National prevalence of smoking among adolescents at tobacco tax increase and COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, 2005–2022

Abstract Prior research has predominantly focused on the overall effects of the tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescent smoking behavior. However, there is a need to examine both the immediate and sustained associations of these two factors on subgroups of adolescents, employing...

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Main Authors: Seohyun Hong, Selin Woo, Seokjun Kim, Jaeyu Park, Myeongcheol Lee, Sunyoung Kim, Ai Koyanagi, Lee Smith, Min Seo Kim, Guillermo F. López Sánchez, Elena Dragioti, Masoud Rahmati, Guillaume Fond, Laurent Boyer, Jiyeon Oh, Hojae Lee, Dong Keon Yon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-04-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58446-4
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author Seohyun Hong
Selin Woo
Seokjun Kim
Jaeyu Park
Myeongcheol Lee
Sunyoung Kim
Ai Koyanagi
Lee Smith
Min Seo Kim
Guillermo F. López Sánchez
Elena Dragioti
Masoud Rahmati
Guillaume Fond
Laurent Boyer
Jiyeon Oh
Hojae Lee
Dong Keon Yon
author_facet Seohyun Hong
Selin Woo
Seokjun Kim
Jaeyu Park
Myeongcheol Lee
Sunyoung Kim
Ai Koyanagi
Lee Smith
Min Seo Kim
Guillermo F. López Sánchez
Elena Dragioti
Masoud Rahmati
Guillaume Fond
Laurent Boyer
Jiyeon Oh
Hojae Lee
Dong Keon Yon
author_sort Seohyun Hong
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Prior research has predominantly focused on the overall effects of the tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescent smoking behavior. However, there is a need to examine both the immediate and sustained associations of these two factors on subgroups of adolescents, employing an interrupted time-series model. We aimed to investigate the immediate and sustained association of tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescent smoking prevalence. This study utilized data from the Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-Based Survey to analyze the prevalence of current smoking among all participants (CSP) and the prevalence of daily smoking among current smokers (DSP) of Korean adolescents (n = 1,159,995; mean, age 14.99; male 51.5%) over 18 years from 2005 to 2022. The study examined 18-year trends in CSP and DSP among Korean adolescents, emphasizing the influences of the 2015 tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic, using β coefficients and their differences (βdiff) from an interrupted time-series ARIMA model. While CSP exhibited a decreasing trend, DSP exhibited an increasing trend. Tobacco tax increase was associated with both the short and long terms in smoking prevalence, however, the short-term association on prevalence (CSP, − 3.076 [95% CI, − 3.707 to − 2.445]; DSP, − 4.112 [95% CI, − 6.488 to − 1.735]) was stronger. The pandemic was associated with an immediate increase in DSP (9.345 [95% CI, 5.285–13.406]). These effects were strongest among adolescents from low economic status and those exposed to familial secondhand smoking. Supportive programs for adolescents in low-income families will help overcome the effects associated with the pandemic. As a tobacco tax increase was associated with a reduction in smoking prevalence, this could be one method to overcome the effects of the pandemic.
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spelling doaj.art-c0677ee9000948b0867cf75f8d1a74032024-04-07T11:13:59ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-04-0114111110.1038/s41598-024-58446-4National prevalence of smoking among adolescents at tobacco tax increase and COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, 2005–2022Seohyun Hong0Selin Woo1Seokjun Kim2Jaeyu Park3Myeongcheol Lee4Sunyoung Kim5Ai Koyanagi6Lee Smith7Min Seo Kim8Guillermo F. López Sánchez9Elena Dragioti10Masoud Rahmati11Guillaume Fond12Laurent Boyer13Jiyeon Oh14Hojae Lee15Dong Keon Yon16Department of Medicine, Kyung Hee University College of MedicineCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of MedicineDepartment of Medicine, Kyung Hee University College of MedicineCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of MedicineCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of MedicineDepartment of Family Medicine, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of MedicineResearch and Development Unit, Parc Sanitari Sant Joan de DeuCentre for Health, Performance and Wellbeing, Anglia Ruskin UniversityCardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and HarvardDivision of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Department of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of MurciaPain and Rehabilitation Centre, and Department of Medical and Health Sciences, Linköping UniversityDepartment of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, Faculty of Literature and Human Sciences, Lorestan UniversityCEReSS-Health Service Research and Quality of Life Center, Assistance Publique Des Hôpitaux de Marseille, Aix-Marseille UniversityCEReSS-Health Service Research and Quality of Life Center, Assistance Publique Des Hôpitaux de Marseille, Aix-Marseille UniversityDepartment of Medicine, Kyung Hee University College of MedicineCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of MedicineDepartment of Medicine, Kyung Hee University College of MedicineAbstract Prior research has predominantly focused on the overall effects of the tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescent smoking behavior. However, there is a need to examine both the immediate and sustained associations of these two factors on subgroups of adolescents, employing an interrupted time-series model. We aimed to investigate the immediate and sustained association of tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescent smoking prevalence. This study utilized data from the Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-Based Survey to analyze the prevalence of current smoking among all participants (CSP) and the prevalence of daily smoking among current smokers (DSP) of Korean adolescents (n = 1,159,995; mean, age 14.99; male 51.5%) over 18 years from 2005 to 2022. The study examined 18-year trends in CSP and DSP among Korean adolescents, emphasizing the influences of the 2015 tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic, using β coefficients and their differences (βdiff) from an interrupted time-series ARIMA model. While CSP exhibited a decreasing trend, DSP exhibited an increasing trend. Tobacco tax increase was associated with both the short and long terms in smoking prevalence, however, the short-term association on prevalence (CSP, − 3.076 [95% CI, − 3.707 to − 2.445]; DSP, − 4.112 [95% CI, − 6.488 to − 1.735]) was stronger. The pandemic was associated with an immediate increase in DSP (9.345 [95% CI, 5.285–13.406]). These effects were strongest among adolescents from low economic status and those exposed to familial secondhand smoking. Supportive programs for adolescents in low-income families will help overcome the effects associated with the pandemic. As a tobacco tax increase was associated with a reduction in smoking prevalence, this could be one method to overcome the effects of the pandemic.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58446-4AdolescentCOVID-19Daily smokersEver smokersInterrupted time seriesARIMA
spellingShingle Seohyun Hong
Selin Woo
Seokjun Kim
Jaeyu Park
Myeongcheol Lee
Sunyoung Kim
Ai Koyanagi
Lee Smith
Min Seo Kim
Guillermo F. López Sánchez
Elena Dragioti
Masoud Rahmati
Guillaume Fond
Laurent Boyer
Jiyeon Oh
Hojae Lee
Dong Keon Yon
National prevalence of smoking among adolescents at tobacco tax increase and COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, 2005–2022
Scientific Reports
Adolescent
COVID-19
Daily smokers
Ever smokers
Interrupted time series
ARIMA
title National prevalence of smoking among adolescents at tobacco tax increase and COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, 2005–2022
title_full National prevalence of smoking among adolescents at tobacco tax increase and COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, 2005–2022
title_fullStr National prevalence of smoking among adolescents at tobacco tax increase and COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, 2005–2022
title_full_unstemmed National prevalence of smoking among adolescents at tobacco tax increase and COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, 2005–2022
title_short National prevalence of smoking among adolescents at tobacco tax increase and COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea, 2005–2022
title_sort national prevalence of smoking among adolescents at tobacco tax increase and covid 19 pandemic in south korea 2005 2022
topic Adolescent
COVID-19
Daily smokers
Ever smokers
Interrupted time series
ARIMA
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58446-4
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