Risk Stratification Tool for Ischemic Stroke: A Risk Assessment Model Based on Traditional Risk Factors Combined With White Matter Lesions and Retinal Vascular Caliber

Objective: This study aims to establish a risk assessment model based on traditional risk factors combined with the Fazekas classification of white matter lesions and retinal vascular caliber for screening the patients at high risk of ischemic stroke.Methods: This study included 296 patients (128 ca...

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Main Authors: Lu Zhao, Bin Jiang, Hongyang Li, Xiufen Yang, Xiaoyue Cheng, Hui Hong, Yanling Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021-08-01
Series:Frontiers in Neurology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2021.696986/full
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author Lu Zhao
Bin Jiang
Hongyang Li
Xiufen Yang
Xiaoyue Cheng
Hui Hong
Yanling Wang
author_facet Lu Zhao
Bin Jiang
Hongyang Li
Xiufen Yang
Xiaoyue Cheng
Hui Hong
Yanling Wang
author_sort Lu Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Objective: This study aims to establish a risk assessment model based on traditional risk factors combined with the Fazekas classification of white matter lesions and retinal vascular caliber for screening the patients at high risk of ischemic stroke.Methods: This study included 296 patients (128 cases of ischemic stroke and 168 cases in the normal control group). The basic data of the patients were collected. Color fundus photography was performed after pupil dilation, and the retinal vascular caliber was measured using semiautomated vascular measurement software (IVAN Software, Sydney, Australia). The severity of white matter lesions (WML) on cranial nuclear magnetic fluid-attenuated inversion recovery images were assessed using the Fazekas scale. Moreover, logistic regression analysis was used to establish different risk assessment models for ischemic stroke. The effects of models were evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the Delong test compared area under the curve.Results: The sensitivity and specificity of models 1 (the traditional risk factor model), 2 (the retinal vascular caliber model), 3 (the WML model), and 4 (the combined the traditional risk factor, WML and central retinal artery equivalent (CRAE) model) were 71 and 55%, 48 and 71%, 49 and 67%, and 68 and 68.5% with areas under the curve of 0.658, 0.586, 0.601, and 0.708, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in models 1, 2, 3, and 4 showed statistically significant differences. Moreover, no statistical significance exists in the pairwise comparison of other models.Conclusion: The risk assessment model of ischemic stroke combined with Fazekas grade of WML and CRAE is superior to the traditional risk factor and the single-index model. This model is helpful for risk stratification of high-risk stroke patients.
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spelling doaj.art-bfc2db9edaa84b099dcc625e5aa5f76d2022-12-21T22:37:45ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Neurology1664-22952021-08-011210.3389/fneur.2021.696986696986Risk Stratification Tool for Ischemic Stroke: A Risk Assessment Model Based on Traditional Risk Factors Combined With White Matter Lesions and Retinal Vascular CaliberLu Zhao0Bin Jiang1Hongyang Li2Xiufen Yang3Xiaoyue Cheng4Hui Hong5Yanling Wang6Department of Ophthalmology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Neurology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaObjective: This study aims to establish a risk assessment model based on traditional risk factors combined with the Fazekas classification of white matter lesions and retinal vascular caliber for screening the patients at high risk of ischemic stroke.Methods: This study included 296 patients (128 cases of ischemic stroke and 168 cases in the normal control group). The basic data of the patients were collected. Color fundus photography was performed after pupil dilation, and the retinal vascular caliber was measured using semiautomated vascular measurement software (IVAN Software, Sydney, Australia). The severity of white matter lesions (WML) on cranial nuclear magnetic fluid-attenuated inversion recovery images were assessed using the Fazekas scale. Moreover, logistic regression analysis was used to establish different risk assessment models for ischemic stroke. The effects of models were evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the Delong test compared area under the curve.Results: The sensitivity and specificity of models 1 (the traditional risk factor model), 2 (the retinal vascular caliber model), 3 (the WML model), and 4 (the combined the traditional risk factor, WML and central retinal artery equivalent (CRAE) model) were 71 and 55%, 48 and 71%, 49 and 67%, and 68 and 68.5% with areas under the curve of 0.658, 0.586, 0.601, and 0.708, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in models 1, 2, 3, and 4 showed statistically significant differences. Moreover, no statistical significance exists in the pairwise comparison of other models.Conclusion: The risk assessment model of ischemic stroke combined with Fazekas grade of WML and CRAE is superior to the traditional risk factor and the single-index model. This model is helpful for risk stratification of high-risk stroke patients.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2021.696986/fullwhite matter lesionsretinal vessel caliberischemic strokeinfarctionrisk assessment model
spellingShingle Lu Zhao
Bin Jiang
Hongyang Li
Xiufen Yang
Xiaoyue Cheng
Hui Hong
Yanling Wang
Risk Stratification Tool for Ischemic Stroke: A Risk Assessment Model Based on Traditional Risk Factors Combined With White Matter Lesions and Retinal Vascular Caliber
Frontiers in Neurology
white matter lesions
retinal vessel caliber
ischemic stroke
infarction
risk assessment model
title Risk Stratification Tool for Ischemic Stroke: A Risk Assessment Model Based on Traditional Risk Factors Combined With White Matter Lesions and Retinal Vascular Caliber
title_full Risk Stratification Tool for Ischemic Stroke: A Risk Assessment Model Based on Traditional Risk Factors Combined With White Matter Lesions and Retinal Vascular Caliber
title_fullStr Risk Stratification Tool for Ischemic Stroke: A Risk Assessment Model Based on Traditional Risk Factors Combined With White Matter Lesions and Retinal Vascular Caliber
title_full_unstemmed Risk Stratification Tool for Ischemic Stroke: A Risk Assessment Model Based on Traditional Risk Factors Combined With White Matter Lesions and Retinal Vascular Caliber
title_short Risk Stratification Tool for Ischemic Stroke: A Risk Assessment Model Based on Traditional Risk Factors Combined With White Matter Lesions and Retinal Vascular Caliber
title_sort risk stratification tool for ischemic stroke a risk assessment model based on traditional risk factors combined with white matter lesions and retinal vascular caliber
topic white matter lesions
retinal vessel caliber
ischemic stroke
infarction
risk assessment model
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2021.696986/full
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