Functional types sensitivity to climate change in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca, Mexico

Temperature raise and changes in precipitation expected under climate change scenarios will impact on species distribution at regional al global level; although in Mexico few studies of plant species vulnerability exist. The objectives of this study were: a) to determine plant functional types of pl...

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Main Authors: Leopoldo Galicia, Leticia Gómez mendoza, Remedios Aguilar Santelises
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México 2009-10-01
Series:Investigaciones Geográficas
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.investigacionesgeograficas.unam.mx/index.php/rig/article/view/17991
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author Leopoldo Galicia
Leticia Gómez mendoza
Remedios Aguilar Santelises
author_facet Leopoldo Galicia
Leticia Gómez mendoza
Remedios Aguilar Santelises
author_sort Leopoldo Galicia
collection DOAJ
description Temperature raise and changes in precipitation expected under climate change scenarios will impact on species distribution at regional al global level; although in Mexico few studies of plant species vulnerability exist. The objectives of this study were: a) to determine plant functional types of plants based on life forms; b) to determine biogeography distribution and actual climate and altitude gradients and, c) to define vulnerability of plant functional types under climate change scenarios in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca (SNO). Potential response of functional groups was based on an ensemble of eight general circulation models with four emissions scenarios at global scale and, a Japanese model of very high regional resolution (20 x 20 km). To characterize groups of climate response, dominant species were defined for seven vegetation types in SNO. Climate change scenarios ensemble suggested an increment of temperature between 1.5 and 2.5º C, and a change in precipitation between +5 and –10 %. Sensitivity analysis suggested that for climate change scenarios in 2050 genera like Abies and Pinus would diminish their geographic distribution. Results of this study can help to define conservation strategies and manage of those species less tolerant to perturbation in actual and future climate at regional scales.
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spelling doaj.art-bebf3583403441c4abb3638d5aae33442022-12-22T01:41:07ZengUniversidad Nacional Autónoma de MéxicoInvestigaciones Geográficas0188-46112448-72792009-10-0106710.14350/rig.1799117674Functional types sensitivity to climate change in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca, MexicoLeopoldo GaliciaLeticia Gómez mendozaRemedios Aguilar SantelisesTemperature raise and changes in precipitation expected under climate change scenarios will impact on species distribution at regional al global level; although in Mexico few studies of plant species vulnerability exist. The objectives of this study were: a) to determine plant functional types of plants based on life forms; b) to determine biogeography distribution and actual climate and altitude gradients and, c) to define vulnerability of plant functional types under climate change scenarios in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca (SNO). Potential response of functional groups was based on an ensemble of eight general circulation models with four emissions scenarios at global scale and, a Japanese model of very high regional resolution (20 x 20 km). To characterize groups of climate response, dominant species were defined for seven vegetation types in SNO. Climate change scenarios ensemble suggested an increment of temperature between 1.5 and 2.5º C, and a change in precipitation between +5 and –10 %. Sensitivity analysis suggested that for climate change scenarios in 2050 genera like Abies and Pinus would diminish their geographic distribution. Results of this study can help to define conservation strategies and manage of those species less tolerant to perturbation in actual and future climate at regional scales.http://www.investigacionesgeograficas.unam.mx/index.php/rig/article/view/17991Cambio climáticoescenarios de cambio climáticogrupos funcionales de plantasmodelos de cambio climáticoSierra Norte de Oaxaca
spellingShingle Leopoldo Galicia
Leticia Gómez mendoza
Remedios Aguilar Santelises
Functional types sensitivity to climate change in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca, Mexico
Investigaciones Geográficas
Cambio climático
escenarios de cambio climático
grupos funcionales de plantas
modelos de cambio climático
Sierra Norte de Oaxaca
title Functional types sensitivity to climate change in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca, Mexico
title_full Functional types sensitivity to climate change in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca, Mexico
title_fullStr Functional types sensitivity to climate change in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca, Mexico
title_full_unstemmed Functional types sensitivity to climate change in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca, Mexico
title_short Functional types sensitivity to climate change in Sierra Norte of Oaxaca, Mexico
title_sort functional types sensitivity to climate change in sierra norte of oaxaca mexico
topic Cambio climático
escenarios de cambio climático
grupos funcionales de plantas
modelos de cambio climático
Sierra Norte de Oaxaca
url http://www.investigacionesgeograficas.unam.mx/index.php/rig/article/view/17991
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