Analisis Pengaruh Neraca Perdagangan, Suku Bunga dan Arus Modal Masuk terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia

The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of trade balance, interest rates and capital inflows on the rupiah exchange rate. The data used is time series data or time series in the form of years, namely from 1987 to 2019. This study uses a quantitative approach by using the error correcti...

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Main Authors: Anis Nurul Laili, Diah Wahyuningsih
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Jember 2022-09-01
Series:Jurnal Ekonomi Akuntansi dan Manajemen
Online Access:https://jurnal.unej.ac.id/index.php/JEAM/article/view/33642
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author Anis Nurul Laili
Diah Wahyuningsih
author_facet Anis Nurul Laili
Diah Wahyuningsih
author_sort Anis Nurul Laili
collection DOAJ
description The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of trade balance, interest rates and capital inflows on the rupiah exchange rate. The data used is time series data or time series in the form of years, namely from 1987 to 2019. This study uses a quantitative approach by using the error correction model (ECM) estimation method. The data analysis techniques used include: data stationarity test, cointegration test, estimation of short-term and long-term ECM, and classical assumption test. And the results obtained in this study are that in the long term the trade balance variable has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, interest rates have a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate. FDI has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate and PFI has no effect on the rupiah exchange rate balance. While in the short term, the trade balance variable has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, interest rates have a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, FDI has no significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate and FPI has no effect on the rupiah exchange rate. Keywords: Error Correction Model, Foreign Direct Investment, Portfolio Foreign Investment, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Trade Balance
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spelling doaj.art-bdfd6be20a9d405f8aa9bfb0897926012023-01-16T14:42:17ZengUniversitas JemberJurnal Ekonomi Akuntansi dan Manajemen1412-53662459-98162022-09-012128810410.19184/jeam.v21i2.3364233642Analisis Pengaruh Neraca Perdagangan, Suku Bunga dan Arus Modal Masuk terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di IndonesiaAnis Nurul Laili0Diah Wahyuningsih1Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Trunojoyo MaduraFakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Trunojoyo MaduraThe purpose of this study was to determine the effect of trade balance, interest rates and capital inflows on the rupiah exchange rate. The data used is time series data or time series in the form of years, namely from 1987 to 2019. This study uses a quantitative approach by using the error correction model (ECM) estimation method. The data analysis techniques used include: data stationarity test, cointegration test, estimation of short-term and long-term ECM, and classical assumption test. And the results obtained in this study are that in the long term the trade balance variable has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, interest rates have a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate. FDI has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate and PFI has no effect on the rupiah exchange rate balance. While in the short term, the trade balance variable has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, interest rates have a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, FDI has no significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate and FPI has no effect on the rupiah exchange rate. Keywords: Error Correction Model, Foreign Direct Investment, Portfolio Foreign Investment, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Trade Balancehttps://jurnal.unej.ac.id/index.php/JEAM/article/view/33642
spellingShingle Anis Nurul Laili
Diah Wahyuningsih
Analisis Pengaruh Neraca Perdagangan, Suku Bunga dan Arus Modal Masuk terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia
Jurnal Ekonomi Akuntansi dan Manajemen
title Analisis Pengaruh Neraca Perdagangan, Suku Bunga dan Arus Modal Masuk terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia
title_full Analisis Pengaruh Neraca Perdagangan, Suku Bunga dan Arus Modal Masuk terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia
title_fullStr Analisis Pengaruh Neraca Perdagangan, Suku Bunga dan Arus Modal Masuk terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Analisis Pengaruh Neraca Perdagangan, Suku Bunga dan Arus Modal Masuk terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia
title_short Analisis Pengaruh Neraca Perdagangan, Suku Bunga dan Arus Modal Masuk terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia
title_sort analisis pengaruh neraca perdagangan suku bunga dan arus modal masuk terhadap nilai tukar rupiah di indonesia
url https://jurnal.unej.ac.id/index.php/JEAM/article/view/33642
work_keys_str_mv AT anisnurullaili analisispengaruhneracaperdagangansukubungadanarusmodalmasukterhadapnilaitukarrupiahdiindonesia
AT diahwahyuningsih analisispengaruhneracaperdagangansukubungadanarusmodalmasukterhadapnilaitukarrupiahdiindonesia