Determination of a Key Pandemic Parameter of the SIR-Epidemic Model from Past COVID-19 Mutant Waves and Its Variation for the Validity of the Gaussian Evolution

Determination of a Key Pandemic Parameter of the SIR-Epidemic Model from Past COVID-19 Mutant Waves and Its Variation for the Validity of the Gaussian Evolution

Monitored differential infection rates of past corona waves are used to infer, a posteriori, the real time variation of the ratio of recovery to infection rate as a key parameter of the SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered/removed) epidemic model. From monitored corona waves in five different countri...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Reinhard Schlickeiser, Martin Kröger
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-02-01
Series:Physics
Subjects:
coronavirus
epidemic model
COVID-19
statistical analysis of time series
SIR model parameter estimation
pandemic spreading
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2624-8174/5/1/16

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