Identifying models of trait‐mediated community assembly using random forests and approximate Bayesian computation

Abstract Ecologists often use dispersion metrics and statistical hypothesis testing to infer processes of community formation such as environmental filtering, competitive exclusion, and neutral species assembly. These metrics have limited power in inferring assembly models because they rely on often...

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Main Authors: Megan Ruffley, Katie Peterson, Bob Week, David C. Tank, Luke J. Harmon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-12-01
Series:Ecology and Evolution
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5773
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author Megan Ruffley
Katie Peterson
Bob Week
David C. Tank
Luke J. Harmon
author_facet Megan Ruffley
Katie Peterson
Bob Week
David C. Tank
Luke J. Harmon
author_sort Megan Ruffley
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Ecologists often use dispersion metrics and statistical hypothesis testing to infer processes of community formation such as environmental filtering, competitive exclusion, and neutral species assembly. These metrics have limited power in inferring assembly models because they rely on often‐violated assumptions. Here, we adapt a model of phenotypic similarity and repulsion to simulate the process of community assembly via environmental filtering and competitive exclusion, all while parameterizing the strength of the respective ecological processes. We then use random forests and approximate Bayesian computation to distinguish between these models given the simulated data. We find that our approach is more accurate than using dispersion metrics and accounts for uncertainty in model selection. We also demonstrate that the parameter determining the strength of the assembly processes can be accurately estimated. This approach is available in the R package CAMI; Community Assembly Model Inference. We demonstrate the effectiveness of CAMI using an example of plant communities living on lava flow islands.
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spelling doaj.art-bd4a1f27c6214b5fafd7bb32edaeda502022-12-21T22:11:30ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582019-12-01923132181323010.1002/ece3.5773Identifying models of trait‐mediated community assembly using random forests and approximate Bayesian computationMegan Ruffley0Katie Peterson1Bob Week2David C. Tank3Luke J. Harmon4Department of Biological Sciences University of Idaho Moscow ID USADepartment of Biological Sciences University of Idaho Moscow ID USADepartment of Biological Sciences University of Idaho Moscow ID USADepartment of Biological Sciences University of Idaho Moscow ID USADepartment of Biological Sciences University of Idaho Moscow ID USAAbstract Ecologists often use dispersion metrics and statistical hypothesis testing to infer processes of community formation such as environmental filtering, competitive exclusion, and neutral species assembly. These metrics have limited power in inferring assembly models because they rely on often‐violated assumptions. Here, we adapt a model of phenotypic similarity and repulsion to simulate the process of community assembly via environmental filtering and competitive exclusion, all while parameterizing the strength of the respective ecological processes. We then use random forests and approximate Bayesian computation to distinguish between these models given the simulated data. We find that our approach is more accurate than using dispersion metrics and accounts for uncertainty in model selection. We also demonstrate that the parameter determining the strength of the assembly processes can be accurately estimated. This approach is available in the R package CAMI; Community Assembly Model Inference. We demonstrate the effectiveness of CAMI using an example of plant communities living on lava flow islands.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5773approximate Bayesian computationcommunity assemblycompetitive exclusionenvironmental filteringrandom forest
spellingShingle Megan Ruffley
Katie Peterson
Bob Week
David C. Tank
Luke J. Harmon
Identifying models of trait‐mediated community assembly using random forests and approximate Bayesian computation
Ecology and Evolution
approximate Bayesian computation
community assembly
competitive exclusion
environmental filtering
random forest
title Identifying models of trait‐mediated community assembly using random forests and approximate Bayesian computation
title_full Identifying models of trait‐mediated community assembly using random forests and approximate Bayesian computation
title_fullStr Identifying models of trait‐mediated community assembly using random forests and approximate Bayesian computation
title_full_unstemmed Identifying models of trait‐mediated community assembly using random forests and approximate Bayesian computation
title_short Identifying models of trait‐mediated community assembly using random forests and approximate Bayesian computation
title_sort identifying models of trait mediated community assembly using random forests and approximate bayesian computation
topic approximate Bayesian computation
community assembly
competitive exclusion
environmental filtering
random forest
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5773
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