Strengths and limitations of relative wealth indices derived from big data in Indonesia

Accurate relative wealth estimates in Low and Middle-Income Countries (LMICS) are crucial to help policymakers address socio-demographic inequalities under the guidance of the Sustainable Development Goals set by the United Nations. Survey-based approaches have traditionally been employed to collect...

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Main Authors: Daniele Sartirano, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Ciro Cattuto, Enrique Delamónica, Manuel Garcia-Herranz, Anthony Mockler, Daniela Paolotti, Rossano Schifanella
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Big Data
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fdata.2023.1054156/full
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author Daniele Sartirano
Kyriaki Kalimeri
Ciro Cattuto
Enrique Delamónica
Manuel Garcia-Herranz
Anthony Mockler
Daniela Paolotti
Rossano Schifanella
Rossano Schifanella
author_facet Daniele Sartirano
Kyriaki Kalimeri
Ciro Cattuto
Enrique Delamónica
Manuel Garcia-Herranz
Anthony Mockler
Daniela Paolotti
Rossano Schifanella
Rossano Schifanella
author_sort Daniele Sartirano
collection DOAJ
description Accurate relative wealth estimates in Low and Middle-Income Countries (LMICS) are crucial to help policymakers address socio-demographic inequalities under the guidance of the Sustainable Development Goals set by the United Nations. Survey-based approaches have traditionally been employed to collect highly granular data about income, consumption, or household material goods to create index-based poverty estimates. However, these methods are only capture persons in households (i.e., in the household sample framework) and they do not include migrant populations or unhoused citizens. Novel approaches combining frontier data, computer vision, and machine learning have been proposed to complement these existing approaches. However, the strengths and limitations of these big-data-derived indices have yet to be sufficiently studied. In this paper, we focus on the case of Indonesia and examine one frontier-data derived Relative Wealth Index (RWI), created by the Facebook Data for Good initiative, that utilizes connectivity data from the Facebook Platform and satellite imagery data to produce a high-resolution estimate of relative wealth for 135 countries. We examine it concerning asset-based relative wealth indices estimated from existing high-quality national-level traditional survey instruments, the USAID-developed Demographic Health Survey (DHS), and the Indonesian National Socio-economic survey (SUSENAS). In this work, we aim to understand how the frontier-data derived index can be used to inform anti-poverty programs in Indonesia and the Asia Pacific region. First, we unveil key features that affect the comparison between the traditional and non-traditional sources, such as the publishing time and authority and the granularity of the spatial aggregation of the data. Second, to provide operational input, we hypothesize how a re-distribution of resources based on the RWI map would impact a current social program, the Social Protection Card (KPS) of Indonesia and assess impact. In this hypothetical scenario, we estimate the percentage of Indonesians eligible for the program, which would have been incorrectly excluded from a social protection payment had the RWI been used in place of the survey-based wealth index. The exclusion error in that case would be 32.82%. Within the context of the KPS program targeting, we noted significant differences between the RWI map's predictions and the SUSENAS ground truth index estimates.
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spelling doaj.art-bcb444ed9a214b0a9845b5d16c54c8312023-02-21T13:33:43ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Big Data2624-909X2023-02-01610.3389/fdata.2023.10541561054156Strengths and limitations of relative wealth indices derived from big data in IndonesiaDaniele Sartirano0Kyriaki Kalimeri1Ciro Cattuto2Enrique Delamónica3Manuel Garcia-Herranz4Anthony Mockler5Daniela Paolotti6Rossano Schifanella7Rossano Schifanella8ISI Foundation, Turin, ItalyISI Foundation, Turin, ItalyISI Foundation, Turin, ItalyUNICEF, New York, NY, United StatesUNICEF, New York, NY, United StatesUNICEF, Jakarta, IndonesiaISI Foundation, Turin, ItalyISI Foundation, Turin, ItalyDepartment of Computer Science, University of Turin, Turin, ItalyAccurate relative wealth estimates in Low and Middle-Income Countries (LMICS) are crucial to help policymakers address socio-demographic inequalities under the guidance of the Sustainable Development Goals set by the United Nations. Survey-based approaches have traditionally been employed to collect highly granular data about income, consumption, or household material goods to create index-based poverty estimates. However, these methods are only capture persons in households (i.e., in the household sample framework) and they do not include migrant populations or unhoused citizens. Novel approaches combining frontier data, computer vision, and machine learning have been proposed to complement these existing approaches. However, the strengths and limitations of these big-data-derived indices have yet to be sufficiently studied. In this paper, we focus on the case of Indonesia and examine one frontier-data derived Relative Wealth Index (RWI), created by the Facebook Data for Good initiative, that utilizes connectivity data from the Facebook Platform and satellite imagery data to produce a high-resolution estimate of relative wealth for 135 countries. We examine it concerning asset-based relative wealth indices estimated from existing high-quality national-level traditional survey instruments, the USAID-developed Demographic Health Survey (DHS), and the Indonesian National Socio-economic survey (SUSENAS). In this work, we aim to understand how the frontier-data derived index can be used to inform anti-poverty programs in Indonesia and the Asia Pacific region. First, we unveil key features that affect the comparison between the traditional and non-traditional sources, such as the publishing time and authority and the granularity of the spatial aggregation of the data. Second, to provide operational input, we hypothesize how a re-distribution of resources based on the RWI map would impact a current social program, the Social Protection Card (KPS) of Indonesia and assess impact. In this hypothetical scenario, we estimate the percentage of Indonesians eligible for the program, which would have been incorrectly excluded from a social protection payment had the RWI been used in place of the survey-based wealth index. The exclusion error in that case would be 32.82%. Within the context of the KPS program targeting, we noted significant differences between the RWI map's predictions and the SUSENAS ground truth index estimates.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fdata.2023.1054156/fullwealthindexpovertysurveymachine learning
spellingShingle Daniele Sartirano
Kyriaki Kalimeri
Ciro Cattuto
Enrique Delamónica
Manuel Garcia-Herranz
Anthony Mockler
Daniela Paolotti
Rossano Schifanella
Rossano Schifanella
Strengths and limitations of relative wealth indices derived from big data in Indonesia
Frontiers in Big Data
wealth
index
poverty
survey
machine learning
title Strengths and limitations of relative wealth indices derived from big data in Indonesia
title_full Strengths and limitations of relative wealth indices derived from big data in Indonesia
title_fullStr Strengths and limitations of relative wealth indices derived from big data in Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Strengths and limitations of relative wealth indices derived from big data in Indonesia
title_short Strengths and limitations of relative wealth indices derived from big data in Indonesia
title_sort strengths and limitations of relative wealth indices derived from big data in indonesia
topic wealth
index
poverty
survey
machine learning
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fdata.2023.1054156/full
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AT kyriakikalimeri strengthsandlimitationsofrelativewealthindicesderivedfrombigdatainindonesia
AT cirocattuto strengthsandlimitationsofrelativewealthindicesderivedfrombigdatainindonesia
AT enriquedelamonica strengthsandlimitationsofrelativewealthindicesderivedfrombigdatainindonesia
AT manuelgarciaherranz strengthsandlimitationsofrelativewealthindicesderivedfrombigdatainindonesia
AT anthonymockler strengthsandlimitationsofrelativewealthindicesderivedfrombigdatainindonesia
AT danielapaolotti strengthsandlimitationsofrelativewealthindicesderivedfrombigdatainindonesia
AT rossanoschifanella strengthsandlimitationsofrelativewealthindicesderivedfrombigdatainindonesia
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