Parameter and state estimation with a time-dependent adjoint marine ice sheet model

To date, assimilation of observations into large-scale ice models has consisted predominantly of time-independent inversions of surface velocities for basal traction, bed elevation, or ice stiffness, and has relied primarily on analytically derived adjoints of glaciological stress balance models. To...

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Main Authors: D. N. Goldberg, P. Heimbach
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2013-11-01
Series:The Cryosphere
Online Access:http://www.the-cryosphere.net/7/1659/2013/tc-7-1659-2013.pdf
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author D. N. Goldberg
P. Heimbach
author_facet D. N. Goldberg
P. Heimbach
author_sort D. N. Goldberg
collection DOAJ
description To date, assimilation of observations into large-scale ice models has consisted predominantly of time-independent inversions of surface velocities for basal traction, bed elevation, or ice stiffness, and has relied primarily on analytically derived adjoints of glaciological stress balance models. To overcome limitations of such "snapshot" inversions – i.e., their inability to assimilate time-dependent data for the purpose of constraining transient flow states, or to produce initial states with minimum artificial drift and suitable for time-dependent simulations – we have developed an adjoint of a time-dependent parallel glaciological flow model. The model implements a hybrid shallow shelf–shallow ice stress balance, solves the continuity equation for ice thickness evolution, and can represent the floating, fast-sliding, and frozen bed regimes of a marine ice sheet. The adjoint is generated by a combination of analytic methods and the use of algorithmic differentiation (AD) software. Several experiments are carried out with idealized geometries and synthetic observations, including inversion of time-dependent surface elevations for past thicknesses, and simultaneous retrieval of basal traction and topography from surface data. Flexible generation of the adjoint for a range of independent uncertain variables is exemplified through sensitivity calculations of grounded ice volume to changes in basal melting of floating and basal sliding of grounded ice. The results are encouraging and suggest the feasibility, using real observations, of improved ice sheet state estimation and comprehensive transient sensitivity assessments.
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spelling doaj.art-bddcb24761e94074a5b03aae1380441c2022-12-22T00:49:16ZengCopernicus PublicationsThe Cryosphere1994-04161994-04242013-11-01761659167810.5194/tc-7-1659-2013Parameter and state estimation with a time-dependent adjoint marine ice sheet modelD. N. Goldberg0P. Heimbach1Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, M.I.T., Cambridge, USA.Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, M.I.T., Cambridge, USA.To date, assimilation of observations into large-scale ice models has consisted predominantly of time-independent inversions of surface velocities for basal traction, bed elevation, or ice stiffness, and has relied primarily on analytically derived adjoints of glaciological stress balance models. To overcome limitations of such "snapshot" inversions – i.e., their inability to assimilate time-dependent data for the purpose of constraining transient flow states, or to produce initial states with minimum artificial drift and suitable for time-dependent simulations – we have developed an adjoint of a time-dependent parallel glaciological flow model. The model implements a hybrid shallow shelf–shallow ice stress balance, solves the continuity equation for ice thickness evolution, and can represent the floating, fast-sliding, and frozen bed regimes of a marine ice sheet. The adjoint is generated by a combination of analytic methods and the use of algorithmic differentiation (AD) software. Several experiments are carried out with idealized geometries and synthetic observations, including inversion of time-dependent surface elevations for past thicknesses, and simultaneous retrieval of basal traction and topography from surface data. Flexible generation of the adjoint for a range of independent uncertain variables is exemplified through sensitivity calculations of grounded ice volume to changes in basal melting of floating and basal sliding of grounded ice. The results are encouraging and suggest the feasibility, using real observations, of improved ice sheet state estimation and comprehensive transient sensitivity assessments.http://www.the-cryosphere.net/7/1659/2013/tc-7-1659-2013.pdf
spellingShingle D. N. Goldberg
P. Heimbach
Parameter and state estimation with a time-dependent adjoint marine ice sheet model
The Cryosphere
title Parameter and state estimation with a time-dependent adjoint marine ice sheet model
title_full Parameter and state estimation with a time-dependent adjoint marine ice sheet model
title_fullStr Parameter and state estimation with a time-dependent adjoint marine ice sheet model
title_full_unstemmed Parameter and state estimation with a time-dependent adjoint marine ice sheet model
title_short Parameter and state estimation with a time-dependent adjoint marine ice sheet model
title_sort parameter and state estimation with a time dependent adjoint marine ice sheet model
url http://www.the-cryosphere.net/7/1659/2013/tc-7-1659-2013.pdf
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