Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of China’s economic development performance under carbon emission constraints

Abstract Background China’s high-quality economic development depends on achieving sustainable economic development, reaching peak carbon emissions, achieving carbon neutrality, and intensifying the development of an industrial and energy structure that saves resources and protects the environment....

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Main Authors: Zhixiang Xie, Rongqin Zhao, Liangang Xiao, Minglei Ding
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-08-01
Series:Carbon Balance and Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-023-00235-z
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author Zhixiang Xie
Rongqin Zhao
Liangang Xiao
Minglei Ding
author_facet Zhixiang Xie
Rongqin Zhao
Liangang Xiao
Minglei Ding
author_sort Zhixiang Xie
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background China’s high-quality economic development depends on achieving sustainable economic development, reaching peak carbon emissions, achieving carbon neutrality, and intensifying the development of an industrial and energy structure that saves resources and protects the environment. This study used the data envelopment analysis (DEA) model and the Malmquist productivity index to measure the economic development performance of mainland China under carbon emission constraints. Then, it described the spatiotemporal evolution of economic development performance and analyzed its influencing factors using the Tobit model. Results The results revealed that there were obvious differences in the trends of the static and dynamic performance of economic development. On the one hand, the static performance of economic development exhibited an upward trend from 2008 to 2020. Its distribution characteristics were dominant in the higher and high-level areas. On the other hand, the dynamic performance had a downward trend from 2008 to 2016 and then an upward trend from 2016 to 2020. In most provinces, the dynamic performance was no longer constrained by technological progress but rather by scale efficiency. It was found that the main factors influencing economic development performance were urbanization level, energy efficiency, vegetation coverage, and foreign investment, while other factors had no significant influence. Conclusions This study suggests that China should improve its economic development performance by increasing the use of clean energy, promoting human-centered urbanization, increasing carbon absorption capacity, and absorbing more foreign capital in the future.
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spelling doaj.art-bb507d0e0e11429cba251979dd70b8bd2023-11-26T12:17:32ZengBMCCarbon Balance and Management1750-06802023-08-0118111410.1186/s13021-023-00235-zSpatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of China’s economic development performance under carbon emission constraintsZhixiang Xie0Rongqin Zhao1Liangang Xiao2Minglei Ding3College of Surveying and Geo-Informatics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric PowerCollege of Surveying and Geo-Informatics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric PowerCollege of Surveying and Geo-Informatics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric PowerCollege of Surveying and Geo-Informatics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric PowerAbstract Background China’s high-quality economic development depends on achieving sustainable economic development, reaching peak carbon emissions, achieving carbon neutrality, and intensifying the development of an industrial and energy structure that saves resources and protects the environment. This study used the data envelopment analysis (DEA) model and the Malmquist productivity index to measure the economic development performance of mainland China under carbon emission constraints. Then, it described the spatiotemporal evolution of economic development performance and analyzed its influencing factors using the Tobit model. Results The results revealed that there were obvious differences in the trends of the static and dynamic performance of economic development. On the one hand, the static performance of economic development exhibited an upward trend from 2008 to 2020. Its distribution characteristics were dominant in the higher and high-level areas. On the other hand, the dynamic performance had a downward trend from 2008 to 2016 and then an upward trend from 2016 to 2020. In most provinces, the dynamic performance was no longer constrained by technological progress but rather by scale efficiency. It was found that the main factors influencing economic development performance were urbanization level, energy efficiency, vegetation coverage, and foreign investment, while other factors had no significant influence. Conclusions This study suggests that China should improve its economic development performance by increasing the use of clean energy, promoting human-centered urbanization, increasing carbon absorption capacity, and absorbing more foreign capital in the future.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-023-00235-zCarbon emission constraintsEconomic development performanceTechnical efficiencyMalmquist productivity indexTotal factor productivityTobit regression model
spellingShingle Zhixiang Xie
Rongqin Zhao
Liangang Xiao
Minglei Ding
Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of China’s economic development performance under carbon emission constraints
Carbon Balance and Management
Carbon emission constraints
Economic development performance
Technical efficiency
Malmquist productivity index
Total factor productivity
Tobit regression model
title Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of China’s economic development performance under carbon emission constraints
title_full Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of China’s economic development performance under carbon emission constraints
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of China’s economic development performance under carbon emission constraints
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of China’s economic development performance under carbon emission constraints
title_short Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of China’s economic development performance under carbon emission constraints
title_sort spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of china s economic development performance under carbon emission constraints
topic Carbon emission constraints
Economic development performance
Technical efficiency
Malmquist productivity index
Total factor productivity
Tobit regression model
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-023-00235-z
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AT rongqinzhao spatiotemporalevolutionandinfluencingfactorsofchinaseconomicdevelopmentperformanceundercarbonemissionconstraints
AT liangangxiao spatiotemporalevolutionandinfluencingfactorsofchinaseconomicdevelopmentperformanceundercarbonemissionconstraints
AT mingleiding spatiotemporalevolutionandinfluencingfactorsofchinaseconomicdevelopmentperformanceundercarbonemissionconstraints