How Effective are Capital Controls? Evidence from Malaysia

This paper examines the role of capital controls as a macroeconomic policy tool in light of the Malaysian experience. It consists of an econometric analysis of quarterly data over the period 1990–2010 using newly constructed capital inflow and outflow policy indexes as well as analytical narratives...

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Main Authors: Prema-Chandra Athukorala, Juthathip Jongwanich
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: World Scientific Publishing 2012-12-01
Series:Asian Development Review
Online Access:https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S0116110512500096
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author Prema-Chandra Athukorala
Juthathip Jongwanich
author_facet Prema-Chandra Athukorala
Juthathip Jongwanich
author_sort Prema-Chandra Athukorala
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the role of capital controls as a macroeconomic policy tool in light of the Malaysian experience. It consists of an econometric analysis of quarterly data over the period 1990–2010 using newly constructed capital inflow and outflow policy indexes as well as analytical narratives of episodes of controls imposed on inflows (1994) and outflows (1998–1999). The findings suggest that well-targeted controls have the potential to tame both short-term capital inflows and outflows without exerting a backwash effect on foreign direct investment, at least in the short to medium term. Controls on capital inflows introduced in the first half of 1994 helped moderate accumulation of short-term capital flows, particularly short-term bank credit. During 1998–1999, carefully designed temporary capital controls were successful in providing Malaysian policymakers a viable setting for applying the standard Keynesian therapy.
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spelling doaj.art-bc0d6eb9357d48b79507ff3c671eff2e2023-06-28T08:50:44ZengWorld Scientific PublishingAsian Development Review0116-11051996-72412012-12-01290214710.1142/S0116110512500096How Effective are Capital Controls? Evidence from MalaysiaPrema-Chandra AthukoralaJuthathip JongwanichThis paper examines the role of capital controls as a macroeconomic policy tool in light of the Malaysian experience. It consists of an econometric analysis of quarterly data over the period 1990–2010 using newly constructed capital inflow and outflow policy indexes as well as analytical narratives of episodes of controls imposed on inflows (1994) and outflows (1998–1999). The findings suggest that well-targeted controls have the potential to tame both short-term capital inflows and outflows without exerting a backwash effect on foreign direct investment, at least in the short to medium term. Controls on capital inflows introduced in the first half of 1994 helped moderate accumulation of short-term capital flows, particularly short-term bank credit. During 1998–1999, carefully designed temporary capital controls were successful in providing Malaysian policymakers a viable setting for applying the standard Keynesian therapy.https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S0116110512500096
spellingShingle Prema-Chandra Athukorala
Juthathip Jongwanich
How Effective are Capital Controls? Evidence from Malaysia
Asian Development Review
title How Effective are Capital Controls? Evidence from Malaysia
title_full How Effective are Capital Controls? Evidence from Malaysia
title_fullStr How Effective are Capital Controls? Evidence from Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed How Effective are Capital Controls? Evidence from Malaysia
title_short How Effective are Capital Controls? Evidence from Malaysia
title_sort how effective are capital controls evidence from malaysia
url https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S0116110512500096
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