Distributional Transformation Improves Decoding Accuracy When Predicting Chronological Age From Structural MRI

When predicting a certain subject-level variable (e.g., age in years) from measured biological data (e.g., structural MRI scans), the decoding algorithm does not always preserve the distribution of the variable to predict. In such a situation, distributional transformation (DT), i.e., mapping the pr...

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Main Author: Joram Soch
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-12-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychiatry
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyt.2020.604268/full
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Joram Soch
Joram Soch
author_facet Joram Soch
Joram Soch
Joram Soch
author_sort Joram Soch
collection DOAJ
description When predicting a certain subject-level variable (e.g., age in years) from measured biological data (e.g., structural MRI scans), the decoding algorithm does not always preserve the distribution of the variable to predict. In such a situation, distributional transformation (DT), i.e., mapping the predicted values to the variable's distribution in the training data, might improve decoding accuracy. Here, we tested the potential of DT within the 2019 Predictive Analytics Competition (PAC) which aimed at predicting chronological age of adult human subjects from structural MRI data. In a low-dimensional setting, i.e., with less features than observations, we applied multiple linear regression, support vector regression and deep neural networks for out-of-sample prediction of subject age. We found that (i) when the number of features is low, no method outperforms linear regression; and (ii) except when using deep regression, distributional transformation increases decoding performance, reducing the mean absolute error (MAE) by about half a year. We conclude that DT can be advantageous when predicting variables that are non-controlled, but have an underlying distribution in healthy or diseased populations.
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spelling doaj.art-bb146140a5be407897e946a65d363b532022-12-21T22:55:24ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychiatry1664-06402020-12-011110.3389/fpsyt.2020.604268604268Distributional Transformation Improves Decoding Accuracy When Predicting Chronological Age From Structural MRIJoram Soch0Joram Soch1Joram Soch2Berlin Center for Advanced Neuroimaging, Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, and Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, GermanyBerlin Center for Computational Neuroscience, Berlin, GermanyGerman Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, Göttingen, GermanyWhen predicting a certain subject-level variable (e.g., age in years) from measured biological data (e.g., structural MRI scans), the decoding algorithm does not always preserve the distribution of the variable to predict. In such a situation, distributional transformation (DT), i.e., mapping the predicted values to the variable's distribution in the training data, might improve decoding accuracy. Here, we tested the potential of DT within the 2019 Predictive Analytics Competition (PAC) which aimed at predicting chronological age of adult human subjects from structural MRI data. In a low-dimensional setting, i.e., with less features than observations, we applied multiple linear regression, support vector regression and deep neural networks for out-of-sample prediction of subject age. We found that (i) when the number of features is low, no method outperforms linear regression; and (ii) except when using deep regression, distributional transformation increases decoding performance, reducing the mean absolute error (MAE) by about half a year. We conclude that DT can be advantageous when predicting variables that are non-controlled, but have an underlying distribution in healthy or diseased populations.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyt.2020.604268/fullchronological agestructural MRIpredictiondecodingmachine learningstructural neuroimaging
spellingShingle Joram Soch
Joram Soch
Joram Soch
Distributional Transformation Improves Decoding Accuracy When Predicting Chronological Age From Structural MRI
Frontiers in Psychiatry
chronological age
structural MRI
prediction
decoding
machine learning
structural neuroimaging
title Distributional Transformation Improves Decoding Accuracy When Predicting Chronological Age From Structural MRI
title_full Distributional Transformation Improves Decoding Accuracy When Predicting Chronological Age From Structural MRI
title_fullStr Distributional Transformation Improves Decoding Accuracy When Predicting Chronological Age From Structural MRI
title_full_unstemmed Distributional Transformation Improves Decoding Accuracy When Predicting Chronological Age From Structural MRI
title_short Distributional Transformation Improves Decoding Accuracy When Predicting Chronological Age From Structural MRI
title_sort distributional transformation improves decoding accuracy when predicting chronological age from structural mri
topic chronological age
structural MRI
prediction
decoding
machine learning
structural neuroimaging
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyt.2020.604268/full
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