Fiscal Rules in Economic Crisis: The Trade-off Between Consolidation and Recovery, from a European Perspective

In this study, we will perform a simulation exercise to investigate whether the use of explicit fiscal rules improves the macroeconomic performance in the economic framework of the European Union (EU), where the fall in income levels occurred very asymmetrically, and this has accentuated the social...

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Main Authors: Díaz-Roldán Carmen, Filho Fernando Ferrari, da Silva Bichara Julimar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2021-12-01
Series:Economics: Journal Articles
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/econ-2021-0013
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author Díaz-Roldán Carmen
Filho Fernando Ferrari
da Silva Bichara Julimar
author_facet Díaz-Roldán Carmen
Filho Fernando Ferrari
da Silva Bichara Julimar
author_sort Díaz-Roldán Carmen
collection DOAJ
description In this study, we will perform a simulation exercise to investigate whether the use of explicit fiscal rules improves the macroeconomic performance in the economic framework of the European Union (EU), where the fall in income levels occurred very asymmetrically, and this has accentuated the social inequality that existed before the recent crises. To evaluate the performance of fiscal rules, we will allow for a fiscal rule keeping the growth of the public expenditure below the growth of the inflation. This special design of the fiscal rule is a novelty in the European context, although the inflation constraint has been successfully implemented in other countries as, for example, Brazil. As the results, we expect to find that before the financial crisis of 2008, the EU public finances keep relatively stable. However, after the crisis, the budget of the member states suffered a significant deterioration. In addition, therefore, we will discuss to which extent the use of proper fiscal rules could help to rationalize fiscal consolidation efforts.
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spelling doaj.art-bf2e62ddb1934a8fa84c2d8cb86bb6332022-12-22T01:22:57ZengDe GruyterEconomics: Journal Articles1864-60422021-12-0115119921610.1515/econ-2021-0013Fiscal Rules in Economic Crisis: The Trade-off Between Consolidation and Recovery, from a European PerspectiveDíaz-Roldán Carmen0Filho Fernando Ferrari1da Silva Bichara Julimar2Department of Economics, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, Instituto de Economía Internacional, Ciudad Real, SpainDepartment of Economics and International Relations, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, Brasília, Porto Alegre, BrazilDepartment of Estructura Económica y Economía del Desarrollo, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Madrid, SpainIn this study, we will perform a simulation exercise to investigate whether the use of explicit fiscal rules improves the macroeconomic performance in the economic framework of the European Union (EU), where the fall in income levels occurred very asymmetrically, and this has accentuated the social inequality that existed before the recent crises. To evaluate the performance of fiscal rules, we will allow for a fiscal rule keeping the growth of the public expenditure below the growth of the inflation. This special design of the fiscal rule is a novelty in the European context, although the inflation constraint has been successfully implemented in other countries as, for example, Brazil. As the results, we expect to find that before the financial crisis of 2008, the EU public finances keep relatively stable. However, after the crisis, the budget of the member states suffered a significant deterioration. In addition, therefore, we will discuss to which extent the use of proper fiscal rules could help to rationalize fiscal consolidation efforts.https://doi.org/10.1515/econ-2021-0013fiscal rulesconsolidationcrisisf45h62h68
spellingShingle Díaz-Roldán Carmen
Filho Fernando Ferrari
da Silva Bichara Julimar
Fiscal Rules in Economic Crisis: The Trade-off Between Consolidation and Recovery, from a European Perspective
Economics: Journal Articles
fiscal rules
consolidation
crisis
f45
h62
h68
title Fiscal Rules in Economic Crisis: The Trade-off Between Consolidation and Recovery, from a European Perspective
title_full Fiscal Rules in Economic Crisis: The Trade-off Between Consolidation and Recovery, from a European Perspective
title_fullStr Fiscal Rules in Economic Crisis: The Trade-off Between Consolidation and Recovery, from a European Perspective
title_full_unstemmed Fiscal Rules in Economic Crisis: The Trade-off Between Consolidation and Recovery, from a European Perspective
title_short Fiscal Rules in Economic Crisis: The Trade-off Between Consolidation and Recovery, from a European Perspective
title_sort fiscal rules in economic crisis the trade off between consolidation and recovery from a european perspective
topic fiscal rules
consolidation
crisis
f45
h62
h68
url https://doi.org/10.1515/econ-2021-0013
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