Decisions in moral dilemmas: The influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilities

Previous studies have found that the proportions of people who endorsed utilitarian decisions varied across different variants of the trolley dilemma. In this paper, we explored whether moral choices were associated with beliefs about outcome probabilities in different moral dilemmas. Results of two...

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Main Authors: Yiyun Shou, Fei Song
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2017-09-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/16/16615/jdm16615.pdf
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author Yiyun Shou
Fei Song
author_facet Yiyun Shou
Fei Song
author_sort Yiyun Shou
collection DOAJ
description Previous studies have found that the proportions of people who endorsed utilitarian decisions varied across different variants of the trolley dilemma. In this paper, we explored whether moral choices were associated with beliefs about outcome probabilities in different moral dilemmas. Results of two experiments showed that participants’ perceptions of outcome probabilities were different between two dilemmas that were similar to the classical switch case and footbridge case. Participants’ judgments of the outcome probabilities were associated with their moral choices. The results suggested that participants might not accept task instructions and thus did not perceive the outcomes in the dilemmas as certain. We argued that researchers who endorse descriptive tasks in moral reasoning research should be cautious about the findings and should take participants’ beliefs in the outcomes into account.
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spelling doaj.art-bc1dfdac3375447d971f029785bf273c2023-09-03T03:00:58ZengCambridge University PressJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752017-09-01125481490Decisions in moral dilemmas: The influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilitiesYiyun ShouFei SongPrevious studies have found that the proportions of people who endorsed utilitarian decisions varied across different variants of the trolley dilemma. In this paper, we explored whether moral choices were associated with beliefs about outcome probabilities in different moral dilemmas. Results of two experiments showed that participants’ perceptions of outcome probabilities were different between two dilemmas that were similar to the classical switch case and footbridge case. Participants’ judgments of the outcome probabilities were associated with their moral choices. The results suggested that participants might not accept task instructions and thus did not perceive the outcomes in the dilemmas as certain. We argued that researchers who endorse descriptive tasks in moral reasoning research should be cautious about the findings and should take participants’ beliefs in the outcomes into account.http://journal.sjdm.org/16/16615/jdm16615.pdfmoral decision probability judgment moral reasoning moral dilemmaNAKeywords
spellingShingle Yiyun Shou
Fei Song
Decisions in moral dilemmas: The influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilities
Judgment and Decision Making
moral decision
probability judgment
moral reasoning
moral dilemmaNAKeywords
title Decisions in moral dilemmas: The influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilities
title_full Decisions in moral dilemmas: The influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilities
title_fullStr Decisions in moral dilemmas: The influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilities
title_full_unstemmed Decisions in moral dilemmas: The influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilities
title_short Decisions in moral dilemmas: The influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilities
title_sort decisions in moral dilemmas the influence of subjective beliefs in outcome probabilities
topic moral decision
probability judgment
moral reasoning
moral dilemmaNAKeywords
url http://journal.sjdm.org/16/16615/jdm16615.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT yiyunshou decisionsinmoraldilemmastheinfluenceofsubjectivebeliefsinoutcomeprobabilities
AT feisong decisionsinmoraldilemmastheinfluenceofsubjectivebeliefsinoutcomeprobabilities