Human control redressed: Comparing AI and human predictability in a real-effort task

Predictability is a prerequisite for effective human control of artificial intelligence (AI). For example, the inability to predict the malfunctioning of AI impedes timely human intervention. In this paper, we employ a computerized navigation task, namely, a game called lunar lander, to investigate...

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Main Authors: Serhiy Kandul, Vincent Micheli, Juliane Beck, Thomas Burri, François Fleuret, Markus Kneer, Markus Christen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-05-01
Series:Computers in Human Behavior Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2451958823000234
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author Serhiy Kandul
Vincent Micheli
Juliane Beck
Thomas Burri
François Fleuret
Markus Kneer
Markus Christen
author_facet Serhiy Kandul
Vincent Micheli
Juliane Beck
Thomas Burri
François Fleuret
Markus Kneer
Markus Christen
author_sort Serhiy Kandul
collection DOAJ
description Predictability is a prerequisite for effective human control of artificial intelligence (AI). For example, the inability to predict the malfunctioning of AI impedes timely human intervention. In this paper, we employ a computerized navigation task, namely, a game called lunar lander, to investigate empirically how AI's predictability compares to humans' predictability. We ask participants to guess whether the landings of a spaceship performed by AI and humans will succeed. We show that humans are worse at predicting AI performance than at predicting human performance in this environment. Significantly, participants underestimate the differences in the relative predictability of AI and, at times, overestimate their prediction skills. These results raise doubts about the human ability to exercise control of AI effectively — at least in certain contexts.
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spelling doaj.art-bdf5f0c09ae1402ea2562adba3cb2c002023-06-15T04:56:45ZengElsevierComputers in Human Behavior Reports2451-95882023-05-0110100290Human control redressed: Comparing AI and human predictability in a real-effort taskSerhiy Kandul0Vincent Micheli1Juliane Beck2Thomas Burri3François Fleuret4Markus Kneer5Markus Christen6University of Zurich, Switzerland; Corresponding author.University of Geneva, SwitzerlandUniversity of St. Gallen, SwitzerlandUniversity of St. Gallen, SwitzerlandUniversity of Geneva, SwitzerlandUniversity of Zurich, SwitzerlandUniversity of Zurich, SwitzerlandPredictability is a prerequisite for effective human control of artificial intelligence (AI). For example, the inability to predict the malfunctioning of AI impedes timely human intervention. In this paper, we employ a computerized navigation task, namely, a game called lunar lander, to investigate empirically how AI's predictability compares to humans' predictability. We ask participants to guess whether the landings of a spaceship performed by AI and humans will succeed. We show that humans are worse at predicting AI performance than at predicting human performance in this environment. Significantly, participants underestimate the differences in the relative predictability of AI and, at times, overestimate their prediction skills. These results raise doubts about the human ability to exercise control of AI effectively — at least in certain contexts.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2451958823000234Human controlAI predictabilityLunar lander gameHuman-computer interaction
spellingShingle Serhiy Kandul
Vincent Micheli
Juliane Beck
Thomas Burri
François Fleuret
Markus Kneer
Markus Christen
Human control redressed: Comparing AI and human predictability in a real-effort task
Computers in Human Behavior Reports
Human control
AI predictability
Lunar lander game
Human-computer interaction
title Human control redressed: Comparing AI and human predictability in a real-effort task
title_full Human control redressed: Comparing AI and human predictability in a real-effort task
title_fullStr Human control redressed: Comparing AI and human predictability in a real-effort task
title_full_unstemmed Human control redressed: Comparing AI and human predictability in a real-effort task
title_short Human control redressed: Comparing AI and human predictability in a real-effort task
title_sort human control redressed comparing ai and human predictability in a real effort task
topic Human control
AI predictability
Lunar lander game
Human-computer interaction
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2451958823000234
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