A scenario analysis of the energy transition in Japan’s road transportation sector based on the LEAP model

Japan has lagged behind other developed nations in transitioning its transportation sector to sustainable energy sources. This study employs the Low Emissions Analysis Platform model to examine six scenarios, assessing energy consumption and emissions associated with four major energy sources and po...

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Main Authors: Linghao Meng, Mei Li, Jusen Asuka
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2024-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad3566
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author Linghao Meng
Mei Li
Jusen Asuka
author_facet Linghao Meng
Mei Li
Jusen Asuka
author_sort Linghao Meng
collection DOAJ
description Japan has lagged behind other developed nations in transitioning its transportation sector to sustainable energy sources. This study employs the Low Emissions Analysis Platform model to examine six scenarios, assessing energy consumption and emissions associated with four major energy sources and pollutants. Our findings reveal an overall decline in total energy consumption across all scenarios. Notably, the Combined scenario where multiple policies are integrated demonstrates the most significant reduction, with a 56% decrease compared to the Business as usual scenario by 2050. The analysis also indicates that the electricity and hydrogen demand for electric vehicles and fuel cell vehicles remains economically viable within future strategic plans. Emissions, including CO _2 , Carbon Monoxide (CO), Methane (CH _4 ), and Nitrous Oxide (N _2 O), exhibit substantial reductions, particularly under the Active Promotion Scenario, where a high EV adoption rate is achieved. Moreover, the Combined scenario resulting in a comprehensive and integrated approach, leads to a remarkable 66% decrease in emissions. These results serve as valuable reference points for the Japanese government, aiding in the formulation of future targets for widespread EV adoption and emission standards for pollutants.
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spelling doaj.art-c06de014e3014c08817b0b32465465e12024-04-03T11:28:57ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262024-01-0119404405910.1088/1748-9326/ad3566A scenario analysis of the energy transition in Japan’s road transportation sector based on the LEAP modelLinghao Meng0https://orcid.org/0009-0007-0127-6630Mei Li1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1940-0464Jusen Asuka2College of Digital Commerce, Zhejiang Business Technology Institution , Ningbo, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Digital Commerce, Zhejiang Business Technology Institution , Ningbo, People’s Republic of ChinaCenter for Northeast Asian Studies, Tohoku University , Sendai, JapanJapan has lagged behind other developed nations in transitioning its transportation sector to sustainable energy sources. This study employs the Low Emissions Analysis Platform model to examine six scenarios, assessing energy consumption and emissions associated with four major energy sources and pollutants. Our findings reveal an overall decline in total energy consumption across all scenarios. Notably, the Combined scenario where multiple policies are integrated demonstrates the most significant reduction, with a 56% decrease compared to the Business as usual scenario by 2050. The analysis also indicates that the electricity and hydrogen demand for electric vehicles and fuel cell vehicles remains economically viable within future strategic plans. Emissions, including CO _2 , Carbon Monoxide (CO), Methane (CH _4 ), and Nitrous Oxide (N _2 O), exhibit substantial reductions, particularly under the Active Promotion Scenario, where a high EV adoption rate is achieved. Moreover, the Combined scenario resulting in a comprehensive and integrated approach, leads to a remarkable 66% decrease in emissions. These results serve as valuable reference points for the Japanese government, aiding in the formulation of future targets for widespread EV adoption and emission standards for pollutants.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad3566scenario analysistransportationLEAP model
spellingShingle Linghao Meng
Mei Li
Jusen Asuka
A scenario analysis of the energy transition in Japan’s road transportation sector based on the LEAP model
Environmental Research Letters
scenario analysis
transportation
LEAP model
title A scenario analysis of the energy transition in Japan’s road transportation sector based on the LEAP model
title_full A scenario analysis of the energy transition in Japan’s road transportation sector based on the LEAP model
title_fullStr A scenario analysis of the energy transition in Japan’s road transportation sector based on the LEAP model
title_full_unstemmed A scenario analysis of the energy transition in Japan’s road transportation sector based on the LEAP model
title_short A scenario analysis of the energy transition in Japan’s road transportation sector based on the LEAP model
title_sort scenario analysis of the energy transition in japan s road transportation sector based on the leap model
topic scenario analysis
transportation
LEAP model
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad3566
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