GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE: NEW EVIDENCES BETWEEN TWO IPCC REPORTS

Even the economical crisis was not strong enough to deflect theanthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing for more than one year. It tends to developat the upper edge of the IPCC (2007) projection band of uncertainties. The part ofthe emitted carbon dioxide remaining in the atmosphere is increasing due to...

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Main Author: JÁNOS MIKA
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cluj University Press 2011-03-01
Series:Aerul şi Apa: Componente ale Mediului
Subjects:
Online Access:http://aerapa.conference.ubbcluj.ro/2011/PDF/Mika.pdf
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author JÁNOS MIKA
author_facet JÁNOS MIKA
author_sort JÁNOS MIKA
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description Even the economical crisis was not strong enough to deflect theanthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing for more than one year. It tends to developat the upper edge of the IPCC (2007) projection band of uncertainties. The part ofthe emitted carbon dioxide remaining in the atmosphere is increasing due toweakening of both the biospheric- and the oceanic sinks of this greenhouse-gas.The new radiation balance estimations must admit the imbalance between theatmosphere and the oceans indicating the fact that the greenhouse warmingdefinitely takes place. The year 2010 became most likely the warmest one on theglobal temperature record. The sea-level rise also follows the most rapid trackamong the foreseen scenarios. In the meantime modelling effort to better estimateregional features of the changes also develop in their full strength. TheENSEMBLES Project ended in December 2009 and published a lot of maps with25 km model resolution. These results, however, do not show convergence in theestimations for many regions, including Central Europe, either.
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spelling doaj.art-bf6eff785231405db263c139771687312023-12-02T14:25:45ZengCluj University PressAerul şi Apa: Componente ale Mediului2067-743X2011-03-01201118GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE: NEW EVIDENCES BETWEEN TWO IPCC REPORTSJÁNOS MIKAEven the economical crisis was not strong enough to deflect theanthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing for more than one year. It tends to developat the upper edge of the IPCC (2007) projection band of uncertainties. The part ofthe emitted carbon dioxide remaining in the atmosphere is increasing due toweakening of both the biospheric- and the oceanic sinks of this greenhouse-gas.The new radiation balance estimations must admit the imbalance between theatmosphere and the oceans indicating the fact that the greenhouse warmingdefinitely takes place. The year 2010 became most likely the warmest one on theglobal temperature record. The sea-level rise also follows the most rapid trackamong the foreseen scenarios. In the meantime modelling effort to better estimateregional features of the changes also develop in their full strength. TheENSEMBLES Project ended in December 2009 and published a lot of maps with25 km model resolution. These results, however, do not show convergence in theestimations for many regions, including Central Europe, either.http://aerapa.conference.ubbcluj.ro/2011/PDF/Mika.pdfcarbon-dioxideradiation balancesea-levelregional climate models
spellingShingle JÁNOS MIKA
GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE: NEW EVIDENCES BETWEEN TWO IPCC REPORTS
Aerul şi Apa: Componente ale Mediului
carbon-dioxide
radiation balance
sea-level
regional climate models
title GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE: NEW EVIDENCES BETWEEN TWO IPCC REPORTS
title_full GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE: NEW EVIDENCES BETWEEN TWO IPCC REPORTS
title_fullStr GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE: NEW EVIDENCES BETWEEN TWO IPCC REPORTS
title_full_unstemmed GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE: NEW EVIDENCES BETWEEN TWO IPCC REPORTS
title_short GLOBAL AND REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE: NEW EVIDENCES BETWEEN TWO IPCC REPORTS
title_sort global and regional climate change new evidences between two ipcc reports
topic carbon-dioxide
radiation balance
sea-level
regional climate models
url http://aerapa.conference.ubbcluj.ro/2011/PDF/Mika.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT janosmika globalandregionalclimatechangenewevidencesbetweentwoipccreports