Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration (3-month vs. 28-day) prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions: systematic review and economic modelling

Background: To reduce expenditure on, and wastage of, drugs, some commissioners have encouraged general practitioners to issue shorter prescriptions, typically 28 days in length; however, the evidence base for this recommendation is uncertain. Objective: To evaluate the evidence of the clinical effe...

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Main Authors: Céline Miani, Adam Martin, Josephine Exley, Brett Doble, Ed Wilson, Rupert Payne, Anthony Avery, Catherine Meads, Anne Kirtley, Molly Morgan Jones, Sarah King
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: NIHR Journals Library 2017-12-01
Series:Health Technology Assessment
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3310/hta21780
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author Céline Miani
Adam Martin
Josephine Exley
Brett Doble
Ed Wilson
Rupert Payne
Anthony Avery
Catherine Meads
Anne Kirtley
Molly Morgan Jones
Sarah King
author_facet Céline Miani
Adam Martin
Josephine Exley
Brett Doble
Ed Wilson
Rupert Payne
Anthony Avery
Catherine Meads
Anne Kirtley
Molly Morgan Jones
Sarah King
author_sort Céline Miani
collection DOAJ
description Background: To reduce expenditure on, and wastage of, drugs, some commissioners have encouraged general practitioners to issue shorter prescriptions, typically 28 days in length; however, the evidence base for this recommendation is uncertain. Objective: To evaluate the evidence of the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of shorter versus longer prescriptions for people with stable chronic conditions treated in primary care. Design/data sources: The design of the study comprised three elements. First, a systematic review comparing 28-day prescriptions with longer prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions treated in primary care, evaluating any relevant clinical outcomes, adherence to treatment, costs and cost-effectiveness. Databases searched included MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Web of Science and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Searches were from database inception to October 2015 (updated search to June 2016 in PubMed). Second, a cost analysis of medication wastage associated with < 60-day and ≥ 60-day prescriptions for five patient cohorts over an 11-year period from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Third, a decision model adapting three existing models to predict costs and effects of differing adherence levels associated with 28-day versus 3-month prescriptions in three clinical scenarios. Review methods: In the systematic review, from 15,257 unique citations, 54 full-text papers were reviewed and 16 studies were included, five of which were abstracts and one of which was an extended conference abstract. None was a randomised controlled trial: 11 were retrospective cohort studies, three were cross-sectional surveys and two were cost studies. No information on health outcomes was available. Results: An exploratory meta-analysis based on six retrospective cohort studies suggested that lower adherence was associated with 28-day prescriptions (standardised mean difference –0.45, 95% confidence interval –0.65 to –0.26). The cost analysis showed that a statistically significant increase in medication waste was associated with longer prescription lengths. However, when accounting for dispensing fees and prescriber time, longer prescriptions were found to be cost saving compared with shorter prescriptions. Prescriber time was the largest component of the calculated cost savings to the NHS. The decision modelling suggested that, in all three clinical scenarios, longer prescription lengths were associated with lower costs and higher quality-adjusted life-years. Limitations: The available evidence was found to be at a moderate to serious risk of bias. All of the studies were conducted in the USA, which was a cause for concern in terms of generalisability to the UK. No evidence of the direct impact of prescription length on health outcomes was found. The cost study could investigate prescriptions issued only; it could not assess patient adherence to those prescriptions. Additionally, the cost study was based on products issued only and did not account for underlying patient diagnoses. A lack of good-quality evidence affected our decision modelling strategy. Conclusions: Although the quality of the evidence was poor, this study found that longer prescriptions may be less costly overall, and may be associated with better adherence than 28-day prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions being treated in primary care. Future work: There is a need to more reliably evaluate the impact of differing prescription lengths on adherence, on patient health outcomes and on total costs to the NHS. The priority should be to identify patients with particular conditions or characteristics who should receive shorter or longer prescriptions. To determine the need for any further research, an expected value of perfect information analysis should be performed. Study registration: This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42015027042. Funding: The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.
