Generalized Linear Models in Vehicle Insurance

Actuaries in insurance companies try to find the best model for an estimation of insurance premium. It depends on many risk factors, e.g. the car characteristics and the profile of the driver. In this paper, an analysis of the portfolio of vehicle insurance data using a generalized linear model (GLM...

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Main Authors: Silvie Kafková, Lenka Křivánková
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mendel University Press 2014-01-01
Series:Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis
Subjects:
Online Access:https://acta.mendelu.cz/62/2/0383/
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author Silvie Kafková
Lenka Křivánková
author_facet Silvie Kafková
Lenka Křivánková
author_sort Silvie Kafková
collection DOAJ
description Actuaries in insurance companies try to find the best model for an estimation of insurance premium. It depends on many risk factors, e.g. the car characteristics and the profile of the driver. In this paper, an analysis of the portfolio of vehicle insurance data using a generalized linear model (GLM) is performed. The main advantage of the approach presented in this article is that the GLMs are not limited by inflexible preconditions. Our aim is to predict the relation of annual claim frequency on given risk factors. Based on a large real-world sample of data from 57 410 vehicles, the present study proposed a classification analysis approach that addresses the selection of predictor variables. The models with different predictor variables are compared by analysis of deviance and Akaike information criterion (AIC). Based on this comparison, the model for the best estimate of annual claim frequency is chosen. All statistical calculations are computed in R environment, which contains stats package with the function for the estimation of parameters of GLM and the function for analysis of deviation.
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spelling doaj.art-bfbe2e6e481c40adb8122bd25ad542d72022-12-22T03:21:14ZengMendel University PressActa Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis1211-85162464-83102014-01-0162238338810.11118/actaun201462020383Generalized Linear Models in Vehicle InsuranceSilvie Kafková0Lenka Křivánková1Masaryk University, Faculty of Economics and Administration, Lipová 41a, 602 00 Brno, Czech RepublicMasaryk University, Faculty of Science, Kotlářská 2, 611 37 Brno, Czech RepublicActuaries in insurance companies try to find the best model for an estimation of insurance premium. It depends on many risk factors, e.g. the car characteristics and the profile of the driver. In this paper, an analysis of the portfolio of vehicle insurance data using a generalized linear model (GLM) is performed. The main advantage of the approach presented in this article is that the GLMs are not limited by inflexible preconditions. Our aim is to predict the relation of annual claim frequency on given risk factors. Based on a large real-world sample of data from 57 410 vehicles, the present study proposed a classification analysis approach that addresses the selection of predictor variables. The models with different predictor variables are compared by analysis of deviance and Akaike information criterion (AIC). Based on this comparison, the model for the best estimate of annual claim frequency is chosen. All statistical calculations are computed in R environment, which contains stats package with the function for the estimation of parameters of GLM and the function for analysis of deviation.https://acta.mendelu.cz/62/2/0383/vehicle insurancegeneralized linear modelpoisson distributionlink functionanalysis of devianceAkaike information criterion
spellingShingle Silvie Kafková
Lenka Křivánková
Generalized Linear Models in Vehicle Insurance
Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis
vehicle insurance
generalized linear model
poisson distribution
link function
analysis of deviance
Akaike information criterion
title Generalized Linear Models in Vehicle Insurance
title_full Generalized Linear Models in Vehicle Insurance
title_fullStr Generalized Linear Models in Vehicle Insurance
title_full_unstemmed Generalized Linear Models in Vehicle Insurance
title_short Generalized Linear Models in Vehicle Insurance
title_sort generalized linear models in vehicle insurance
topic vehicle insurance
generalized linear model
poisson distribution
link function
analysis of deviance
Akaike information criterion
url https://acta.mendelu.cz/62/2/0383/
work_keys_str_mv AT silviekafkova generalizedlinearmodelsinvehicleinsurance
AT lenkakrivankova generalizedlinearmodelsinvehicleinsurance