Response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and ENSO
Abstract The upper tropospheric water vapor is a key component of Earth's climate. Understanding variations in upper tropospheric water vapor and identifying its influencing factors is crucial for enhancing our comprehension of global climate change. While many studies have shown the impact of...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2024-03-01
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| Series: | Scientific Reports |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-56639-5 |
| _version_ | 1827316073542713344 |
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| author | Li Li Zhiping Chen Bingkun Wang Jiao Fan Tieding Lu Kaiyun Lv |
| author_facet | Li Li Zhiping Chen Bingkun Wang Jiao Fan Tieding Lu Kaiyun Lv |
| author_sort | Li Li |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract The upper tropospheric water vapor is a key component of Earth's climate. Understanding variations in upper tropospheric water vapor and identifying its influencing factors is crucial for enhancing our comprehension of global climate change. While many studies have shown the impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global warming on water vapor, how they affect the upper tropospheric water vapor remains unclear. Long-term, high-precision ERA5 specific humidity data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) provided the data foundation for this study. On this basis, we successfully obtained the patterns of global warming (Independent Component 1, IC1) and ENSO (Independent Component 2, IC2) by employing the strategy of independent component analysis (ICA) combined with non-parametric optimal dimension selection to investigate the upper tropospheric water vapor variations and responses to ENSO and global warming. The results indicate that global warming and ENSO are the primary factors contributing to water vapor variations in the upper troposphere, achieving the significant correlations of 0.87 and 0.61 with water vapor anomalies respectively. Together, they account for 86% of the global interannual variations in water vapor. Consistent with previous studies, our findings also find positive anomalies in upper tropospheric water vapor during El Niño years and negative anomalies during La Niña years. Moreover, the influence extent of ENSO on upper tropospheric water vapor varies with the changing seasons. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-24T23:08:27Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-bbe6588005744cb890a1ab20e46ff761 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2045-2322 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-24T23:08:27Z |
| publishDate | 2024-03-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Scientific Reports |
| spelling | doaj.art-bbe6588005744cb890a1ab20e46ff7612024-03-17T12:22:49ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-03-0114111210.1038/s41598-024-56639-5Response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and ENSOLi Li0Zhiping Chen1Bingkun Wang2Jiao Fan3Tieding Lu4Kaiyun Lv5School of Surveying and Geoinformation Engineering, East China University of TechnologySchool of Surveying and Geoinformation Engineering, East China University of TechnologySchool of Surveying and Geoinformation Engineering, East China University of TechnologySchool of Surveying and Geoinformation Engineering, East China University of TechnologySchool of Surveying and Geoinformation Engineering, East China University of TechnologySchool of Surveying and Geoinformation Engineering, East China University of TechnologyAbstract The upper tropospheric water vapor is a key component of Earth's climate. Understanding variations in upper tropospheric water vapor and identifying its influencing factors is crucial for enhancing our comprehension of global climate change. While many studies have shown the impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global warming on water vapor, how they affect the upper tropospheric water vapor remains unclear. Long-term, high-precision ERA5 specific humidity data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) provided the data foundation for this study. On this basis, we successfully obtained the patterns of global warming (Independent Component 1, IC1) and ENSO (Independent Component 2, IC2) by employing the strategy of independent component analysis (ICA) combined with non-parametric optimal dimension selection to investigate the upper tropospheric water vapor variations and responses to ENSO and global warming. The results indicate that global warming and ENSO are the primary factors contributing to water vapor variations in the upper troposphere, achieving the significant correlations of 0.87 and 0.61 with water vapor anomalies respectively. Together, they account for 86% of the global interannual variations in water vapor. Consistent with previous studies, our findings also find positive anomalies in upper tropospheric water vapor during El Niño years and negative anomalies during La Niña years. Moreover, the influence extent of ENSO on upper tropospheric water vapor varies with the changing seasons.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-56639-5 |
| spellingShingle | Li Li Zhiping Chen Bingkun Wang Jiao Fan Tieding Lu Kaiyun Lv Response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and ENSO Scientific Reports |
| title | Response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and ENSO |
| title_full | Response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and ENSO |
| title_fullStr | Response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and ENSO |
| title_full_unstemmed | Response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and ENSO |
| title_short | Response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and ENSO |
| title_sort | response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and enso |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-56639-5 |
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