Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle

<p>The analysis begins with a synthetic discussion of the current state of the business cycle theory. Three groups of current theories have been briefly discussed: the real business cycle theory, the Neoschumpeter theory and those formulated within the framework of the new Keynesian economy. A...

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Main Author: Barbara Polszakiewicz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Uniwersytet Mikołaja Kopernika 2009-12-01
Series:Ekonomia i Prawo
Subjects:
Online Access:http://apcz.umk.pl/czasopisma//index.php/EiP/article/view/7279
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author Barbara Polszakiewicz
author_facet Barbara Polszakiewicz
author_sort Barbara Polszakiewicz
collection DOAJ
description <p>The analysis begins with a synthetic discussion of the current state of the business cycle theory. Three groups of current theories have been briefly discussed: the real business cycle theory, the Neoschumpeter theory and those formulated within the framework of the new Keynesian economy. A common belief that deviations of production and employment from so-called natural levels are caused by various kinds of shocks of a random nature, coexists with these theories. This belief is characteristic of representatives of the new classical economy and of monetarists.</p><p>It was assumed in this article that proving the rhythmicallity of oscillations which occur in reality is a <em>sine qua non</em> condition<em> </em>for including them in the regularity of development. This rhythmicallity should express itself in a comparatively small differentiation of duration, i.e. the cycle period. After accepting a quite elaborate definition of a cycle, most justified  from the theoretical point of view, its periods in American, German and Polish economies were analysed. A period was counted from the beginning of the phase of revival in one business cycle to the beginning of the phase of revival in the next one. A very close resemblance between the cycle course in Poland and the compared economies was found.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-bece0805cfee47a6805847f26e69caa82022-12-22T02:40:53ZengUniwersytet Mikołaja KopernikaEkonomia i Prawo1898-22552392-16252009-12-015110311610.12775/EiP.2009.0076501Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycleBarbara Polszakiewicz0Nicolaus Copernicus University<p>The analysis begins with a synthetic discussion of the current state of the business cycle theory. Three groups of current theories have been briefly discussed: the real business cycle theory, the Neoschumpeter theory and those formulated within the framework of the new Keynesian economy. A common belief that deviations of production and employment from so-called natural levels are caused by various kinds of shocks of a random nature, coexists with these theories. This belief is characteristic of representatives of the new classical economy and of monetarists.</p><p>It was assumed in this article that proving the rhythmicallity of oscillations which occur in reality is a <em>sine qua non</em> condition<em> </em>for including them in the regularity of development. This rhythmicallity should express itself in a comparatively small differentiation of duration, i.e. the cycle period. After accepting a quite elaborate definition of a cycle, most justified  from the theoretical point of view, its periods in American, German and Polish economies were analysed. A period was counted from the beginning of the phase of revival in one business cycle to the beginning of the phase of revival in the next one. A very close resemblance between the cycle course in Poland and the compared economies was found.</p>http://apcz.umk.pl/czasopisma//index.php/EiP/article/view/7279business cycle theory
spellingShingle Barbara Polszakiewicz
Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
Ekonomia i Prawo
business cycle theory
title Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
title_full Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
title_fullStr Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
title_full_unstemmed Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
title_short Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
title_sort poland s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
topic business cycle theory
url http://apcz.umk.pl/czasopisma//index.php/EiP/article/view/7279
work_keys_str_mv AT barbarapolszakiewicz polandsbusinesscycleinthecontextoftheworldcycle