On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks
Forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks can inform appropriate intervention measures, but whether fundamental limits to accurate prediction exist is unclear. Here, the authors use permutation entropy as a model independent measure of predictability to study limitations across a broad set of infe...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2019-02-01
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| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08616-0 |
| _version_ | 1818420110634778624 |
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| author | Samuel V. Scarpino Giovanni Petri |
| author_facet | Samuel V. Scarpino Giovanni Petri |
| author_sort | Samuel V. Scarpino |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks can inform appropriate intervention measures, but whether fundamental limits to accurate prediction exist is unclear. Here, the authors use permutation entropy as a model independent measure of predictability to study limitations across a broad set of infectious diseases. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-14T12:49:15Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-bedfac389c9d4a6a84ca470ab8dece0a |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2041-1723 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-14T12:49:15Z |
| publishDate | 2019-02-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nature Communications |
| spelling | doaj.art-bedfac389c9d4a6a84ca470ab8dece0a2022-12-21T23:00:43ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232019-02-011011810.1038/s41467-019-08616-0On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaksSamuel V. Scarpino0Giovanni Petri1Network Science Institute, Northeastern UniversityISI FoundationForecasting of infectious disease outbreaks can inform appropriate intervention measures, but whether fundamental limits to accurate prediction exist is unclear. Here, the authors use permutation entropy as a model independent measure of predictability to study limitations across a broad set of infectious diseases.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08616-0 |
| spellingShingle | Samuel V. Scarpino Giovanni Petri On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks Nature Communications |
| title | On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks |
| title_full | On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks |
| title_fullStr | On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks |
| title_full_unstemmed | On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks |
| title_short | On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks |
| title_sort | on the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08616-0 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT samuelvscarpino onthepredictabilityofinfectiousdiseaseoutbreaks AT giovannipetri onthepredictabilityofinfectiousdiseaseoutbreaks |