Relative age effect in elite soccer: More early-born players, but no better valued, and no paragon clubs or countries.

The paper analyses two datasets of elite soccer players (top 1000 professionals and UEFA Under-19 Youth League). In both, we find a Relative Age Effect (RAE) for frequency, but not for value. That is, while there are more players born at the start of the competition year, their transfer values are n...

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Main Authors: John R Doyle, Paul A Bottomley
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2018-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5805271?pdf=render
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author John R Doyle
Paul A Bottomley
author_facet John R Doyle
Paul A Bottomley
author_sort John R Doyle
collection DOAJ
description The paper analyses two datasets of elite soccer players (top 1000 professionals and UEFA Under-19 Youth League). In both, we find a Relative Age Effect (RAE) for frequency, but not for value. That is, while there are more players born at the start of the competition year, their transfer values are no higher, nor are they given more game time. We use Poisson regression to derive a transparent index of the discrimination present in RAE. Also, because Poisson is valid for small frequency counts, it supports analysis at the disaggregated levels of country and club. From this, we conclude there are no paragon clubs or countries immune to RAE; that is clubs and countries do not differ systematically in the RAE they experience; also, that Poisson regression is a powerful and flexible method of analysing RAE data.
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spelling doaj.art-bbf2110e45b346e99649c93090995ba72022-12-21T23:51:51ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032018-01-01132e019220910.1371/journal.pone.0192209Relative age effect in elite soccer: More early-born players, but no better valued, and no paragon clubs or countries.John R DoylePaul A BottomleyThe paper analyses two datasets of elite soccer players (top 1000 professionals and UEFA Under-19 Youth League). In both, we find a Relative Age Effect (RAE) for frequency, but not for value. That is, while there are more players born at the start of the competition year, their transfer values are no higher, nor are they given more game time. We use Poisson regression to derive a transparent index of the discrimination present in RAE. Also, because Poisson is valid for small frequency counts, it supports analysis at the disaggregated levels of country and club. From this, we conclude there are no paragon clubs or countries immune to RAE; that is clubs and countries do not differ systematically in the RAE they experience; also, that Poisson regression is a powerful and flexible method of analysing RAE data.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5805271?pdf=render
spellingShingle John R Doyle
Paul A Bottomley
Relative age effect in elite soccer: More early-born players, but no better valued, and no paragon clubs or countries.
PLoS ONE
title Relative age effect in elite soccer: More early-born players, but no better valued, and no paragon clubs or countries.
title_full Relative age effect in elite soccer: More early-born players, but no better valued, and no paragon clubs or countries.
title_fullStr Relative age effect in elite soccer: More early-born players, but no better valued, and no paragon clubs or countries.
title_full_unstemmed Relative age effect in elite soccer: More early-born players, but no better valued, and no paragon clubs or countries.
title_short Relative age effect in elite soccer: More early-born players, but no better valued, and no paragon clubs or countries.
title_sort relative age effect in elite soccer more early born players but no better valued and no paragon clubs or countries
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5805271?pdf=render
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AT paulabottomley relativeageeffectinelitesoccermoreearlybornplayersbutnobettervaluedandnoparagonclubsorcountries