Framingham risk score and risk of incident chronic kidney disease: A community-based prospective cohort study

Background : Cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease share several common risk factors. The Framingham risk score is hypothesized to predict chronic kidney disease development. We determined if the Framingham risk scoring system can correctly predict incident chronic kidney disease in the...

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Main Authors: Changhyun Lee, Hae-Ryong Yun, Young Su Joo, Sangmi Lee, Joohwan Kim, Ki Heon Nam, Jong Hyun Jhee, Jung Tak Park, Tae-Hyun Yoo, Shin-Wook Kang, Seung Hyeok Han
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Korean Society of Nephrology 2019-03-01
Series:Kidney Research and Clinical Practice
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.23876/j.krcp.18.0118
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author Changhyun Lee
Hae-Ryong Yun
Young Su Joo
Sangmi Lee
Joohwan Kim
Ki Heon Nam
Jong Hyun Jhee
Jung Tak Park
Tae-Hyun Yoo
Shin-Wook Kang
Seung Hyeok Han
author_facet Changhyun Lee
Hae-Ryong Yun
Young Su Joo
Sangmi Lee
Joohwan Kim
Ki Heon Nam
Jong Hyun Jhee
Jung Tak Park
Tae-Hyun Yoo
Shin-Wook Kang
Seung Hyeok Han
author_sort Changhyun Lee
collection DOAJ
description Background : Cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease share several common risk factors. The Framingham risk score is hypothesized to predict chronic kidney disease development. We determined if the Framingham risk scoring system can correctly predict incident chronic kidney disease in the general population. Methods : This study included 9,080 subjects who participated in the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study between 2001 and 2014 and had normal renal function. The subjects were classified into low- (< 10%), intermediate- (10-20%), and high- (> 20%) risk groups based on baseline Framingham risk scores. The primary endpoint was de novo chronic kidney disease development (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2). Results : During a mean follow-up duration of 8.9 ± 4.3 years, 312 (5.3%), 217 (10.8%), and 205 (16.9%) subjects developed chronic kidney disease in the low, intermediate, and high risk groups, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis after adjustment for confounding factors showed the hazard ratios for the high- and intermediate risk groups were 2.674 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.197-3.255) and 1.734 (95% CI, 1.447-2.078), respectively. This association was consistently observed irrespective of proteinuria, age, sex, obesity, or hypertension. The predictive power of this scoring system was lower than that of renal parameters, such as eGFR and proteinuria, but increased when both were included in the prediction model. Conclusion : The Framingham risk score predicted incident chronic kidney disease and enhanced risk stratification in conjunction with traditional renal parameters in the general population with normal renal function.
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spelling doaj.art-be325bcbed154530aa7ab9d050e06ec02022-12-21T22:59:56ZengThe Korean Society of NephrologyKidney Research and Clinical Practice2211-91322019-03-01381495910.23876/j.krcp.18.0118j.krcp.18.0118Framingham risk score and risk of incident chronic kidney disease: A community-based prospective cohort studyChanghyun Lee0Hae-Ryong Yun1Young Su Joo2Sangmi Lee3Joohwan Kim4Ki Heon Nam5Jong Hyun Jhee6Jung Tak Park7Tae-Hyun Yoo8Shin-Wook Kang9Seung Hyeok Han10Department of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDivision of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Internal Medicine, Inha University School of Medicine, Incheon, KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Institute of Kidney Disease Research, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, KoreaBackground : Cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease share several common risk factors. The Framingham risk score is hypothesized to predict chronic kidney disease development. We determined if the Framingham risk scoring system can correctly predict incident chronic kidney disease in the general population. Methods : This study included 9,080 subjects who participated in the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study between 2001 and 2014 and had normal renal function. The subjects were classified into low- (< 10%), intermediate- (10-20%), and high- (> 20%) risk groups based on baseline Framingham risk scores. The primary endpoint was de novo chronic kidney disease development (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2). Results : During a mean follow-up duration of 8.9 ± 4.3 years, 312 (5.3%), 217 (10.8%), and 205 (16.9%) subjects developed chronic kidney disease in the low, intermediate, and high risk groups, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis after adjustment for confounding factors showed the hazard ratios for the high- and intermediate risk groups were 2.674 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.197-3.255) and 1.734 (95% CI, 1.447-2.078), respectively. This association was consistently observed irrespective of proteinuria, age, sex, obesity, or hypertension. The predictive power of this scoring system was lower than that of renal parameters, such as eGFR and proteinuria, but increased when both were included in the prediction model. Conclusion : The Framingham risk score predicted incident chronic kidney disease and enhanced risk stratification in conjunction with traditional renal parameters in the general population with normal renal function.https://doi.org/10.23876/j.krcp.18.0118Chronic kidney diseaseFramingham risk scoreKorean Genome and Epidemiology StudyProteinuria
spellingShingle Changhyun Lee
Hae-Ryong Yun
Young Su Joo
Sangmi Lee
Joohwan Kim
Ki Heon Nam
Jong Hyun Jhee
Jung Tak Park
Tae-Hyun Yoo
Shin-Wook Kang
Seung Hyeok Han
Framingham risk score and risk of incident chronic kidney disease: A community-based prospective cohort study
Kidney Research and Clinical Practice
Chronic kidney disease
Framingham risk score
Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study
Proteinuria
title Framingham risk score and risk of incident chronic kidney disease: A community-based prospective cohort study
title_full Framingham risk score and risk of incident chronic kidney disease: A community-based prospective cohort study
title_fullStr Framingham risk score and risk of incident chronic kidney disease: A community-based prospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Framingham risk score and risk of incident chronic kidney disease: A community-based prospective cohort study
title_short Framingham risk score and risk of incident chronic kidney disease: A community-based prospective cohort study
title_sort framingham risk score and risk of incident chronic kidney disease a community based prospective cohort study
topic Chronic kidney disease
Framingham risk score
Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study
Proteinuria
url https://doi.org/10.23876/j.krcp.18.0118
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