Analysis the risk contagion from financial sector to other economic sectors

This research has three main goals. The first goal is to investigate the contagion of the risk from the financial sector to other industries. The second objective is to examine the impact of the competitiveness of industries on the spread of the risk sequence from the financial sector to the industr...

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Main Authors: Reza Raei, Alireza Najjarpour
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2023-09-01
Series:Mathematics and Modeling in Finance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jmmf.atu.ac.ir/article_15149_2680682a44b75a5bdfe6f7db5ed218b0.pdf
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author Reza Raei
Alireza Najjarpour
author_facet Reza Raei
Alireza Najjarpour
author_sort Reza Raei
collection DOAJ
description This research has three main goals. The first goal is to investigate the contagion of the risk from the financial sector to other industries. The second objective is to examine the impact of the competitiveness of industries on the spread of the risk sequence from the financial sector to the industries, and the third objective is to examine the effect of three main industrial indicators, namely, net debt, value spread and investment spread, on the risk contagion from the financial sector to other industries. In this research, a new measurement method of the spillover of the risk sequence from the financial sector to other industries has been introduced as the occurrence of similar conditions, which for each industry in each period is equal to the number of simultaneous occurrences of severe negative returns in that industry and the financial sector. Empirical findings show that the contagion of the risk from the financial sector to other industries was significant and this contagion was greater for competitive industries due to the greater need for external financing. The occurrence of similar conditions in each sector has a positive relationship with the net debt of that industry. Also, there is no relationship between the value spread and the investment spread with the occurrence of similar conditions.
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spelling doaj.art-bd94f377953949cab96e449ecf39c2302023-12-19T05:16:31ZengAllameh Tabataba'i University PressMathematics and Modeling in Finance2783-05782783-056X2023-09-013111410.22054/jmmf.2023.71462.108215149Analysis the risk contagion from financial sector to other economic sectorsReza Raei0Alireza Najjarpour1Department of Financial Management and Insurance, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.Master of Financial Engineering, Department of Financial Management and Insurance, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Iran.This research has three main goals. The first goal is to investigate the contagion of the risk from the financial sector to other industries. The second objective is to examine the impact of the competitiveness of industries on the spread of the risk sequence from the financial sector to the industries, and the third objective is to examine the effect of three main industrial indicators, namely, net debt, value spread and investment spread, on the risk contagion from the financial sector to other industries. In this research, a new measurement method of the spillover of the risk sequence from the financial sector to other industries has been introduced as the occurrence of similar conditions, which for each industry in each period is equal to the number of simultaneous occurrences of severe negative returns in that industry and the financial sector. Empirical findings show that the contagion of the risk from the financial sector to other industries was significant and this contagion was greater for competitive industries due to the greater need for external financing. The occurrence of similar conditions in each sector has a positive relationship with the net debt of that industry. Also, there is no relationship between the value spread and the investment spread with the occurrence of similar conditions.https://jmmf.atu.ac.ir/article_15149_2680682a44b75a5bdfe6f7db5ed218b0.pdfrisk contagionrisk spillovervalue spreadinvestment spread
spellingShingle Reza Raei
Alireza Najjarpour
Analysis the risk contagion from financial sector to other economic sectors
Mathematics and Modeling in Finance
risk contagion
risk spillover
value spread
investment spread
title Analysis the risk contagion from financial sector to other economic sectors
title_full Analysis the risk contagion from financial sector to other economic sectors
title_fullStr Analysis the risk contagion from financial sector to other economic sectors
title_full_unstemmed Analysis the risk contagion from financial sector to other economic sectors
title_short Analysis the risk contagion from financial sector to other economic sectors
title_sort analysis the risk contagion from financial sector to other economic sectors
topic risk contagion
risk spillover
value spread
investment spread
url https://jmmf.atu.ac.ir/article_15149_2680682a44b75a5bdfe6f7db5ed218b0.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT rezaraei analysistheriskcontagionfromfinancialsectortoothereconomicsectors
AT alirezanajjarpour analysistheriskcontagionfromfinancialsectortoothereconomicsectors