A 30-Year Probability Map for Oil Spill Trajectories in the Barents Sea to Assess Potential Environmental and Socio-Economic Threats

Increasing exploration and exploitation activity in the Arctic Ocean has intensified maritime traffic in the Barents Sea. Due to the sparse population and insufficient oil spill response infrastructure on the extensive Barents Sea shoreline, it is necessary to address the possibility of offshore acc...

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Main Authors: Victor Pavlov, Victor Cesar Martins de Aguiar, Lars Robert Hole, Eva Pongrácz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Resources
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-9276/11/1/1
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author Victor Pavlov
Victor Cesar Martins de Aguiar
Lars Robert Hole
Eva Pongrácz
author_facet Victor Pavlov
Victor Cesar Martins de Aguiar
Lars Robert Hole
Eva Pongrácz
author_sort Victor Pavlov
collection DOAJ
description Increasing exploration and exploitation activity in the Arctic Ocean has intensified maritime traffic in the Barents Sea. Due to the sparse population and insufficient oil spill response infrastructure on the extensive Barents Sea shoreline, it is necessary to address the possibility of offshore accidents and study hazards to the local environment and its resources. Simulations of surface oil spills were conducted in south-east of the Barents Sea to identify oil pollution trajectories. The objective of this research was to focus on one geographical location, which lies along popular maritime routes and also borders with sensitive ecological marine and terrestrial areas. As a sample of traditional heavy bunker oil, IFO-180LS (2014) was selected for the study of oil spills and used for the 30-year simulations. The second oil case was medium oil type: Volve (2006)—to give a broader picture for oil spill accident scenarios. Simulations for four annual seasons were run with the open source OpenDrift modelling tool using oceanographic and atmospheric data from the period of 1988–2018. The modelling produced a 30-year probability map, which was overlapped with environmental data of the area to discuss likely impacts to local marine ecosystems, applicable oil spill response tools and favourable shipping seasons. Based on available data regarding the environmental and socio-economic baselines of the studied region, we recommend to address potential threats to marine resources and local communities in more detail in a separate study.
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spelling doaj.art-c072f2c896554fecb1b784015785ce482022-12-22T01:48:17ZengMDPI AGResources2079-92762021-12-01111110.3390/resources11010001A 30-Year Probability Map for Oil Spill Trajectories in the Barents Sea to Assess Potential Environmental and Socio-Economic ThreatsVictor Pavlov0Victor Cesar Martins de Aguiar1Lars Robert Hole2Eva Pongrácz3Water, Energy and Environmental Engineering Research Unit, University of Oulu, P.O. Box 4300, FI-90014 Oulu, FinlandDepartment of Physics and Technology, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, N-9037 Tromso, NorwayOceanography and Marine Meteorology, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 7800, N-5020 Bergen, NorwayWater, Energy and Environmental Engineering Research Unit, University of Oulu, P.O. Box 4300, FI-90014 Oulu, FinlandIncreasing exploration and exploitation activity in the Arctic Ocean has intensified maritime traffic in the Barents Sea. Due to the sparse population and insufficient oil spill response infrastructure on the extensive Barents Sea shoreline, it is necessary to address the possibility of offshore accidents and study hazards to the local environment and its resources. Simulations of surface oil spills were conducted in south-east of the Barents Sea to identify oil pollution trajectories. The objective of this research was to focus on one geographical location, which lies along popular maritime routes and also borders with sensitive ecological marine and terrestrial areas. As a sample of traditional heavy bunker oil, IFO-180LS (2014) was selected for the study of oil spills and used for the 30-year simulations. The second oil case was medium oil type: Volve (2006)—to give a broader picture for oil spill accident scenarios. Simulations for four annual seasons were run with the open source OpenDrift modelling tool using oceanographic and atmospheric data from the period of 1988–2018. The modelling produced a 30-year probability map, which was overlapped with environmental data of the area to discuss likely impacts to local marine ecosystems, applicable oil spill response tools and favourable shipping seasons. Based on available data regarding the environmental and socio-economic baselines of the studied region, we recommend to address potential threats to marine resources and local communities in more detail in a separate study.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-9276/11/1/1Arctic marine resourcesoil driftOpenDriftOpenOiloil spill simulations
spellingShingle Victor Pavlov
Victor Cesar Martins de Aguiar
Lars Robert Hole
Eva Pongrácz
A 30-Year Probability Map for Oil Spill Trajectories in the Barents Sea to Assess Potential Environmental and Socio-Economic Threats
Resources
Arctic marine resources
oil drift
OpenDrift
OpenOil
oil spill simulations
title A 30-Year Probability Map for Oil Spill Trajectories in the Barents Sea to Assess Potential Environmental and Socio-Economic Threats
title_full A 30-Year Probability Map for Oil Spill Trajectories in the Barents Sea to Assess Potential Environmental and Socio-Economic Threats
title_fullStr A 30-Year Probability Map for Oil Spill Trajectories in the Barents Sea to Assess Potential Environmental and Socio-Economic Threats
title_full_unstemmed A 30-Year Probability Map for Oil Spill Trajectories in the Barents Sea to Assess Potential Environmental and Socio-Economic Threats
title_short A 30-Year Probability Map for Oil Spill Trajectories in the Barents Sea to Assess Potential Environmental and Socio-Economic Threats
title_sort 30 year probability map for oil spill trajectories in the barents sea to assess potential environmental and socio economic threats
topic Arctic marine resources
oil drift
OpenDrift
OpenOil
oil spill simulations
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-9276/11/1/1
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