The urban annual population growth rate is positive and the rural is negative, a trend that may affect denominator populations and physician distribution.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Our data cover six time points and span a decade: 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, and 2008. The spatial units for analysis are the secondary tier of medical care (STM) as defined by the Medical Service Law and related legislation. We examined trends in the geographic disparities in population and physician distribution among 348 STMs in Japan. We compared populations and the number of physicians per 100,000 populations in each STM. To measure maldistribution quantitatively, we calculated Gini coefficients for physician distribution.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Between 1998 and 2008, the total population and the number of practicing physicians for every 100,000 people increased by 0.95% and 13.6%, respectively. However, the inequality of physician distribution remained constant, although small and mostly rural areas experienced an increase in physician to population ratios. In contrast, as the maldistribution of population escalated during the same period, the Gini coefficient of population rose. Although the absolute number of practicing physicians in small STMs decreased, the fall in the denominator population of the STMs resulted in an increase in the number of practicing physicians per population in those located in rural areas.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>A policy that increased the number of physicians and the physician to population ratios between 1998 and 2008 in all geographic areas of Japan, irrespective of size, did not lead to a more equal geographical distribution of physicians. The ratios of physicians to population in small rural STMs increased because of concurrent trends in urbanization and not because of a rise in the number of practicing physicians.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-ba3154edbc094c00807acf82853883ef2022-12-22T00:56:56ZengBMCBMC Health Services Research1472-69632011-10-0111126010.1186/1472-6963-11-260Urbanization and physician maldistribution: a longitudinal study in JapanUne HiroshiKobayashi YasukiTanihara ShinichiKawachi Ichiro<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The relative shortage of physicians in Japan's rural areas is an important issue in health policy. In the 1970s, the Japanese government began a policy to increase the number of medical students and to achieve a better distribution of physicians. Beginning in 1985, however, admissions to medical school were reduced to prevent a future oversupply of physicians. In 2007, medical school entrants equaled just 92% of their 1982 peers. The urban annual population growth rate is positive and the rural is negative, a trend that may affect denominator populations and physician distribution.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>Our data cover six time points and span a decade: 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, and 2008. The spatial units for analysis are the secondary tier of medical care (STM) as defined by the Medical Service Law and related legislation. We examined trends in the geographic disparities in population and physician distribution among 348 STMs in Japan. We compared populations and the number of physicians per 100,000 populations in each STM. To measure maldistribution quantitatively, we calculated Gini coefficients for physician distribution.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Between 1998 and 2008, the total population and the number of practicing physicians for every 100,000 people increased by 0.95% and 13.6%, respectively. However, the inequality of physician distribution remained constant, although small and mostly rural areas experienced an increase in physician to population ratios. In contrast, as the maldistribution of population escalated during the same period, the Gini coefficient of population rose. Although the absolute number of practicing physicians in small STMs decreased, the fall in the denominator population of the STMs resulted in an increase in the number of practicing physicians per population in those located in rural areas.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>A policy that increased the number of physicians and the physician to population ratios between 1998 and 2008 in all geographic areas of Japan, irrespective of size, did not lead to a more equal geographical distribution of physicians. The ratios of physicians to population in small rural STMs increased because of concurrent trends in urbanization and not because of a rise in the number of practicing physicians.</p>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1472-6963/11/260
spellingShingle Une Hiroshi
Kobayashi Yasuki
Tanihara Shinichi
Kawachi Ichiro
Urbanization and physician maldistribution: a longitudinal study in Japan
BMC Health Services Research
title Urbanization and physician maldistribution: a longitudinal study in Japan
title_full Urbanization and physician maldistribution: a longitudinal study in Japan
title_fullStr Urbanization and physician maldistribution: a longitudinal study in Japan
title_full_unstemmed Urbanization and physician maldistribution: a longitudinal study in Japan
title_short Urbanization and physician maldistribution: a longitudinal study in Japan
title_sort urbanization and physician maldistribution a longitudinal study in japan
url http://www.biomedcentral.com/1472-6963/11/260
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AT kobayashiyasuki urbanizationandphysicianmaldistributionalongitudinalstudyinjapan
AT taniharashinichi urbanizationandphysicianmaldistributionalongitudinalstudyinjapan
AT kawachiichiro urbanizationandphysicianmaldistributionalongitudinalstudyinjapan