Development of a Novel Quantitative Risk Assessment Tool for UK Road Tunnels

Some of the most critical transportation infrastructures are road tunnels. Underground passageways for motorists are provided through this cost-effective engineering solution, which allows for high traffic volumes. A crucial aspect of the operation of road tunnels is fire safety. Risk assessments ha...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Razieh Khaksari Haddad, Zambri Harun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-02-01
Series:Fire
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/6/2/65
_version_ 1797621114033143808
author Razieh Khaksari Haddad
Zambri Harun
author_facet Razieh Khaksari Haddad
Zambri Harun
author_sort Razieh Khaksari Haddad
collection DOAJ
description Some of the most critical transportation infrastructures are road tunnels. Underground passageways for motorists are provided through this cost-effective engineering solution, which allows for high traffic volumes. A crucial aspect of the operation of road tunnels is fire safety. Risk assessments have been established to ensure the level of safety in tunnels. As the existing quantitative risk analysis (QRA) models are inapplicable to assess the fire risk in UK road tunnels, this paper presents a novel QRA model, named LBAQRAMo, for UK road tunnels. This model consists of two main sections: quantitative frequency analysis, to estimate the frequency of fire incidents via an event tree; and quantitative consequences analysis, to model the consequences of fire incidents. LBAQRAMo covers the risk to tunnel users. The result of the risk analysis is the expected value of the societal risk of the investigated tunnel, presented via F/N curve. Another major result of this model is the estimation of the number of fatalities for each scenario based on the comparison between required safe egress time (RSET) and available safe egress time (ASET). Risk evaluation was carried out by comparison of the tunnel under study with the UK ALARP limit. The operation of the model is demonstrated by its application to the Gibraltar Airport Tunnel as a case study. Simulation of 34 different possible scenarios show that the tunnel is safe for use. The sensitivity of the model to HGV fire incident frequency and basic pre-movement times was studied as well.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T08:51:09Z
format Article
id doaj.art-bc7cd784d938423c89640f6f7e319327
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2571-6255
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T08:51:09Z
publishDate 2023-02-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Fire
spelling doaj.art-bc7cd784d938423c89640f6f7e3193272023-11-16T20:27:24ZengMDPI AGFire2571-62552023-02-01626510.3390/fire6020065Development of a Novel Quantitative Risk Assessment Tool for UK Road TunnelsRazieh Khaksari Haddad0Zambri Harun1London Bridge Associates Ltd., London SE1 1TY, UKFaculty of Engineering and Built Environment, National University of Malaysia, Bangi 43600, Selangor, MalaysiaSome of the most critical transportation infrastructures are road tunnels. Underground passageways for motorists are provided through this cost-effective engineering solution, which allows for high traffic volumes. A crucial aspect of the operation of road tunnels is fire safety. Risk assessments have been established to ensure the level of safety in tunnels. As the existing quantitative risk analysis (QRA) models are inapplicable to assess the fire risk in UK road tunnels, this paper presents a novel QRA model, named LBAQRAMo, for UK road tunnels. This model consists of two main sections: quantitative frequency analysis, to estimate the frequency of fire incidents via an event tree; and quantitative consequences analysis, to model the consequences of fire incidents. LBAQRAMo covers the risk to tunnel users. The result of the risk analysis is the expected value of the societal risk of the investigated tunnel, presented via F/N curve. Another major result of this model is the estimation of the number of fatalities for each scenario based on the comparison between required safe egress time (RSET) and available safe egress time (ASET). Risk evaluation was carried out by comparison of the tunnel under study with the UK ALARP limit. The operation of the model is demonstrated by its application to the Gibraltar Airport Tunnel as a case study. Simulation of 34 different possible scenarios show that the tunnel is safe for use. The sensitivity of the model to HGV fire incident frequency and basic pre-movement times was studied as well.https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/6/2/65quantitative risk analysisroad tunnelfire safetyLBAQRAMoF/N curve
spellingShingle Razieh Khaksari Haddad
Zambri Harun
Development of a Novel Quantitative Risk Assessment Tool for UK Road Tunnels
Fire
quantitative risk analysis
road tunnel
fire safety
LBAQRAMo
F/N curve
title Development of a Novel Quantitative Risk Assessment Tool for UK Road Tunnels
title_full Development of a Novel Quantitative Risk Assessment Tool for UK Road Tunnels
title_fullStr Development of a Novel Quantitative Risk Assessment Tool for UK Road Tunnels
title_full_unstemmed Development of a Novel Quantitative Risk Assessment Tool for UK Road Tunnels
title_short Development of a Novel Quantitative Risk Assessment Tool for UK Road Tunnels
title_sort development of a novel quantitative risk assessment tool for uk road tunnels
topic quantitative risk analysis
road tunnel
fire safety
LBAQRAMo
F/N curve
url https://www.mdpi.com/2571-6255/6/2/65
work_keys_str_mv AT raziehkhaksarihaddad developmentofanovelquantitativeriskassessmenttoolforukroadtunnels
AT zambriharun developmentofanovelquantitativeriskassessmenttoolforukroadtunnels