Self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Ukraine – corridor of development trajectories (political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects)

This article examines the political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects of the self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Donbass. It is concluded that the most likely scenario is to preserve them as politically independent from Kiev, the pro- Russian societies with an uncertain international po...

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Main Authors: Sergey Sushchiy, Taras Medvedkin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Gdansk 2018-05-01
Series:Journal of Geography, Politics and Society
Subjects:
Online Access:https://czasopisma.bg.ug.edu.pl/index.php/JGPS/article/view/3122/2524
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author Sergey Sushchiy
Taras Medvedkin
author_facet Sergey Sushchiy
Taras Medvedkin
author_sort Sergey Sushchiy
collection DOAJ
description This article examines the political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects of the self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Donbass. It is concluded that the most likely scenario is to preserve them as politically independent from Kiev, the pro- Russian societies with an uncertain international political status. The process of state bodies’ system formation in Eastern Donbass (Donetsk and Lugansk people’s Republic – D(L)PR), further legitimizing of the vertical power of the republics through activation of local party life and finalizing the system of elections for leaders and deputy corps of various levels are expected to be completed in the coming years. The socio-political fate of Donbass will also largely determine the further ethnic evolution of its population, both in the western (Ukrainian) and the eastern (“republican”) parts. The consolidation of the republics as stable political and administrative and territorial entities in the medium term (by 2025-2030) may lead to a quantitative predominance of the Russian population within their borders (taking into account bi-ethnophors with Russian ethnic self-identification). At present the only realistic scenario of socio-economic development of the republics remains their progressive “shadow” integration into the life cycles of the Russian economy. In the next few years a serious spatial transformation of the entire infrastructure complex of the D(L)PR, including a network of transport communications and the basic systems of social life support, is expected. The transformation is caused by a radical turn of trade and economic ties of the region to Russia and the need to move the central infrastructural hubs of the republics away from the front line.
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spelling doaj.art-bd5486a0097c485ca68cea643fb593142022-12-22T04:36:43ZengUniversity of GdanskJournal of Geography, Politics and Society2451-22492018-05-0182546510.4467/24512249JG.18.015.8221Self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Ukraine – corridor of development trajectories (political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects) Sergey Sushchiy 0Taras Medvedkin1Russian Academy of Sciences Russian Academy of Sciences This article examines the political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects of the self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Donbass. It is concluded that the most likely scenario is to preserve them as politically independent from Kiev, the pro- Russian societies with an uncertain international political status. The process of state bodies’ system formation in Eastern Donbass (Donetsk and Lugansk people’s Republic – D(L)PR), further legitimizing of the vertical power of the republics through activation of local party life and finalizing the system of elections for leaders and deputy corps of various levels are expected to be completed in the coming years. The socio-political fate of Donbass will also largely determine the further ethnic evolution of its population, both in the western (Ukrainian) and the eastern (“republican”) parts. The consolidation of the republics as stable political and administrative and territorial entities in the medium term (by 2025-2030) may lead to a quantitative predominance of the Russian population within their borders (taking into account bi-ethnophors with Russian ethnic self-identification). At present the only realistic scenario of socio-economic development of the republics remains their progressive “shadow” integration into the life cycles of the Russian economy. In the next few years a serious spatial transformation of the entire infrastructure complex of the D(L)PR, including a network of transport communications and the basic systems of social life support, is expected. The transformation is caused by a radical turn of trade and economic ties of the region to Russia and the need to move the central infrastructural hubs of the republics away from the front line.https://czasopisma.bg.ug.edu.pl/index.php/JGPS/article/view/3122/2524the self-proclaimed republiceastern donbassthe socio-political dynamicsethnic and demographic prospectseconomic potential
spellingShingle Sergey Sushchiy
Taras Medvedkin
Self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Ukraine – corridor of development trajectories (political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects)
Journal of Geography, Politics and Society
the self-proclaimed republic
eastern donbass
the socio-political dynamics
ethnic and demographic prospects
economic potential
title Self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Ukraine – corridor of development trajectories (political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects)
title_full Self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Ukraine – corridor of development trajectories (political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects)
title_fullStr Self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Ukraine – corridor of development trajectories (political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects)
title_full_unstemmed Self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Ukraine – corridor of development trajectories (political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects)
title_short Self-proclaimed republics of Eastern Ukraine – corridor of development trajectories (political, ethno-demographic and socio-economic aspects)
title_sort self proclaimed republics of eastern ukraine corridor of development trajectories political ethno demographic and socio economic aspects
topic the self-proclaimed republic
eastern donbass
the socio-political dynamics
ethnic and demographic prospects
economic potential
url https://czasopisma.bg.ug.edu.pl/index.php/JGPS/article/view/3122/2524
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AT tarasmedvedkin selfproclaimedrepublicsofeasternukrainecorridorofdevelopmenttrajectoriespoliticalethnodemographicandsocioeconomicaspects