Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation Management

Radiation management (RM) has been proposed as a conceivable climate engineering (CE) intervention to mitigate global warming. In this study, we used a coupled climate model (MPI-ESM) with a very idealized setup to investigate the efficacy and risks of CE at a local scale in space and time (regional...

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Main Authors: Sudhakar Dipu, Johannes Quaas, Martin Quaas, Wilfried Rickels, Johannes Mülmenstädt, Olivier Boucher
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-04-01
Series:Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/4/66
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author Sudhakar Dipu
Johannes Quaas
Martin Quaas
Wilfried Rickels
Johannes Mülmenstädt
Olivier Boucher
author_facet Sudhakar Dipu
Johannes Quaas
Martin Quaas
Wilfried Rickels
Johannes Mülmenstädt
Olivier Boucher
author_sort Sudhakar Dipu
collection DOAJ
description Radiation management (RM) has been proposed as a conceivable climate engineering (CE) intervention to mitigate global warming. In this study, we used a coupled climate model (MPI-ESM) with a very idealized setup to investigate the efficacy and risks of CE at a local scale in space and time (regional radiation management, RRM) assuming that cloud modification is technically possible. RM is implemented in the climate model by the brightening of low-level clouds (solar radiation management, SRM) and thinning of cirrus (terrestrial radiation management, TRM). The region chosen is North America, and we simulated a period of 30 years. The implemented sustained RM resulted in a net local radiative forcing of −9.8 Wm<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mo>−</mo><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup></semantics></math></inline-formula> and a local cooling of −0.8 K. Surface temperature (SAT) extremes (90th and 10th percentiles) show negative anomalies in the target region. However, substantial climate impacts were also simulated outside the target area, with warming in the Arctic and pronounced precipitation change in the eastern Pacific. As a variant of RRM, a targeted intervention to suppress heat waves (HW) was investigated in further simulations by implementing intermittent cloud modification locally, prior to the simulated HW situations. In most cases, the intermittent RRM results in a successful reduction of temperatures locally, with substantially smaller impacts outside the target area compared to the sustained RRM.
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spelling doaj.art-be335e0d365d40c1925cba0ba44bdb6d2023-11-21T15:57:51ZengMDPI AGClimate2225-11542021-04-01946610.3390/cli9040066Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation ManagementSudhakar Dipu0Johannes Quaas1Martin Quaas2Wilfried Rickels3Johannes Mülmenstädt4Olivier Boucher5Institute for Meteorology, Universität Leipzig, 04109 Leipzig, GermanyInstitute for Meteorology, Universität Leipzig, 04109 Leipzig, GermanyInstitute for Meteorology, Universität Leipzig, 04109 Leipzig, GermanyKiel Institute for the World Economy Kiel, 24105 Kiel, GermanyInstitute for Meteorology, Universität Leipzig, 04109 Leipzig, GermanyInstitut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Sorbonne Université, 75005 Paris, FranceRadiation management (RM) has been proposed as a conceivable climate engineering (CE) intervention to mitigate global warming. In this study, we used a coupled climate model (MPI-ESM) with a very idealized setup to investigate the efficacy and risks of CE at a local scale in space and time (regional radiation management, RRM) assuming that cloud modification is technically possible. RM is implemented in the climate model by the brightening of low-level clouds (solar radiation management, SRM) and thinning of cirrus (terrestrial radiation management, TRM). The region chosen is North America, and we simulated a period of 30 years. The implemented sustained RM resulted in a net local radiative forcing of −9.8 Wm<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msup><mrow></mrow><mrow><mo>−</mo><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup></semantics></math></inline-formula> and a local cooling of −0.8 K. Surface temperature (SAT) extremes (90th and 10th percentiles) show negative anomalies in the target region. However, substantial climate impacts were also simulated outside the target area, with warming in the Arctic and pronounced precipitation change in the eastern Pacific. As a variant of RRM, a targeted intervention to suppress heat waves (HW) was investigated in further simulations by implementing intermittent cloud modification locally, prior to the simulated HW situations. In most cases, the intermittent RRM results in a successful reduction of temperatures locally, with substantially smaller impacts outside the target area compared to the sustained RRM.https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/4/66regional radiation managementclimate engineeringradiative forcing
spellingShingle Sudhakar Dipu
Johannes Quaas
Martin Quaas
Wilfried Rickels
Johannes Mülmenstädt
Olivier Boucher
Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation Management
Climate
regional radiation management
climate engineering
radiative forcing
title Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation Management
title_full Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation Management
title_fullStr Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation Management
title_full_unstemmed Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation Management
title_short Substantial Climate Response outside the Target Area in an Idealized Experiment of Regional Radiation Management
title_sort substantial climate response outside the target area in an idealized experiment of regional radiation management
topic regional radiation management
climate engineering
radiative forcing
url https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/4/66
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