Future state of climate in Vojvodina and expected effects on crop production

Effects of climate change on agriculture are particularly significant in undeveloped and developing countries (such as Serbia), due to difficult economic situation and low investments in production improvement. A detailed study of current and future state of climate is the key stone for cost-effecti...

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Main Authors: Lalić Branislava, Mihailović Dragutin T., Podraščanin Zorica
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Institute of field and vegetable crops, Novi Sad 2011-01-01
Series:Ratarstvo i Povrtarstvo
Subjects:
Online Access:http://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1821-3944/2011/1821-39441102403L.pdf
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author Lalić Branislava
Mihailović Dragutin T.
Podraščanin Zorica
author_facet Lalić Branislava
Mihailović Dragutin T.
Podraščanin Zorica
author_sort Lalić Branislava
collection DOAJ
description Effects of climate change on agriculture are particularly significant in undeveloped and developing countries (such as Serbia), due to difficult economic situation and low investments in production improvement. A detailed study of current and future state of climate is the key stone for cost-effective and sustainable system of adaptation measures to climate change in the region such as Vojvodina, which is the most important agricultural part of Serbia. This article presents a detailed comparative analysis of the previous (1985-2005) and future (until 2040 and 2080) state of climate in Vojvodina region and its impact on the growing conditions of certain field crops. Data on expected climate conditions in 2040 and 2080 at six selected sites were obtained by applying statistical downscaling technique on outputs used from the three climate models (ECHAM5, HadCM3, NCAR-PCM). The expected changes in winter wheat yield were calculated using the crop model SIRIUS and by taking into account the assumed changes in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. Adequate adaptation measures are proposed based on the obtained results.
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spelling doaj.art-baa58fa3ea0c4f8f9c5b3934fb1cba5a2022-12-22T01:18:14ZengInstitute of field and vegetable crops, Novi SadRatarstvo i Povrtarstvo1821-39442217-83922011-01-0148240341810.5937/ratpov1102403L1821-39441102403LFuture state of climate in Vojvodina and expected effects on crop productionLalić Branislava0Mihailović Dragutin T.1Podraščanin Zorica2University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Science, Novi Sad, SerbiaEffects of climate change on agriculture are particularly significant in undeveloped and developing countries (such as Serbia), due to difficult economic situation and low investments in production improvement. A detailed study of current and future state of climate is the key stone for cost-effective and sustainable system of adaptation measures to climate change in the region such as Vojvodina, which is the most important agricultural part of Serbia. This article presents a detailed comparative analysis of the previous (1985-2005) and future (until 2040 and 2080) state of climate in Vojvodina region and its impact on the growing conditions of certain field crops. Data on expected climate conditions in 2040 and 2080 at six selected sites were obtained by applying statistical downscaling technique on outputs used from the three climate models (ECHAM5, HadCM3, NCAR-PCM). The expected changes in winter wheat yield were calculated using the crop model SIRIUS and by taking into account the assumed changes in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. Adequate adaptation measures are proposed based on the obtained results.http://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1821-3944/2011/1821-39441102403L.pdfadaptation measuresclimate changeclimate simulationscrop modelsyield
spellingShingle Lalić Branislava
Mihailović Dragutin T.
Podraščanin Zorica
Future state of climate in Vojvodina and expected effects on crop production
Ratarstvo i Povrtarstvo
adaptation measures
climate change
climate simulations
crop models
yield
title Future state of climate in Vojvodina and expected effects on crop production
title_full Future state of climate in Vojvodina and expected effects on crop production
title_fullStr Future state of climate in Vojvodina and expected effects on crop production
title_full_unstemmed Future state of climate in Vojvodina and expected effects on crop production
title_short Future state of climate in Vojvodina and expected effects on crop production
title_sort future state of climate in vojvodina and expected effects on crop production
topic adaptation measures
climate change
climate simulations
crop models
yield
url http://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1821-3944/2011/1821-39441102403L.pdf
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AT podrascaninzorica futurestateofclimateinvojvodinaandexpectedeffectsoncropproduction