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spelling doaj.art-bb5a0e78dd51483393d69e5b17bb127a2022-12-22T01:53:58ZengNIHR Journals LibraryHealth Technology Assessment1366-52782046-49242017-12-01217810.3310/hta2178014/159/07Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration (3-month vs. 28-day) prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions: systematic review and economic modellingCéline Miani0Adam Martin1Josephine Exley2Brett Doble3Ed Wilson4Rupert Payne5Anthony Avery6Catherine Meads7Anne Kirtley8Molly Morgan Jones9Sarah King10Cambridge Centre for Health Services Research, RAND Europe, Cambridge, UKCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, RAND Europe, Cambridge, UKCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, RAND Europe, Cambridge, UKCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, Cambridge Institute of Public Health, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UKCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, Cambridge Institute of Public Health, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UKCentre for Academic Primary Care, School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UKSchool of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UKCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, RAND Europe, Cambridge, UKCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, RAND Europe, Cambridge, UKCambridge Centre for Health Services Research, RAND Europe, Cambridge, UKCambridge Institute of Public Health, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UKBackground: To reduce expenditure on, and wastage of, drugs, some commissioners have encouraged general practitioners to issue shorter prescriptions, typically 28 days in length; however, the evidence base for this recommendation is uncertain. Objective: To evaluate the evidence of the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of shorter versus longer prescriptions for people with stable chronic conditions treated in primary care. Design/data sources: The design of the study comprised three elements. First, a systematic review comparing 28-day prescriptions with longer prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions treated in primary care, evaluating any relevant clinical outcomes, adherence to treatment, costs and cost-effectiveness. Databases searched included MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Web of Science and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Searches were from database inception to October 2015 (updated search to June 2016 in PubMed). Second, a cost analysis of medication wastage associated with < 60-day and ≥ 60-day prescriptions for five patient cohorts over an 11-year period from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Third, a decision model adapting three existing models to predict costs and effects of differing adherence levels associated with 28-day versus 3-month prescriptions in three clinical scenarios. Review methods: In the systematic review, from 15,257 unique citations, 54 full-text papers were reviewed and 16 studies were included, five of which were abstracts and one of which was an extended conference abstract. None was a randomised controlled trial: 11 were retrospective cohort studies, three were cross-sectional surveys and two were cost studies. No information on health outcomes was available. Results: An exploratory meta-analysis based on six retrospective cohort studies suggested that lower adherence was associated with 28-day prescriptions (standardised mean difference –0.45, 95% confidence interval –0.65 to –0.26). The cost analysis showed that a statistically significant increase in medication waste was associated with longer prescription lengths. However, when accounting for dispensing fees and prescriber time, longer prescriptions were found to be cost saving compared with shorter prescriptions. Prescriber time was the largest component of the calculated cost savings to the NHS. The decision modelling suggested that, in all three clinical scenarios, longer prescription lengths were associated with lower costs and higher quality-adjusted life-years. Limitations: The available evidence was found to be at a moderate to serious risk of bias. All of the studies were conducted in the USA, which was a cause for concern in terms of generalisability to the UK. No evidence of the direct impact of prescription length on health outcomes was found. The cost study could investigate prescriptions issued only; it could not assess patient adherence to those prescriptions. Additionally, the cost study was based on products issued only and did not account for underlying patient diagnoses. A lack of good-quality evidence affected our decision modelling strategy. Conclusions: Although the quality of the evidence was poor, this study found that longer prescriptions may be less costly overall, and may be associated with better adherence than 28-day prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions being treated in primary care. Future work: There is a need to more reliably evaluate the impact of differing prescription lengths on adherence, on patient health outcomes and on total costs to the NHS. The priority should be to identify patients with particular conditions or characteristics who should receive shorter or longer prescriptions. To determine the need for any further research, an expected value of perfect information analysis should be performed. Study registration: This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42015027042. Funding: The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.https://doi.org/10.3310/hta21780prescriptionchronic conditionslong-term conditionssystematic reviewprimary careeconomic analysiscprdmodellingeffectivenesscost-effectiveness
spellingShingle Céline Miani
Adam Martin
Josephine Exley
Brett Doble
Ed Wilson
Rupert Payne
Anthony Avery
Catherine Meads
Anne Kirtley
Molly Morgan Jones
Sarah King
Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration (3-month vs. 28-day) prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions: systematic review and economic modelling
Health Technology Assessment
prescription
chronic conditions
long-term conditions
systematic review
primary care
economic analysis
cprd
modelling
effectiveness
cost-effectiveness
title Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration (3-month vs. 28-day) prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions: systematic review and economic modelling
title_full Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration (3-month vs. 28-day) prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions: systematic review and economic modelling
title_fullStr Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration (3-month vs. 28-day) prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions: systematic review and economic modelling
title_full_unstemmed Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration (3-month vs. 28-day) prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions: systematic review and economic modelling
title_short Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration (3-month vs. 28-day) prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions: systematic review and economic modelling
title_sort clinical effectiveness and cost effectiveness of issuing longer versus shorter duration 3 month vs 28 day prescriptions in patients with chronic conditions systematic review and economic modelling
topic prescription
chronic conditions
long-term conditions
systematic review
primary care
economic analysis
cprd
modelling
effectiveness
cost-effectiveness
url https://doi.org/10.3310/hta21780
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