Optimization of nutritional strategies using a mechanistic computational model in prediabetes: Application to the J-DOIT1 study data.

Lifestyle interventions have been shown to prevent or delay the onset of diabetes; however, inter-individual variability in responses to such interventions makes lifestyle recommendations challenging. We analyzed the Japan Diabetes Outcome Intervention Trial-1 (J-DOIT1) study data using a previously...

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Main Authors: Julia H Chen, Momoko Fukasawa, Naoki Sakane, Akiko Suganuma, Hideshi Kuzuya, Shikhar Pandey, Paul D'Alessandro, Sai Phanindra Venkatapurapu, Gaurav Dwivedi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0287069&type=printable
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author Julia H Chen
Momoko Fukasawa
Naoki Sakane
Akiko Suganuma
Hideshi Kuzuya
Shikhar Pandey
Paul D'Alessandro
Sai Phanindra Venkatapurapu
Gaurav Dwivedi
author_facet Julia H Chen
Momoko Fukasawa
Naoki Sakane
Akiko Suganuma
Hideshi Kuzuya
Shikhar Pandey
Paul D'Alessandro
Sai Phanindra Venkatapurapu
Gaurav Dwivedi
author_sort Julia H Chen
collection DOAJ
description Lifestyle interventions have been shown to prevent or delay the onset of diabetes; however, inter-individual variability in responses to such interventions makes lifestyle recommendations challenging. We analyzed the Japan Diabetes Outcome Intervention Trial-1 (J-DOIT1) study data using a previously published mechanistic simulation model of type 2 diabetes onset and progression to understand the causes of inter-individual variability and to optimize dietary intervention strategies at an individual level. J-DOIT1, a large-scale lifestyle intervention study, involved 2607 subjects with a 4.2-year median follow-up period. We selected 112 individuals from the J-DOIT1 study and calibrated the mechanistic model to each participant's body weight and HbA1c time courses. We evaluated the relationship of physiological (e.g., insulin sensitivity) and lifestyle (e.g., dietary intake) parameters with variability in outcome. Finally, we used simulation analyses to predict individually optimized diets for weight reduction. The model predicted individual body weight and HbA1c time courses with a mean (±SD) prediction error of 1.0 kg (±1.2) and 0.14% (±0.18), respectively. Individuals with the most and least improved biomarkers showed no significant differences in model-estimated energy balance. A wide range of weight changes was observed for similar model-estimated caloric changes, indicating that caloric balance alone may not be a good predictor of body weight. The model suggests that a set of optimal diets exists to achieve a defined weight reduction, and this set of diets is unique to each individual. Our diabetes model can simulate changes in body weight and glycemic control as a result of lifestyle interventions. Moreover, this model could help dieticians and physicians to optimize personalized nutritional strategies according to their patients' goals.
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spelling doaj.art-bf6ffa398f9343aaa18cd841428a0c452024-01-04T05:31:42ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032023-01-011811e028706910.1371/journal.pone.0287069Optimization of nutritional strategies using a mechanistic computational model in prediabetes: Application to the J-DOIT1 study data.Julia H ChenMomoko FukasawaNaoki SakaneAkiko SuganumaHideshi KuzuyaShikhar PandeyPaul D'AlessandroSai Phanindra VenkatapurapuGaurav DwivediLifestyle interventions have been shown to prevent or delay the onset of diabetes; however, inter-individual variability in responses to such interventions makes lifestyle recommendations challenging. We analyzed the Japan Diabetes Outcome Intervention Trial-1 (J-DOIT1) study data using a previously published mechanistic simulation model of type 2 diabetes onset and progression to understand the causes of inter-individual variability and to optimize dietary intervention strategies at an individual level. J-DOIT1, a large-scale lifestyle intervention study, involved 2607 subjects with a 4.2-year median follow-up period. We selected 112 individuals from the J-DOIT1 study and calibrated the mechanistic model to each participant's body weight and HbA1c time courses. We evaluated the relationship of physiological (e.g., insulin sensitivity) and lifestyle (e.g., dietary intake) parameters with variability in outcome. Finally, we used simulation analyses to predict individually optimized diets for weight reduction. The model predicted individual body weight and HbA1c time courses with a mean (±SD) prediction error of 1.0 kg (±1.2) and 0.14% (±0.18), respectively. Individuals with the most and least improved biomarkers showed no significant differences in model-estimated energy balance. A wide range of weight changes was observed for similar model-estimated caloric changes, indicating that caloric balance alone may not be a good predictor of body weight. The model suggests that a set of optimal diets exists to achieve a defined weight reduction, and this set of diets is unique to each individual. Our diabetes model can simulate changes in body weight and glycemic control as a result of lifestyle interventions. Moreover, this model could help dieticians and physicians to optimize personalized nutritional strategies according to their patients' goals.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0287069&type=printable
spellingShingle Julia H Chen
Momoko Fukasawa
Naoki Sakane
Akiko Suganuma
Hideshi Kuzuya
Shikhar Pandey
Paul D'Alessandro
Sai Phanindra Venkatapurapu
Gaurav Dwivedi
Optimization of nutritional strategies using a mechanistic computational model in prediabetes: Application to the J-DOIT1 study data.
PLoS ONE
title Optimization of nutritional strategies using a mechanistic computational model in prediabetes: Application to the J-DOIT1 study data.
title_full Optimization of nutritional strategies using a mechanistic computational model in prediabetes: Application to the J-DOIT1 study data.
title_fullStr Optimization of nutritional strategies using a mechanistic computational model in prediabetes: Application to the J-DOIT1 study data.
title_full_unstemmed Optimization of nutritional strategies using a mechanistic computational model in prediabetes: Application to the J-DOIT1 study data.
title_short Optimization of nutritional strategies using a mechanistic computational model in prediabetes: Application to the J-DOIT1 study data.
title_sort optimization of nutritional strategies using a mechanistic computational model in prediabetes application to the j doit1 study data
url https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0287069&type=printable
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