Probabilistic selection and design of concrete using machine learning

Development of robust concrete mixes with a lower environmental impact is challenging due to natural variability in constituent materials and a multitude of possible combinations of mix proportions. Making reliable property predictions with machine learning can facilitate performance-based specifica...

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Main Authors: Jessica C. Forsdyke, Bahdan Zviazhynski, Janet M. Lees, Gareth J. Conduit
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2023-01-01
Series:Data-Centric Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673623000059/type/journal_article
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author Jessica C. Forsdyke
Bahdan Zviazhynski
Janet M. Lees
Gareth J. Conduit
author_facet Jessica C. Forsdyke
Bahdan Zviazhynski
Janet M. Lees
Gareth J. Conduit
author_sort Jessica C. Forsdyke
collection DOAJ
description Development of robust concrete mixes with a lower environmental impact is challenging due to natural variability in constituent materials and a multitude of possible combinations of mix proportions. Making reliable property predictions with machine learning can facilitate performance-based specification of concrete, reducing material inefficiencies and improving the sustainability of concrete construction. In this work, we develop a machine learning algorithm that can utilize intermediate target variables and their associated noise to predict the final target variable. We apply the methodology to specify a concrete mix that has high resistance to carbonation, and another concrete mix that has low environmental impact. Both mixes also fulfill targets on the strength, density, and cost. The specified mixes are experimentally validated against their predictions. Our generic methodology enables the exploitation of noise in machine learning, which has a broad range of applications in structural engineering and beyond.
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spelling doaj.art-bf308ade944744ce8125f0f2605e53c52023-04-20T10:30:38ZengCambridge University PressData-Centric Engineering2632-67362023-01-01410.1017/dce.2023.5Probabilistic selection and design of concrete using machine learningJessica C. Forsdyke0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8466-3917Bahdan Zviazhynski1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3862-8093Janet M. Lees2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8295-8321Gareth J. Conduit3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3807-6361Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United KingdomCavendish Laboratory, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United KingdomDepartment of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United KingdomCavendish Laboratory, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United KingdomDevelopment of robust concrete mixes with a lower environmental impact is challenging due to natural variability in constituent materials and a multitude of possible combinations of mix proportions. Making reliable property predictions with machine learning can facilitate performance-based specification of concrete, reducing material inefficiencies and improving the sustainability of concrete construction. In this work, we develop a machine learning algorithm that can utilize intermediate target variables and their associated noise to predict the final target variable. We apply the methodology to specify a concrete mix that has high resistance to carbonation, and another concrete mix that has low environmental impact. Both mixes also fulfill targets on the strength, density, and cost. The specified mixes are experimentally validated against their predictions. Our generic methodology enables the exploitation of noise in machine learning, which has a broad range of applications in structural engineering and beyond.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673623000059/type/journal_articleCarbonationconcretemachine learningperformance-based specification
spellingShingle Jessica C. Forsdyke
Bahdan Zviazhynski
Janet M. Lees
Gareth J. Conduit
Probabilistic selection and design of concrete using machine learning
Data-Centric Engineering
Carbonation
concrete
machine learning
performance-based specification
title Probabilistic selection and design of concrete using machine learning
title_full Probabilistic selection and design of concrete using machine learning
title_fullStr Probabilistic selection and design of concrete using machine learning
title_full_unstemmed Probabilistic selection and design of concrete using machine learning
title_short Probabilistic selection and design of concrete using machine learning
title_sort probabilistic selection and design of concrete using machine learning
topic Carbonation
concrete
machine learning
performance-based specification
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673623000059/type/journal_article
work_keys_str_mv AT jessicacforsdyke probabilisticselectionanddesignofconcreteusingmachinelearning
AT bahdanzviazhynski probabilisticselectionanddesignofconcreteusingmachinelearning
AT janetmlees probabilisticselectionanddesignofconcreteusingmachinelearning
AT garethjconduit probabilisticselectionanddesignofconcreteusingmachinelearning