Two Centuries of Drought History in the Center of Chihuahua, Mexico

Droughts are a climatic phenomenon with local, regional, and large-scale repercussions. Historical knowledge of droughts generated by modeled data allows the development of more accurate climate reconstructions to propose better approaches for the management of hydric resources. The objective of thi...

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Main Authors: Aldo Rafael Martínez-Sifuentes, José Villanueva-Díaz, Juan Estrada-Ávalos, Ramón Trucíos-Caciano, Teodoro Carlón-Allende, Luis Ubaldo Castruita-Esparza
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-06-01
Series:Forests
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/6/921
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author Aldo Rafael Martínez-Sifuentes
José Villanueva-Díaz
Juan Estrada-Ávalos
Ramón Trucíos-Caciano
Teodoro Carlón-Allende
Luis Ubaldo Castruita-Esparza
author_facet Aldo Rafael Martínez-Sifuentes
José Villanueva-Díaz
Juan Estrada-Ávalos
Ramón Trucíos-Caciano
Teodoro Carlón-Allende
Luis Ubaldo Castruita-Esparza
author_sort Aldo Rafael Martínez-Sifuentes
collection DOAJ
description Droughts are a climatic phenomenon with local, regional, and large-scale repercussions. Historical knowledge of droughts generated by modeled data allows the development of more accurate climate reconstructions to propose better approaches for the management of hydric resources. The objective of this research was to evaluate the association of precipitation and temperature with data from the NLDAS-002 to develop a reconstruction of droughts in the center of Chihuahua, Mexico using the SPEI from tree rings. We also identified the influence of ocean–atmospheric phenomena on the reconstructed drought index. The best association among chronologies was obtained with the earlywood band and accumulated seasonal precipitation from November of the previous year to June of the current year (r = 0.82, <i>p</i> < 0.05) and for temperature from January to July (r = −0.81, <i>p</i> < 0.05). The reconstructed drought index extended from 1775 to 2017 (243 years), where seven extreme drought events were identified. We found significant correlations between the reconstructed Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (r = 0.46, <i>p</i> < 0.05), Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (r = −0.34, <i>p</i> < 0.05), Multivariate El Niño Southern Oscillation Index (r = 0.29, <i>p</i> < 0.05), and Southern Oscillation Index (r = −0.22, <i>p</i> < 0.05). The historical reconstruction of hydroclimatology in the center of Chihuahua is important for planning a long-term assessment and for the management of water resources shared by Mexico and the United States.
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spelling doaj.art-c02fb815a08c45f4be1ebf01833be5aa2023-11-23T16:41:22ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072022-06-0113692110.3390/f13060921Two Centuries of Drought History in the Center of Chihuahua, MexicoAldo Rafael Martínez-Sifuentes0José Villanueva-Díaz1Juan Estrada-Ávalos2Ramón Trucíos-Caciano3Teodoro Carlón-Allende4Luis Ubaldo Castruita-Esparza5Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias, Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaria en Relación Agua, Suelo, Planta y Atmósfera. Km. 6.5 Margen Derecha Canal de Sacramento, Gómez Palacio 35150, MexicoInstituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias, Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaria en Relación Agua, Suelo, Planta y Atmósfera. Km. 6.5 Margen Derecha Canal de Sacramento, Gómez Palacio 35150, MexicoInstituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias, Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaria en Relación Agua, Suelo, Planta y Atmósfera. Km. 6.5 Margen Derecha Canal de Sacramento, Gómez Palacio 35150, MexicoInstituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias, Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaria en Relación Agua, Suelo, Planta y Atmósfera. Km. 6.5 Margen Derecha Canal de Sacramento, Gómez Palacio 35150, MexicoCONACYT-Instituto de Geofísica, Unidad Michoacán, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Antigua Carretera a Pátzcuaro No. 8701, Col. Ex-Hacienda de San José de la Huerta, Morelia 58190, MexicoFacultad de Ciencias Agrícolas y Forestales, Universidad Autónoma de Chihuahua, Km. 2.5 Carretera Delicias a Rosales, Delicias 33000, MexicoDroughts are a climatic phenomenon with local, regional, and large-scale repercussions. Historical knowledge of droughts generated by modeled data allows the development of more accurate climate reconstructions to propose better approaches for the management of hydric resources. The objective of this research was to evaluate the association of precipitation and temperature with data from the NLDAS-002 to develop a reconstruction of droughts in the center of Chihuahua, Mexico using the SPEI from tree rings. We also identified the influence of ocean–atmospheric phenomena on the reconstructed drought index. The best association among chronologies was obtained with the earlywood band and accumulated seasonal precipitation from November of the previous year to June of the current year (r = 0.82, <i>p</i> < 0.05) and for temperature from January to July (r = −0.81, <i>p</i> < 0.05). The reconstructed drought index extended from 1775 to 2017 (243 years), where seven extreme drought events were identified. We found significant correlations between the reconstructed Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (r = 0.46, <i>p</i> < 0.05), Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (r = −0.34, <i>p</i> < 0.05), Multivariate El Niño Southern Oscillation Index (r = 0.29, <i>p</i> < 0.05), and Southern Oscillation Index (r = −0.22, <i>p</i> < 0.05). The historical reconstruction of hydroclimatology in the center of Chihuahua is important for planning a long-term assessment and for the management of water resources shared by Mexico and the United States.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/6/921precipitationdrought indextree ringstemperature
spellingShingle Aldo Rafael Martínez-Sifuentes
José Villanueva-Díaz
Juan Estrada-Ávalos
Ramón Trucíos-Caciano
Teodoro Carlón-Allende
Luis Ubaldo Castruita-Esparza
Two Centuries of Drought History in the Center of Chihuahua, Mexico
Forests
precipitation
drought index
tree rings
temperature
title Two Centuries of Drought History in the Center of Chihuahua, Mexico
title_full Two Centuries of Drought History in the Center of Chihuahua, Mexico
title_fullStr Two Centuries of Drought History in the Center of Chihuahua, Mexico
title_full_unstemmed Two Centuries of Drought History in the Center of Chihuahua, Mexico
title_short Two Centuries of Drought History in the Center of Chihuahua, Mexico
title_sort two centuries of drought history in the center of chihuahua mexico
topic precipitation
drought index
tree rings
temperature
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/13/6/921
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