Potential Risk Areas of Aedes albopictus in South-Eastern Iran: A Vector of Dengue Fever, Zika, and Chikungunya

The possibility of the rapid and global spread of Zika, chikungunya, yellow fever, and dengue fever by Aedes albopictus is well documented and may be facilitated by changes in climate. To avert and manage health risks, climatic and topographic information can be used to model and forecast which area...

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Main Authors: Jalil Nejati, Rubén Bueno-Marí, Francisco Collantes, Ahmad A. Hanafi-Bojd, Hassan Vatandoost, Zabihollah Charrahy, Seyed M. Tabatabaei, Mohammad R. Yaghoobi-Ershadi, Abdolghafar Hasanzehi, Mohammad R. Shirzadi, Seyed H. Moosa-Kazemi, Mohammad M. Sedaghat
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2017-09-01
Series:Frontiers in Microbiology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fmicb.2017.01660/full
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author Jalil Nejati
Rubén Bueno-Marí
Francisco Collantes
Ahmad A. Hanafi-Bojd
Ahmad A. Hanafi-Bojd
Hassan Vatandoost
Hassan Vatandoost
Zabihollah Charrahy
Seyed M. Tabatabaei
Mohammad R. Yaghoobi-Ershadi
Abdolghafar Hasanzehi
Mohammad R. Shirzadi
Seyed H. Moosa-Kazemi
Mohammad M. Sedaghat
author_facet Jalil Nejati
Rubén Bueno-Marí
Francisco Collantes
Ahmad A. Hanafi-Bojd
Ahmad A. Hanafi-Bojd
Hassan Vatandoost
Hassan Vatandoost
Zabihollah Charrahy
Seyed M. Tabatabaei
Mohammad R. Yaghoobi-Ershadi
Abdolghafar Hasanzehi
Mohammad R. Shirzadi
Seyed H. Moosa-Kazemi
Mohammad M. Sedaghat
author_sort Jalil Nejati
collection DOAJ
description The possibility of the rapid and global spread of Zika, chikungunya, yellow fever, and dengue fever by Aedes albopictus is well documented and may be facilitated by changes in climate. To avert and manage health risks, climatic and topographic information can be used to model and forecast which areas may be most prone to the establishment of Ae. albopictus. We aimed to weigh and prioritize the predictive value of various meteorological and climatic variables on distributions of Ae. albopictus in south-eastern Iran using the Analytical Hierarchy Process. Out of eight factors used to predict the presence of Ae. albopictus, the highest weighted were land use, followed by temperature, altitude, and precipitation. The inconsistency of this analysis was 0.03 with no missing judgments. The areas predicted to be most at risk of Ae. albopictus-borne diseases were mapped using Geographic Information Systems and remote sensing data. Five-year (2011–2015) meteorological data was collected from 11 meteorological stations and other data was acquired from Landsat and Terra satellite images. Southernmost regions were at greatest risk of Ae. albopictus colonization as well as more urban sites connected by provincial roads. This is the first study in Iran to determine the regional probability of Ae. albopictus establishment. Monitoring and collection of Ae. albopictus from the environment confirmed our projections, though on-going field work is necessary to track the spread of this vector of life-threatening disease.
