Inflammatory Markers Showed Significant Incremental Value for Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients
Background: Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) remains a complication with the potential risk of mortality for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The systemic inflammatory response (SIR) has been demonstrated to be associated with a bad prognosis of liver cirrhosis and tumors. This study ai...
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MDPI AG
2023-09-01
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| author | Xiao Wang Wenjun Wang Xixiang Lin Xu Chen Mingxiang Zhu Hongli Xu Kunlun He |
| author_facet | Xiao Wang Wenjun Wang Xixiang Lin Xu Chen Mingxiang Zhu Hongli Xu Kunlun He |
| author_sort | Xiao Wang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background: Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) remains a complication with the potential risk of mortality for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The systemic inflammatory response (SIR) has been demonstrated to be associated with a bad prognosis of liver cirrhosis and tumors. This study aims to evaluate the incremental prognostic value of inflammatory markers in predicting PHLF in patients with HCC. Methods: Clinical characteristics and variables were retrospectively collected in 2824 patients diagnosed with HCC who underwent radical hepatectomy from the First Medical Center of the General Hospital of the People’s Liberation Army. A recently published prognostic model for PHLF was used as the reference model. The increase in AUC (ΔAUC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and the continuous version of the net reclassification improvement (NRI) were applied for quantifying the incremental value of adding the inflammatory markers to the reference model. A <i>p</i> value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: The reference PHLF model showed acceptable prediction performance in the current cohort, with an AUC of 0.7492 (95%CI, 0.7191–0.7794). The calculated ΔAUC associated with procalcitonin (PCT) was the only one that was statistically significant (<i>p</i> < 0.05), with a value of 0.0044, and demonstrated the largest magnitude of the increase in AUC. The continuous NRI value associated with the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) was 35.79%, second only to GPS (46.07%). However, the inflammatory markers of the new models with statistically significant IDI only included WBC count, lymphocyte count, and SII. IDI associated with SII, meanwhile, was the maximum (0.0076), which was consistent with the performance of using the ΔAUC (0.0044) to assess the incremental value of each inflammatory variable. Conclusions: Among a wide range of inflammatory markers, only PCT and SII have potential incremental prognostic value for predicting PHLF in patients with radical resectable HCC. |
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| spelling | doaj.art-bf67ca61f97840ea819d6d24679f60fa2023-11-19T17:05:50ZengMDPI AGLife2075-17292023-09-011310199010.3390/life13101990Inflammatory Markers Showed Significant Incremental Value for Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma PatientsXiao Wang0Wenjun Wang1Xixiang Lin2Xu Chen3Mingxiang Zhu4Hongli Xu5Kunlun He6Medical Big Data Research Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, ChinaMedical Big Data Research Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, ChinaMedical Big Data Research Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, ChinaMedical Big Data Research Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, ChinaMedical Big Data Research Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, ChinaMedical Big Data Research Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, ChinaMedical Big Data Research Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, ChinaBackground: Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) remains a complication with the potential risk of mortality for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The systemic inflammatory response (SIR) has been demonstrated to be associated with a bad prognosis of liver cirrhosis and tumors. This study aims to evaluate the incremental prognostic value of inflammatory markers in predicting PHLF in patients with HCC. Methods: Clinical characteristics and variables were retrospectively collected in 2824 patients diagnosed with HCC who underwent radical hepatectomy from the First Medical Center of the General Hospital of the People’s Liberation Army. A recently published prognostic model for PHLF was used as the reference model. The increase in AUC (ΔAUC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and the continuous version of the net reclassification improvement (NRI) were applied for quantifying the incremental value of adding the inflammatory markers to the reference model. A <i>p</i> value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: The reference PHLF model showed acceptable prediction performance in the current cohort, with an AUC of 0.7492 (95%CI, 0.7191–0.7794). The calculated ΔAUC associated with procalcitonin (PCT) was the only one that was statistically significant (<i>p</i> < 0.05), with a value of 0.0044, and demonstrated the largest magnitude of the increase in AUC. The continuous NRI value associated with the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) was 35.79%, second only to GPS (46.07%). However, the inflammatory markers of the new models with statistically significant IDI only included WBC count, lymphocyte count, and SII. IDI associated with SII, meanwhile, was the maximum (0.0076), which was consistent with the performance of using the ΔAUC (0.0044) to assess the incremental value of each inflammatory variable. Conclusions: Among a wide range of inflammatory markers, only PCT and SII have potential incremental prognostic value for predicting PHLF in patients with radical resectable HCC.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/13/10/1990hepatocellular carcinomapost-hepatectomy liver failureinflammatory markernet reclassification improvementintegrated discrimination improvement |
| spellingShingle | Xiao Wang Wenjun Wang Xixiang Lin Xu Chen Mingxiang Zhu Hongli Xu Kunlun He Inflammatory Markers Showed Significant Incremental Value for Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Life hepatocellular carcinoma post-hepatectomy liver failure inflammatory marker net reclassification improvement integrated discrimination improvement |
| title | Inflammatory Markers Showed Significant Incremental Value for Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients |
| title_full | Inflammatory Markers Showed Significant Incremental Value for Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients |
| title_fullStr | Inflammatory Markers Showed Significant Incremental Value for Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients |
| title_full_unstemmed | Inflammatory Markers Showed Significant Incremental Value for Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients |
| title_short | Inflammatory Markers Showed Significant Incremental Value for Predicting Post-Hepatectomy Liver Failure in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients |
| title_sort | inflammatory markers showed significant incremental value for predicting post hepatectomy liver failure in hepatocellular carcinoma patients |
| topic | hepatocellular carcinoma post-hepatectomy liver failure inflammatory marker net reclassification improvement integrated discrimination improvement |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/13/10/1990 |
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