Cointegration and Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Case of Kyrgyzstan

According to Wagner’s law there is unidirectional relationship from economic growth to public expenditure. Wagner’s states that increase of national income leads to faster growth of public expenditure. In other words, out of economic and social development in the country, people will demand more pub...

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Main Authors: Raziye ABDIYEVA, Hakan ÇETİNTAŞ
Format: Article
Language:Turkish
Published: Usak University 2017-01-01
Series:Optimum Ekonomi ve Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dergipark.gov.tr/download/article-file/267358
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author Raziye ABDIYEVA
Hakan ÇETİNTAŞ
author_facet Raziye ABDIYEVA
Hakan ÇETİNTAŞ
author_sort Raziye ABDIYEVA
collection DOAJ
description According to Wagner’s law there is unidirectional relationship from economic growth to public expenditure. Wagner’s states that increase of national income leads to faster growth of public expenditure. In other words, out of economic and social development in the country, people will demand more public goods and it will increase public expenditure at a faster rate than national income. This study is analyzing the long term and causality relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in Kyrgyzstan and tests the validity of Wagner's law in Kyrgyz economy by using an ARDL and Error Correction models over the period 1995 to 2014. Empirical results showed that there is an unidirectional causality relationship between economic growth and public expenditure in long term. Empirical evidence is support the validity of Wagner’s law in Kyrgyz economy.
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spelling doaj.art-bd97817e99b14e29a395a42c293290662023-02-15T16:08:45ZturUsak UniversityOptimum Ekonomi ve Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi2148-42282148-42282017-01-0141193410.17541/optimum.285056Cointegration and Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Case of KyrgyzstanRaziye ABDIYEVAHakan ÇETİNTAŞAccording to Wagner’s law there is unidirectional relationship from economic growth to public expenditure. Wagner’s states that increase of national income leads to faster growth of public expenditure. In other words, out of economic and social development in the country, people will demand more public goods and it will increase public expenditure at a faster rate than national income. This study is analyzing the long term and causality relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in Kyrgyzstan and tests the validity of Wagner's law in Kyrgyz economy by using an ARDL and Error Correction models over the period 1995 to 2014. Empirical results showed that there is an unidirectional causality relationship between economic growth and public expenditure in long term. Empirical evidence is support the validity of Wagner’s law in Kyrgyz economy.http://dergipark.gov.tr/download/article-file/267358Economic GrowthPublic ExpenditureWagner’s Law
spellingShingle Raziye ABDIYEVA
Hakan ÇETİNTAŞ
Cointegration and Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Case of Kyrgyzstan
Optimum Ekonomi ve Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi
Economic Growth
Public Expenditure
Wagner’s Law
title Cointegration and Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Case of Kyrgyzstan
title_full Cointegration and Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Case of Kyrgyzstan
title_fullStr Cointegration and Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Case of Kyrgyzstan
title_full_unstemmed Cointegration and Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Case of Kyrgyzstan
title_short Cointegration and Causality between Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Case of Kyrgyzstan
title_sort cointegration and causality between public expenditure and economic growth case of kyrgyzstan
topic Economic Growth
Public Expenditure
Wagner’s Law
url http://dergipark.gov.tr/download/article-file/267358
work_keys_str_mv AT raziyeabdiyeva cointegrationandcausalitybetweenpublicexpenditureandeconomicgrowthcaseofkyrgyzstan
AT hakancetintas cointegrationandcausalitybetweenpublicexpenditureandeconomicgrowthcaseofkyrgyzstan