Forecasting Multan estate prices using optimized regression techniques

Purchasing a house or plot has become a complicated task for an average person due to budget constraints and market situations. An individual does not know the prices of the plots and gets trapped by a middle man. This paper proposes a solution for this problem by predicting the plot prices using a...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Adnan Akhter, Muhammad Bux Alvi, Majdah Alvi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Sindh 2022-04-01
Series:University of Sindh Journal of Information and Communication Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://sujo.usindh.edu.pk/index.php/USJICT/article/view/4340
_version_ 1797805646005927936
author Adnan Akhter
Muhammad Bux Alvi
Majdah Alvi
author_facet Adnan Akhter
Muhammad Bux Alvi
Majdah Alvi
author_sort Adnan Akhter
collection DOAJ
description Purchasing a house or plot has become a complicated task for an average person due to budget constraints and market situations. An individual does not know the prices of the plots and gets trapped by a middle man. This paper proposes a solution for this problem by predicting the plot prices using a machine learning approach, leveraging Multiple Linear Regression, Gradient Boosting Regression, and Random Forest regression techniques. This work compares the performance of these three algorithms by hyper-parameter tuning using gird search, and random search for checking which one is adequate in terms of scores and error rates. Factors that influence the prices of the plots include plot covered area, physical condition of the plot, area, and population. Gradient boosting regression has surpassed all other machine learning methods, achieving the lowest error rates and highest R-squared score of 0.987 with grid search. The resultant predictive systems can help the folk in three ways. 1) safety from deception 2) budget oriented instant information, and 3) time saving.
first_indexed 2024-03-13T05:55:11Z
format Article
id doaj.art-bd3744be778843eeae60bf1deb1e4301
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2521-5582
2523-1235
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-13T05:55:11Z
publishDate 2022-04-01
publisher University of Sindh
record_format Article
series University of Sindh Journal of Information and Communication Technology
spelling doaj.art-bd3744be778843eeae60bf1deb1e43012023-06-13T06:16:57ZengUniversity of SindhUniversity of Sindh Journal of Information and Communication Technology2521-55822523-12352022-04-01541661734340Forecasting Multan estate prices using optimized regression techniquesAdnan Akhter0Muhammad Bux Alvi1Majdah Alvi2The Islamia University of BahawalpurThe Islamia University of BahwalpurThe Islamia University of BahwalpurPurchasing a house or plot has become a complicated task for an average person due to budget constraints and market situations. An individual does not know the prices of the plots and gets trapped by a middle man. This paper proposes a solution for this problem by predicting the plot prices using a machine learning approach, leveraging Multiple Linear Regression, Gradient Boosting Regression, and Random Forest regression techniques. This work compares the performance of these three algorithms by hyper-parameter tuning using gird search, and random search for checking which one is adequate in terms of scores and error rates. Factors that influence the prices of the plots include plot covered area, physical condition of the plot, area, and population. Gradient boosting regression has surpassed all other machine learning methods, achieving the lowest error rates and highest R-squared score of 0.987 with grid search. The resultant predictive systems can help the folk in three ways. 1) safety from deception 2) budget oriented instant information, and 3) time saving.https://sujo.usindh.edu.pk/index.php/USJICT/article/view/4340regression methods, machine learning, plot prediction, hyper parameter tuning
spellingShingle Adnan Akhter
Muhammad Bux Alvi
Majdah Alvi
Forecasting Multan estate prices using optimized regression techniques
University of Sindh Journal of Information and Communication Technology
regression methods, machine learning, plot prediction, hyper parameter tuning
title Forecasting Multan estate prices using optimized regression techniques
title_full Forecasting Multan estate prices using optimized regression techniques
title_fullStr Forecasting Multan estate prices using optimized regression techniques
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting Multan estate prices using optimized regression techniques
title_short Forecasting Multan estate prices using optimized regression techniques
title_sort forecasting multan estate prices using optimized regression techniques
topic regression methods, machine learning, plot prediction, hyper parameter tuning
url https://sujo.usindh.edu.pk/index.php/USJICT/article/view/4340
work_keys_str_mv AT adnanakhter forecastingmultanestatepricesusingoptimizedregressiontechniques
AT muhammadbuxalvi forecastingmultanestatepricesusingoptimizedregressiontechniques
AT majdahalvi forecastingmultanestatepricesusingoptimizedregressiontechniques