Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and Forecasting

The article is aimed at researching the status and tendencies of developing the innovation activity in Ukraine, defining shortcomings and identifying development prospects. The research sets the task to analyze the indicator of volume of the innovative products sold, simulate it and build predictive...

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Main Author: Grudtsyna Yuliia V.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Research Centre of Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of Ukraine 2019-02-01
Series:Bìznes Inform
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.business-inform.net/export_pdf/business-inform-2019-2_0-pages-78_84.pdf
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author Grudtsyna Yuliia V.
author_facet Grudtsyna Yuliia V.
author_sort Grudtsyna Yuliia V.
collection DOAJ
description The article is aimed at researching the status and tendencies of developing the innovation activity in Ukraine, defining shortcomings and identifying development prospects. The research sets the task to analyze the indicator of volume of the innovative products sold, simulate it and build predictive functions. It is determined that the dynamics of the number of enterprises, which introduced innovations, and their specific weight in the total number of industrial enterprises tend to decrease. The dynamics of sales volumes of innovative products also tend to decrease. Building trend models of five kinds and defining the coefficient of determination for each of them have revealed that for further calculations on forecasting of the researched indicator it is expedient to choose a trend model in the form of a parabola of the 2nd order and an exponential trend model. Prospects for further research are the search for factors influencing innovation activity and determination of the degree of their influence by conducting correlation-regression analysis, elaboration of measures on development of innovative activities in Ukraine.
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spelling doaj.art-bd359855b23f456bb56a8e6bf618a2c92022-12-22T01:11:04ZengResearch Centre of Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of UkraineBìznes Inform2222-44592311-116X2019-02-0124937884https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2019-2-78-84Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and ForecastingGrudtsyna Yuliia V.0Economics and Environmental Management of Taurida National V. I. Vernadsky UniversityThe article is aimed at researching the status and tendencies of developing the innovation activity in Ukraine, defining shortcomings and identifying development prospects. The research sets the task to analyze the indicator of volume of the innovative products sold, simulate it and build predictive functions. It is determined that the dynamics of the number of enterprises, which introduced innovations, and their specific weight in the total number of industrial enterprises tend to decrease. The dynamics of sales volumes of innovative products also tend to decrease. Building trend models of five kinds and defining the coefficient of determination for each of them have revealed that for further calculations on forecasting of the researched indicator it is expedient to choose a trend model in the form of a parabola of the 2nd order and an exponential trend model. Prospects for further research are the search for factors influencing innovation activity and determination of the degree of their influence by conducting correlation-regression analysis, elaboration of measures on development of innovative activities in Ukraine.http://www.business-inform.net/export_pdf/business-inform-2019-2_0-pages-78_84.pdfinnovationinnovation activityfunctiontrend
spellingShingle Grudtsyna Yuliia V.
Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and Forecasting
Bìznes Inform
innovation
innovation activity
function
trend
title Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and Forecasting
title_full Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and Forecasting
title_fullStr Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and Forecasting
title_short Innovation Activity in Ukraine: Analysis and Forecasting
title_sort innovation activity in ukraine analysis and forecasting
topic innovation
innovation activity
function
trend
url http://www.business-inform.net/export_pdf/business-inform-2019-2_0-pages-78_84.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT grudtsynayuliiav innovationactivityinukraineanalysisandforecasting