A Non-Linear Trend Function for Kriging with External Drift Using Least Squares Support Vector Regression

Spatial interpolation of meteorological data can have immense implications on risk management and climate change planning. Kriging with external drift (KED) is a spatial interpolation variant that uses auxiliary information in the estimation of target variables at unobserved locations. However, trad...

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Main Authors: Kanokrat Baisad, Nawinda Chutsagulprom, Sompop Moonchai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-11-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/23/4799
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author Kanokrat Baisad
Nawinda Chutsagulprom
Sompop Moonchai
author_facet Kanokrat Baisad
Nawinda Chutsagulprom
Sompop Moonchai
author_sort Kanokrat Baisad
collection DOAJ
description Spatial interpolation of meteorological data can have immense implications on risk management and climate change planning. Kriging with external drift (KED) is a spatial interpolation variant that uses auxiliary information in the estimation of target variables at unobserved locations. However, traditional KED methods with linear trend functions may not be able to capture the complex and non-linear interdependence between target and auxiliary variables, which can lead to an inaccurate estimation. In this work, a novel KED method using least squares support vector regression (LSSVR) is proposed. This machine learning algorithm is employed to construct trend functions regardless of the type of variable interrelations being considered. To evaluate the efficiency of the proposed method (KED with LSSVR) relative to the traditional method (KED with a linear trend function), a systematic simulation study for estimating the monthly mean temperature and pressure in Thailand in 2017 was conducted. The KED with LSSVR is shown to have superior performance over the KED with the linear trend function.
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spelling doaj.art-bfcb906bbf544bc2a5867fc1b45117cb2023-12-08T15:21:47ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902023-11-011123479910.3390/math11234799A Non-Linear Trend Function for Kriging with External Drift Using Least Squares Support Vector RegressionKanokrat Baisad0Nawinda Chutsagulprom1Sompop Moonchai2Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, ThailandDepartment of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, ThailandDepartment of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, ThailandSpatial interpolation of meteorological data can have immense implications on risk management and climate change planning. Kriging with external drift (KED) is a spatial interpolation variant that uses auxiliary information in the estimation of target variables at unobserved locations. However, traditional KED methods with linear trend functions may not be able to capture the complex and non-linear interdependence between target and auxiliary variables, which can lead to an inaccurate estimation. In this work, a novel KED method using least squares support vector regression (LSSVR) is proposed. This machine learning algorithm is employed to construct trend functions regardless of the type of variable interrelations being considered. To evaluate the efficiency of the proposed method (KED with LSSVR) relative to the traditional method (KED with a linear trend function), a systematic simulation study for estimating the monthly mean temperature and pressure in Thailand in 2017 was conducted. The KED with LSSVR is shown to have superior performance over the KED with the linear trend function.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/23/4799geostatisticsspatial interpolationkriging with external driftleast squares support vector regressiontrend function
spellingShingle Kanokrat Baisad
Nawinda Chutsagulprom
Sompop Moonchai
A Non-Linear Trend Function for Kriging with External Drift Using Least Squares Support Vector Regression
Mathematics
geostatistics
spatial interpolation
kriging with external drift
least squares support vector regression
trend function
title A Non-Linear Trend Function for Kriging with External Drift Using Least Squares Support Vector Regression
title_full A Non-Linear Trend Function for Kriging with External Drift Using Least Squares Support Vector Regression
title_fullStr A Non-Linear Trend Function for Kriging with External Drift Using Least Squares Support Vector Regression
title_full_unstemmed A Non-Linear Trend Function for Kriging with External Drift Using Least Squares Support Vector Regression
title_short A Non-Linear Trend Function for Kriging with External Drift Using Least Squares Support Vector Regression
title_sort non linear trend function for kriging with external drift using least squares support vector regression
topic geostatistics
spatial interpolation
kriging with external drift
least squares support vector regression
trend function
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/23/4799
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