The Value of Early and Follow-Up Elevated Scores Based on Peripheral Complete Blood Cell Count for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients

Background: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has put a constant strain on hospital resources, so there is a dire need for investigation methods that are widely available and that can predict mortality and the need for critical care. Hematological indices, which can be easily calculated from a complete...

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Main Authors: Andrei-Costin Chelariu, Adorata Elena Coman, Catalina Lionte, Victoria Gorciac, Victorita Sorodoc, Raluca Ecaterina Haliga, Ovidiu Rusalim Petris, Cristina Bologa, Gabriela Puha, Alexandra Stoica, Mihai Constantin, Oana Sirbu, Alexandr Ceasovschih, Laurentiu Sorodoc
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Personalized Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/12/12/2037
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author Andrei-Costin Chelariu
Adorata Elena Coman
Catalina Lionte
Victoria Gorciac
Victorita Sorodoc
Raluca Ecaterina Haliga
Ovidiu Rusalim Petris
Cristina Bologa
Gabriela Puha
Alexandra Stoica
Mihai Constantin
Oana Sirbu
Alexandr Ceasovschih
Laurentiu Sorodoc
author_facet Andrei-Costin Chelariu
Adorata Elena Coman
Catalina Lionte
Victoria Gorciac
Victorita Sorodoc
Raluca Ecaterina Haliga
Ovidiu Rusalim Petris
Cristina Bologa
Gabriela Puha
Alexandra Stoica
Mihai Constantin
Oana Sirbu
Alexandr Ceasovschih
Laurentiu Sorodoc
author_sort Andrei-Costin Chelariu
collection DOAJ
description Background: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has put a constant strain on hospital resources, so there is a dire need for investigation methods that are widely available and that can predict mortality and the need for critical care. Hematological indices, which can be easily calculated from a complete blood count (CBC), are useful in determining a patient’s inflammatory response to infectious diseases. Aim: This was a prospective cohort study that aimed to assess the prognostic value of scores based on CBCs in hospitalized patients with mild or moderate COVID-19 and medical comorbidities regarding the need for intensive care unit (ICU) therapy and short-term mortality. Methods: We included 607 patients with confirmed COVID-19, followed up for the need for ICU admission (15.5%) and 30 day mortality post-discharge (21.7%). CBC-derived scores were tested upon emergency department (ED) admission and after a median of 8 days. Results: In a multivariate model, elevated followed-up neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) predicted increased odds for ICU admission (OR: 1.14 [95%CI: 1.06–1.22], <i>p</i> < 0.001) and short-term mortality (OR: 1.30 [95%CI: 1.09–1.57], <i>p</i> = 0.005). Monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) predicted 2.5-fold increased odds for ICU admission and 2.2-fold increased odds for mortality. Conclusion: NLR and MLR followed up 8 days post-admission are predictive for adverse outcomes in mild or moderate COVID-19 patients.
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spelling doaj.art-c08ef1e67bbc497a8711cadbb70ce6132023-11-24T16:02:34ZengMDPI AGJournal of Personalized Medicine2075-44262022-12-011212203710.3390/jpm12122037The Value of Early and Follow-Up Elevated Scores Based on Peripheral Complete Blood Cell Count for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 PatientsAndrei-Costin Chelariu0Adorata Elena Coman1Catalina Lionte2Victoria Gorciac3Victorita Sorodoc4Raluca Ecaterina Haliga5Ovidiu Rusalim Petris6Cristina Bologa7Gabriela Puha8Alexandra Stoica9Mihai Constantin10Oana Sirbu11Alexandr Ceasovschih12Laurentiu Sorodoc13Hematology Department, Regional Institute of Oncology, 700483 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaInternal Medicine Department, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy Iasi, 700115 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaInternal Medicine Department, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy Iasi, 700115 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaSecond Internal Medicine Clinic, “Sf. Spiridon” Emergency Clinical County Hospital, 700111 Iasi, RomaniaBackground: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has put a constant strain on hospital resources, so there is a dire need for investigation methods that are widely available and that can predict mortality and the need for critical care. Hematological indices, which can be easily calculated from a complete blood count (CBC), are useful in determining a patient’s inflammatory response to infectious diseases. Aim: This was a prospective cohort study that aimed to assess the prognostic value of scores based on CBCs in hospitalized patients with mild or moderate COVID-19 and medical comorbidities regarding the need for intensive care unit (ICU) therapy and short-term mortality. Methods: We included 607 patients with confirmed COVID-19, followed up for the need for ICU admission (15.5%) and 30 day mortality post-discharge (21.7%). CBC-derived scores were tested upon emergency department (ED) admission and after a median of 8 days. Results: In a multivariate model, elevated followed-up neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) predicted increased odds for ICU admission (OR: 1.14 [95%CI: 1.06–1.22], <i>p</i> < 0.001) and short-term mortality (OR: 1.30 [95%CI: 1.09–1.57], <i>p</i> = 0.005). Monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) predicted 2.5-fold increased odds for ICU admission and 2.2-fold increased odds for mortality. Conclusion: NLR and MLR followed up 8 days post-admission are predictive for adverse outcomes in mild or moderate COVID-19 patients.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/12/12/2037critical careshort-term mortalityneutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratiomonocyte-to-lymphocyte ratioCOVID-19outcome
spellingShingle Andrei-Costin Chelariu
Adorata Elena Coman
Catalina Lionte
Victoria Gorciac
Victorita Sorodoc
Raluca Ecaterina Haliga
Ovidiu Rusalim Petris
Cristina Bologa
Gabriela Puha
Alexandra Stoica
Mihai Constantin
Oana Sirbu
Alexandr Ceasovschih
Laurentiu Sorodoc
The Value of Early and Follow-Up Elevated Scores Based on Peripheral Complete Blood Cell Count for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients
Journal of Personalized Medicine
critical care
short-term mortality
neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio
monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio
COVID-19
outcome
title The Value of Early and Follow-Up Elevated Scores Based on Peripheral Complete Blood Cell Count for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients
title_full The Value of Early and Follow-Up Elevated Scores Based on Peripheral Complete Blood Cell Count for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients
title_fullStr The Value of Early and Follow-Up Elevated Scores Based on Peripheral Complete Blood Cell Count for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients
title_full_unstemmed The Value of Early and Follow-Up Elevated Scores Based on Peripheral Complete Blood Cell Count for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients
title_short The Value of Early and Follow-Up Elevated Scores Based on Peripheral Complete Blood Cell Count for Predicting Adverse Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients
title_sort value of early and follow up elevated scores based on peripheral complete blood cell count for predicting adverse outcomes in covid 19 patients
topic critical care
short-term mortality
neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio
monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio
COVID-19
outcome
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/12/12/2037
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