Reconstruction of the Expansion of Siberian Larch into the Mountain Tundra in the Polar Urals in the 20th—Early 21st Centuries

This paper presents results of analyzing the second half of the 20th–early 21st century changes in lateral spatial structure of <i>Larix sibirica</i> Ledeb. population in the upper treeline ecotone located on the Rai-Iz massif (Polar Urals, Russia). The GIS layers characterizing distribu...

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Main Authors: Valery Fomin, Anna Mikhailovich, Dmitry Golikov, Egor Agapitov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-03-01
Series:Forests
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/3/419
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author Valery Fomin
Anna Mikhailovich
Dmitry Golikov
Egor Agapitov
author_facet Valery Fomin
Anna Mikhailovich
Dmitry Golikov
Egor Agapitov
author_sort Valery Fomin
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents results of analyzing the second half of the 20th–early 21st century changes in lateral spatial structure of <i>Larix sibirica</i> Ledeb. population in the upper treeline ecotone located on the Rai-Iz massif (Polar Urals, Russia). The GIS layers characterizing distribution of Siberian larch trees and undergrowth together with their crowns was produced for a 7.32 square kilometer area based on aerial images recognition. Using statistical models, we assessed probabilities for assigning trees to age intervals of 1–10, 11–40, and 40+ years based on the average radius of tree crown projection. These maps and layer showing locations of trees that grew in the upper part of the ecotone, and died during the Little Ice Age, allow for assessing specifics of forest cover proliferation at different parts of upper treeline ecotone, and comparing current location of the trees with one from the past. The proposed method for probability-based recognition of Siberian larch tree generations in the upper treeline ecotone using average crown radius can be used to reconstruct time and spatial forest dynamics at the upper growth boundaries for time spans up to 100 years and more.
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spelling doaj.art-bf3b06fb6fa4434dbd0cfb071d1ea94d2023-11-24T01:12:55ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072022-03-0113341910.3390/f13030419Reconstruction of the Expansion of Siberian Larch into the Mountain Tundra in the Polar Urals in the 20th—Early 21st CenturiesValery Fomin0Anna Mikhailovich1Dmitry Golikov2Egor Agapitov3Institute of Forest and Natural Resource Management, Ural State Forest Engineering University, Sibirskiy Trakt, 37, 620100 Yekaterinburg, RussiaInstitute of Physics and Technology, Ural Federal University, 19 Mira Street, 620002 Yekaterinburg, RussiaBotanic Garden of the Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, 8 Marta Street, 202a, 620144 Yekaterinburg, RussiaInstitute of Forest and Natural Resource Management, Ural State Forest Engineering University, Sibirskiy Trakt, 37, 620100 Yekaterinburg, RussiaThis paper presents results of analyzing the second half of the 20th–early 21st century changes in lateral spatial structure of <i>Larix sibirica</i> Ledeb. population in the upper treeline ecotone located on the Rai-Iz massif (Polar Urals, Russia). The GIS layers characterizing distribution of Siberian larch trees and undergrowth together with their crowns was produced for a 7.32 square kilometer area based on aerial images recognition. Using statistical models, we assessed probabilities for assigning trees to age intervals of 1–10, 11–40, and 40+ years based on the average radius of tree crown projection. These maps and layer showing locations of trees that grew in the upper part of the ecotone, and died during the Little Ice Age, allow for assessing specifics of forest cover proliferation at different parts of upper treeline ecotone, and comparing current location of the trees with one from the past. The proposed method for probability-based recognition of Siberian larch tree generations in the upper treeline ecotone using average crown radius can be used to reconstruct time and spatial forest dynamics at the upper growth boundaries for time spans up to 100 years and more.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/3/419treestreeline ecotoneupward shift<i>Larix sibirica</i> Ledeb.Polar Urals
spellingShingle Valery Fomin
Anna Mikhailovich
Dmitry Golikov
Egor Agapitov
Reconstruction of the Expansion of Siberian Larch into the Mountain Tundra in the Polar Urals in the 20th—Early 21st Centuries
Forests
trees
treeline ecotone
upward shift
<i>Larix sibirica</i> Ledeb.
Polar Urals
title Reconstruction of the Expansion of Siberian Larch into the Mountain Tundra in the Polar Urals in the 20th—Early 21st Centuries
title_full Reconstruction of the Expansion of Siberian Larch into the Mountain Tundra in the Polar Urals in the 20th—Early 21st Centuries
title_fullStr Reconstruction of the Expansion of Siberian Larch into the Mountain Tundra in the Polar Urals in the 20th—Early 21st Centuries
title_full_unstemmed Reconstruction of the Expansion of Siberian Larch into the Mountain Tundra in the Polar Urals in the 20th—Early 21st Centuries
title_short Reconstruction of the Expansion of Siberian Larch into the Mountain Tundra in the Polar Urals in the 20th—Early 21st Centuries
title_sort reconstruction of the expansion of siberian larch into the mountain tundra in the polar urals in the 20th early 21st centuries
topic trees
treeline ecotone
upward shift
<i>Larix sibirica</i> Ledeb.
Polar Urals
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/3/419
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