A Chronological Overview of Scientific Research on Ship Grounding Frequency Estimation Models
In the global maritime industry, ship grounding represents about one-third of commercial groundings. Grounding is a type of accident where the hull of a ship strikes the seabed, causing damage to the hull. This type of accident can lead to damage to the hull and water penetration, but also to the po...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2022-02-01
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| Series: | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/2/207 |
| _version_ | 1797478991977775104 |
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| author | Stipe Galić Zvonimir Lušić Saša Mladenović Anita Gudelj |
| author_facet | Stipe Galić Zvonimir Lušić Saša Mladenović Anita Gudelj |
| author_sort | Stipe Galić |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | In the global maritime industry, ship grounding represents about one-third of commercial groundings. Grounding is a type of accident where the hull of a ship strikes the seabed, causing damage to the hull. This type of accident can lead to damage to the hull and water penetration, but also to the pollution of the marine environment by the spillage of ship fuel or some liquid cargo carried by the ship. This paper presents a chronological overview of the contribution of ship grounding frequency, where one of the first ideas of grounding probability was presented by Macduff (1974) and Fuji (1974) in their models. Their ideas, such as grounding candidates and causing probability, laid the foundation for the development of future models. After their models, years later, other models continued to be developed; e.g., analytically (Macduff, Fujii, Amrowitcz, etc.) and statistically (Pedersen, Simonsen, etc.). To find the probability of grounding in an area of interest or in a scenario, it is necessary to have the number of grounding candidates and the causing probability. There are different internal and external factors that affect both probabilities, and in this paper, we analyze how various authors approach their grounding models and have tried to show the actual event as faithfully as possible and thus contribute to greater safety in maritime transport. The number of grounding frequency models significantly complicates their selection in practice; accordingly, the review of models in this paper should facilitate this, but also it should facilitate future research on this topic. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T21:39:31Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-bba90e261e9249b286c6c2eb597dc4ce |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2077-1312 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T21:39:31Z |
| publishDate | 2022-02-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
| spelling | doaj.art-bba90e261e9249b286c6c2eb597dc4ce2023-11-23T20:35:14ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122022-02-0110220710.3390/jmse10020207A Chronological Overview of Scientific Research on Ship Grounding Frequency Estimation ModelsStipe Galić0Zvonimir Lušić1Saša Mladenović2Anita Gudelj3Faculty of Maritime Studies, University of Split, 21000 Split, CroatiaFaculty of Maritime Studies, University of Split, 21000 Split, CroatiaFaculty of Science, University of Split, 21000 Split, CroatiaFaculty of Maritime Studies, University of Split, 21000 Split, CroatiaIn the global maritime industry, ship grounding represents about one-third of commercial groundings. Grounding is a type of accident where the hull of a ship strikes the seabed, causing damage to the hull. This type of accident can lead to damage to the hull and water penetration, but also to the pollution of the marine environment by the spillage of ship fuel or some liquid cargo carried by the ship. This paper presents a chronological overview of the contribution of ship grounding frequency, where one of the first ideas of grounding probability was presented by Macduff (1974) and Fuji (1974) in their models. Their ideas, such as grounding candidates and causing probability, laid the foundation for the development of future models. After their models, years later, other models continued to be developed; e.g., analytically (Macduff, Fujii, Amrowitcz, etc.) and statistically (Pedersen, Simonsen, etc.). To find the probability of grounding in an area of interest or in a scenario, it is necessary to have the number of grounding candidates and the causing probability. There are different internal and external factors that affect both probabilities, and in this paper, we analyze how various authors approach their grounding models and have tried to show the actual event as faithfully as possible and thus contribute to greater safety in maritime transport. The number of grounding frequency models significantly complicates their selection in practice; accordingly, the review of models in this paper should facilitate this, but also it should facilitate future research on this topic.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/2/207ship groundinggrounding frequencyprobability of groundinganalytical modelsstatistical models |
| spellingShingle | Stipe Galić Zvonimir Lušić Saša Mladenović Anita Gudelj A Chronological Overview of Scientific Research on Ship Grounding Frequency Estimation Models Journal of Marine Science and Engineering ship grounding grounding frequency probability of grounding analytical models statistical models |
| title | A Chronological Overview of Scientific Research on Ship Grounding Frequency Estimation Models |
| title_full | A Chronological Overview of Scientific Research on Ship Grounding Frequency Estimation Models |
| title_fullStr | A Chronological Overview of Scientific Research on Ship Grounding Frequency Estimation Models |
| title_full_unstemmed | A Chronological Overview of Scientific Research on Ship Grounding Frequency Estimation Models |
| title_short | A Chronological Overview of Scientific Research on Ship Grounding Frequency Estimation Models |
| title_sort | chronological overview of scientific research on ship grounding frequency estimation models |
| topic | ship grounding grounding frequency probability of grounding analytical models statistical models |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/2/207 |
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