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spelling doaj.art-bc9c8c78122040cabef971673d3fd5892022-12-21T19:13:42ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Microbiology1664-302X2017-09-01810.3389/fmicb.2017.01660232707Potential Risk Areas of Aedes albopictus in South-Eastern Iran: A Vector of Dengue Fever, Zika, and ChikungunyaJalil Nejati0Rubén Bueno-Marí1Francisco Collantes2Ahmad A. Hanafi-Bojd3Ahmad A. Hanafi-Bojd4Hassan Vatandoost5Hassan Vatandoost6Zabihollah Charrahy7Seyed M. Tabatabaei8Mohammad R. Yaghoobi-Ershadi9Abdolghafar Hasanzehi10Mohammad R. Shirzadi11Seyed H. Moosa-Kazemi12Mohammad M. Sedaghat13Department of Medical Entomology and Vector Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, IranDepartamento de Investigación y Desarrollo (I+D), Laboratorios LokímicaValencia, SpainDepartment of Zoology and Physical Anthropology, University of MurciaMurcia, SpainDepartment of Medical Entomology and Vector Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, IranDepartment of Environmental Chemical Pollutants and Pesticides, Institute for Environmental Research, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, IranDepartment of Medical Entomology and Vector Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, IranDepartment of Environmental Chemical Pollutants and Pesticides, Institute for Environmental Research, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, IranDepartment of Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences, Tehran UniversityTehran, IranInfectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine Research Center, Zahedan University of Medical SciencesZahedan, IranDepartment of Medical Entomology and Vector Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, IranInfectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine Research Center, Zahedan University of Medical SciencesZahedan, IranZoonoses Control Department, Ministry of Health and Medical EducationTehran, IranDepartment of Medical Entomology and Vector Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, IranDepartment of Medical Entomology and Vector Control, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, IranThe possibility of the rapid and global spread of Zika, chikungunya, yellow fever, and dengue fever by Aedes albopictus is well documented and may be facilitated by changes in climate. To avert and manage health risks, climatic and topographic information can be used to model and forecast which areas may be most prone to the establishment of Ae. albopictus. We aimed to weigh and prioritize the predictive value of various meteorological and climatic variables on distributions of Ae. albopictus in south-eastern Iran using the Analytical Hierarchy Process. Out of eight factors used to predict the presence of Ae. albopictus, the highest weighted were land use, followed by temperature, altitude, and precipitation. The inconsistency of this analysis was 0.03 with no missing judgments. The areas predicted to be most at risk of Ae. albopictus-borne diseases were mapped using Geographic Information Systems and remote sensing data. Five-year (2011–2015) meteorological data was collected from 11 meteorological stations and other data was acquired from Landsat and Terra satellite images. Southernmost regions were at greatest risk of Ae. albopictus colonization as well as more urban sites connected by provincial roads. This is the first study in Iran to determine the regional probability of Ae. albopictus establishment. Monitoring and collection of Ae. albopictus from the environment confirmed our projections, though on-going field work is necessary to track the spread of this vector of life-threatening disease.http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fmicb.2017.01660/fullAedes albopictusdengue feverzika virusmodelinganalytical hierarchy processgeographical information system
spellingShingle Jalil Nejati
Rubén Bueno-Marí
Francisco Collantes
Ahmad A. Hanafi-Bojd
Ahmad A. Hanafi-Bojd
Hassan Vatandoost
Hassan Vatandoost
Zabihollah Charrahy
Seyed M. Tabatabaei
Mohammad R. Yaghoobi-Ershadi
Abdolghafar Hasanzehi
Mohammad R. Shirzadi
Seyed H. Moosa-Kazemi
Mohammad M. Sedaghat
Potential Risk Areas of Aedes albopictus in South-Eastern Iran: A Vector of Dengue Fever, Zika, and Chikungunya
Frontiers in Microbiology
Aedes albopictus
dengue fever
zika virus
modeling
analytical hierarchy process
geographical information system
title Potential Risk Areas of Aedes albopictus in South-Eastern Iran: A Vector of Dengue Fever, Zika, and Chikungunya
title_full Potential Risk Areas of Aedes albopictus in South-Eastern Iran: A Vector of Dengue Fever, Zika, and Chikungunya
title_fullStr Potential Risk Areas of Aedes albopictus in South-Eastern Iran: A Vector of Dengue Fever, Zika, and Chikungunya
title_full_unstemmed Potential Risk Areas of Aedes albopictus in South-Eastern Iran: A Vector of Dengue Fever, Zika, and Chikungunya
title_short Potential Risk Areas of Aedes albopictus in South-Eastern Iran: A Vector of Dengue Fever, Zika, and Chikungunya
title_sort potential risk areas of aedes albopictus in south eastern iran a vector of dengue fever zika and chikungunya
topic Aedes albopictus
dengue fever
zika virus
modeling
analytical hierarchy process
geographical information system
url http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fmicb.2017.01660/full
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