Association of primary care characteristics with variations in mortality rates in England: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: Wide variations in mortality rates persist between different areas in England, despite an overall steady decline. To evaluate a conceptual model that might explain how population and service characteristics influence population mortality variations, an overall null hypothesis was tested:...

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Main Authors: Louis S Levene, John Bankart, Kamlesh Khunti, Richard Baker
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2012-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3480536?pdf=render
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author Louis S Levene
John Bankart
Kamlesh Khunti
Richard Baker
author_facet Louis S Levene
John Bankart
Kamlesh Khunti
Richard Baker
author_sort Louis S Levene
collection DOAJ
description BACKGROUND: Wide variations in mortality rates persist between different areas in England, despite an overall steady decline. To evaluate a conceptual model that might explain how population and service characteristics influence population mortality variations, an overall null hypothesis was tested: variations in primary healthcare service do not predict variations in mortality at population level, after adjusting for population characteristics. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: In an observational study of all 152 English primary care trusts (geographical groupings of population and primary care services, total population 52 million), routinely available published data from 2008 and 2009 were modelled using negative binomial regression. Counts for all-cause, coronary heart disease, all cancers, stroke, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease mortality were analyzed using explanatory variables of relevant population and service-related characteristics, including an age-correction factor. The main predictors of mortality variations were population characteristics, especially age and socio-economic deprivation. For the service characteristics, a 1% increase in the percentage of patients on a primary care hypertension register was associated with decreases in coronary heart disease mortality of 3% (95% CI 1-4%, p = 0.006) and in stroke mortality of 6% (CI 3-9%, p<0.0001); a 1% increase in the percentage of patients recalling being better able to see their preferred doctor was associated with decreases in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease mortality of 0.7% (CI 0.2-2.0%, p = 0.02) and in all cancer mortality of 0.3% (CI 0.1-0.5%, p = 0.009) (continuity of care). The study found no evidence of an association at primary care trust population level between variations in achievement of pay for performance and mortality. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Some primary healthcare service characteristics were also associated with variations in mortality at population level, supporting the conceptual model. Health care system reforms should strengthen these characteristics by delivering cost-effective evidence-based interventions to whole populations, and fostering sustained patient-provider partnerships.
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spelling doaj.art-bb0271670a164fb5a311a92a8a13cb642022-12-21T19:25:39ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032012-01-01710e4780010.1371/journal.pone.0047800Association of primary care characteristics with variations in mortality rates in England: an observational study.Louis S LeveneJohn BankartKamlesh KhuntiRichard BakerBACKGROUND: Wide variations in mortality rates persist between different areas in England, despite an overall steady decline. To evaluate a conceptual model that might explain how population and service characteristics influence population mortality variations, an overall null hypothesis was tested: variations in primary healthcare service do not predict variations in mortality at population level, after adjusting for population characteristics. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: In an observational study of all 152 English primary care trusts (geographical groupings of population and primary care services, total population 52 million), routinely available published data from 2008 and 2009 were modelled using negative binomial regression. Counts for all-cause, coronary heart disease, all cancers, stroke, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease mortality were analyzed using explanatory variables of relevant population and service-related characteristics, including an age-correction factor. The main predictors of mortality variations were population characteristics, especially age and socio-economic deprivation. For the service characteristics, a 1% increase in the percentage of patients on a primary care hypertension register was associated with decreases in coronary heart disease mortality of 3% (95% CI 1-4%, p = 0.006) and in stroke mortality of 6% (CI 3-9%, p<0.0001); a 1% increase in the percentage of patients recalling being better able to see their preferred doctor was associated with decreases in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease mortality of 0.7% (CI 0.2-2.0%, p = 0.02) and in all cancer mortality of 0.3% (CI 0.1-0.5%, p = 0.009) (continuity of care). The study found no evidence of an association at primary care trust population level between variations in achievement of pay for performance and mortality. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Some primary healthcare service characteristics were also associated with variations in mortality at population level, supporting the conceptual model. Health care system reforms should strengthen these characteristics by delivering cost-effective evidence-based interventions to whole populations, and fostering sustained patient-provider partnerships.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3480536?pdf=render
spellingShingle Louis S Levene
John Bankart
Kamlesh Khunti
Richard Baker
Association of primary care characteristics with variations in mortality rates in England: an observational study.
PLoS ONE
title Association of primary care characteristics with variations in mortality rates in England: an observational study.
title_full Association of primary care characteristics with variations in mortality rates in England: an observational study.
title_fullStr Association of primary care characteristics with variations in mortality rates in England: an observational study.
title_full_unstemmed Association of primary care characteristics with variations in mortality rates in England: an observational study.
title_short Association of primary care characteristics with variations in mortality rates in England: an observational study.
title_sort association of primary care characteristics with variations in mortality rates in england an observational study
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3480536?pdf=render
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