State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes
Impact models projections are used in integrated assessments of climate change. Here the authors test systematically across many important systems, how well such impact models capture the impacts of extreme climate conditions.
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2019-03-01
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| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08745-6 |
| _version_ | 1819129804436275200 |
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| author | Jacob Schewe Simon N. Gosling Christopher Reyer Fang Zhao Philippe Ciais Joshua Elliott Louis Francois Veronika Huber Heike K. Lotze Sonia I. Seneviratne Michelle T. H. van Vliet Robert Vautard Yoshihide Wada Lutz Breuer Matthias Büchner David A. Carozza Jinfeng Chang Marta Coll Delphine Deryng Allard de Wit Tyler D. Eddy Christian Folberth Katja Frieler Andrew D. Friend Dieter Gerten Lukas Gudmundsson Naota Hanasaki Akihiko Ito Nikolay Khabarov Hyungjun Kim Peter Lawrence Catherine Morfopoulos Christoph Müller Hannes Müller Schmied René Orth Sebastian Ostberg Yadu Pokhrel Thomas A. M. Pugh Gen Sakurai Yusuke Satoh Erwin Schmid Tobias Stacke Jeroen Steenbeek Jörg Steinkamp Qiuhong Tang Hanqin Tian Derek P. Tittensor Jan Volkholz Xuhui Wang Lila Warszawski |
| author_facet | Jacob Schewe Simon N. Gosling Christopher Reyer Fang Zhao Philippe Ciais Joshua Elliott Louis Francois Veronika Huber Heike K. Lotze Sonia I. Seneviratne Michelle T. H. van Vliet Robert Vautard Yoshihide Wada Lutz Breuer Matthias Büchner David A. Carozza Jinfeng Chang Marta Coll Delphine Deryng Allard de Wit Tyler D. Eddy Christian Folberth Katja Frieler Andrew D. Friend Dieter Gerten Lukas Gudmundsson Naota Hanasaki Akihiko Ito Nikolay Khabarov Hyungjun Kim Peter Lawrence Catherine Morfopoulos Christoph Müller Hannes Müller Schmied René Orth Sebastian Ostberg Yadu Pokhrel Thomas A. M. Pugh Gen Sakurai Yusuke Satoh Erwin Schmid Tobias Stacke Jeroen Steenbeek Jörg Steinkamp Qiuhong Tang Hanqin Tian Derek P. Tittensor Jan Volkholz Xuhui Wang Lila Warszawski |
| author_sort | Jacob Schewe |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Impact models projections are used in integrated assessments of climate change. Here the authors test systematically across many important systems, how well such impact models capture the impacts of extreme climate conditions. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-22T08:49:32Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-bdb660eae2bf431380e76d34df8b14d8 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2041-1723 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-22T08:49:32Z |
| publishDate | 2019-03-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nature Communications |
| spelling | doaj.art-bdb660eae2bf431380e76d34df8b14d82022-12-21T18:32:01ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232019-03-0110111410.1038/s41467-019-08745-6State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremesJacob Schewe0Simon N. Gosling1Christopher Reyer2Fang Zhao3Philippe Ciais4Joshua Elliott5Louis Francois6Veronika Huber7Heike K. Lotze8Sonia I. Seneviratne9Michelle T. H. van Vliet10Robert Vautard11Yoshihide Wada12Lutz Breuer13Matthias Büchner14David A. Carozza15Jinfeng Chang16Marta Coll17Delphine Deryng18Allard de Wit19Tyler D. Eddy20Christian Folberth21Katja Frieler22Andrew D. Friend23Dieter Gerten24Lukas Gudmundsson25Naota Hanasaki26Akihiko Ito27Nikolay Khabarov28Hyungjun Kim29Peter Lawrence30Catherine Morfopoulos31Christoph Müller32Hannes Müller Schmied33René Orth34Sebastian Ostberg35Yadu Pokhrel36Thomas A. M. Pugh37Gen Sakurai38Yusuke Satoh39Erwin Schmid40Tobias Stacke41Jeroen Steenbeek42Jörg Steinkamp43Qiuhong Tang44Hanqin Tian45Derek P. Tittensor46Jan Volkholz47Xuhui Wang48Lila Warszawski49Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz AssociationSchool of Geography, University of NottinghamPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz AssociationSchool of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal UniversityLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQUniversity of Chicago and ANL Computation Institute, 5735S. Ellis AveInstitut d’Astrophysique et de Géophysique/U.R. SPHERES, Université de LiègeDepartment of Physical, Chemical and Natural Systems, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Ctra. de Utrera 1Department of Biology, Dalhousie UniversityETH Zurich, Land-Climate Dynamics, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate ScienceWater Systems and Global Change group, Wageningen UniversityLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQInternational Institute for Applied Systems AnalysisInstitute for Landscape Ecology and Resources Management (ILR), Research Centre for BioSystems, Land Use and Nutrition (iFZ), Justus Liebig University GiessenPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz AssociationDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, McGill UniversityLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQInstitute of Marine Sciences (ICM - CSIC)Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF)Wageningen Environmental ResearchDepartment of Biology, Dalhousie UniversityInternational Institute for Applied Systems AnalysisPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz AssociationDepartment of Geography, University of CambridgePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz AssociationETH Zurich, Land-Climate Dynamics, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate ScienceNational Institute for Environmental StudiesNational Institute for Environmental StudiesInternational Institute for Applied Systems AnalysisInstitute of Industrial Science, the University of TokyoTerrestrial Science Section, National Center for Atmospheric ResearchImperial College of London, Department of Life SciencePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz AssociationInstitute of Physical Geography, Goethe-University FrankfurtDepartment of Physical Geography, Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm UniversityPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz AssociationDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State UniversitySchool of Geography, Earth & Environmental Sciences, University of BirminghamInstitute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, National Agriculture and Food Research OrganizationWater Systems and Global Change group, Wageningen UniversityUniversity of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, ViennaMax Planck Institute for MeteorologyEcopath International InitiativeSenckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F)Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesSchool of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn UniversityDepartment of Biology, Dalhousie UniversityPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz AssociationLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz AssociationImpact models projections are used in integrated assessments of climate change. Here the authors test systematically across many important systems, how well such impact models capture the impacts of extreme climate conditions.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08745-6 |
| spellingShingle | Jacob Schewe Simon N. Gosling Christopher Reyer Fang Zhao Philippe Ciais Joshua Elliott Louis Francois Veronika Huber Heike K. Lotze Sonia I. Seneviratne Michelle T. H. van Vliet Robert Vautard Yoshihide Wada Lutz Breuer Matthias Büchner David A. Carozza Jinfeng Chang Marta Coll Delphine Deryng Allard de Wit Tyler D. Eddy Christian Folberth Katja Frieler Andrew D. Friend Dieter Gerten Lukas Gudmundsson Naota Hanasaki Akihiko Ito Nikolay Khabarov Hyungjun Kim Peter Lawrence Catherine Morfopoulos Christoph Müller Hannes Müller Schmied René Orth Sebastian Ostberg Yadu Pokhrel Thomas A. M. Pugh Gen Sakurai Yusuke Satoh Erwin Schmid Tobias Stacke Jeroen Steenbeek Jörg Steinkamp Qiuhong Tang Hanqin Tian Derek P. Tittensor Jan Volkholz Xuhui Wang Lila Warszawski State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes Nature Communications |
| title | State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes |
| title_full | State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes |
| title_fullStr | State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes |
| title_full_unstemmed | State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes |
| title_short | State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes |
| title_sort | state of the art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08745-6 |
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