Access to Heart Transplantation: A Proper Analysis of the Competing Risks of Death and Transplantation Is Required to Optimize Graft Allocation

Background. Heart allocation systems are usually urgency-based, offering grafts to candidates at high risk of waitlist mortality. In the context of a revision of the heart allocation rules, we determined observed predictors of 1-year waitlist mortality in France, considering the competing risk of tr...

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Main Authors: Christelle Cantrelle, MS, Camille Legeai, MD, MS, Aurélien Latouche, PhD, Philippe Tuppin, MD, PhD, Carine Jasseron, PhD, Laurent Sebbag, MD, Olivier Bastien, MD, PhD, Richard Dorent, MD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer 2017-08-01
Series:Transplantation Direct
Online Access:http://journals.lww.com/transplantationdirect/fulltext/10.1097/TXD.0000000000000711
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author Christelle Cantrelle, MS
Camille Legeai, MD, MS
Aurélien Latouche, PhD
Philippe Tuppin, MD, PhD
Carine Jasseron, PhD
Laurent Sebbag, MD
Olivier Bastien, MD, PhD
Richard Dorent, MD
author_facet Christelle Cantrelle, MS
Camille Legeai, MD, MS
Aurélien Latouche, PhD
Philippe Tuppin, MD, PhD
Carine Jasseron, PhD
Laurent Sebbag, MD
Olivier Bastien, MD, PhD
Richard Dorent, MD
author_sort Christelle Cantrelle, MS
collection DOAJ
description Background. Heart allocation systems are usually urgency-based, offering grafts to candidates at high risk of waitlist mortality. In the context of a revision of the heart allocation rules, we determined observed predictors of 1-year waitlist mortality in France, considering the competing risk of transplantation, to determine which candidate subgroups are favored or disadvantaged by the current allocation system. Methods. Patients registered on the French heart waitlist between 2010 and 2013 were included. Cox cause-specific hazards and Fine and Gray subdistribution hazards were used to determine candidate characteristics associated with waitlist mortality and access to transplantation. Results. Of the 2053 candidates, 7 variables were associated with 1-year waitlist mortality by the Fine and Gray method including 4 candidate characteristics related to heart failure severity (hospitalization at listing, serum natriuretic peptide level, systolic pulmonary artery pressure, and glomerular filtration rate) and 3 characteristics not associated with heart failure severity but with lower access to transplantation (blood type, age, and body mass index). Observed waitlist mortality for candidates on mechanical circulatory support was like that of others. Conclusions. The heart allocation system strongly modifies the risk of pretransplant mortality related to heart failure severity. An in-depth competing risk analysis is therefore a more appropriate method to evaluate graft allocation systems. This knowledge should help to prioritize candidates in the context of a limited donor pool.
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spelling doaj.art-ba57a15397ce4798b966177fcee3690b2022-12-21T19:49:30ZengWolters KluwerTransplantation Direct2373-87312017-08-0138e19810.1097/TXD.0000000000000711201708000-0014Access to Heart Transplantation: A Proper Analysis of the Competing Risks of Death and Transplantation Is Required to Optimize Graft AllocationChristelle Cantrelle, MS0Camille Legeai, MD, MS1Aurélien Latouche, PhD2Philippe Tuppin, MD, PhD3Carine Jasseron, PhD4Laurent Sebbag, MD5Olivier Bastien, MD, PhD6Richard Dorent, MD71 Agence de la Biomédecine, Saint Denis, France.1 Agence de la Biomédecine, Saint Denis, France.2 Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers, Paris, France.3 Caisse Nationale d’Assurance Maladie des Travailleurs Salariés, Paris, France.1 Agence de la Biomédecine, Saint Denis, France.4 Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France.1 Agence de la Biomédecine, Saint Denis, France.1 Agence de la Biomédecine, Saint Denis, France.Background. Heart allocation systems are usually urgency-based, offering grafts to candidates at high risk of waitlist mortality. In the context of a revision of the heart allocation rules, we determined observed predictors of 1-year waitlist mortality in France, considering the competing risk of transplantation, to determine which candidate subgroups are favored or disadvantaged by the current allocation system. Methods. Patients registered on the French heart waitlist between 2010 and 2013 were included. Cox cause-specific hazards and Fine and Gray subdistribution hazards were used to determine candidate characteristics associated with waitlist mortality and access to transplantation. Results. Of the 2053 candidates, 7 variables were associated with 1-year waitlist mortality by the Fine and Gray method including 4 candidate characteristics related to heart failure severity (hospitalization at listing, serum natriuretic peptide level, systolic pulmonary artery pressure, and glomerular filtration rate) and 3 characteristics not associated with heart failure severity but with lower access to transplantation (blood type, age, and body mass index). Observed waitlist mortality for candidates on mechanical circulatory support was like that of others. Conclusions. The heart allocation system strongly modifies the risk of pretransplant mortality related to heart failure severity. An in-depth competing risk analysis is therefore a more appropriate method to evaluate graft allocation systems. This knowledge should help to prioritize candidates in the context of a limited donor pool.http://journals.lww.com/transplantationdirect/fulltext/10.1097/TXD.0000000000000711
spellingShingle Christelle Cantrelle, MS
Camille Legeai, MD, MS
Aurélien Latouche, PhD
Philippe Tuppin, MD, PhD
Carine Jasseron, PhD
Laurent Sebbag, MD
Olivier Bastien, MD, PhD
Richard Dorent, MD
Access to Heart Transplantation: A Proper Analysis of the Competing Risks of Death and Transplantation Is Required to Optimize Graft Allocation
Transplantation Direct
title Access to Heart Transplantation: A Proper Analysis of the Competing Risks of Death and Transplantation Is Required to Optimize Graft Allocation
title_full Access to Heart Transplantation: A Proper Analysis of the Competing Risks of Death and Transplantation Is Required to Optimize Graft Allocation
title_fullStr Access to Heart Transplantation: A Proper Analysis of the Competing Risks of Death and Transplantation Is Required to Optimize Graft Allocation
title_full_unstemmed Access to Heart Transplantation: A Proper Analysis of the Competing Risks of Death and Transplantation Is Required to Optimize Graft Allocation
title_short Access to Heart Transplantation: A Proper Analysis of the Competing Risks of Death and Transplantation Is Required to Optimize Graft Allocation
title_sort access to heart transplantation a proper analysis of the competing risks of death and transplantation is required to optimize graft allocation
url http://journals.lww.com/transplantationdirect/fulltext/10.1097/TXD.0000000000000711
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