Application of Generalized Polynomial Chaos for Quantification of Uncertainties of Time Averages and Their Sensitivities in Chaotic Systems

In this paper, we consider the effect of stochastic uncertainties on non-linear systems with chaotic behavior. More specifically, we quantify the effect of parametric uncertainties to time-averaged quantities and their sensitivities. Sampling methods for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), such as the...

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Main Authors: Kyriakos Dimitrios Kantarakias, George Papadakis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-04-01
Series:Algorithms
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/13/4/90
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author Kyriakos Dimitrios Kantarakias
George Papadakis
author_facet Kyriakos Dimitrios Kantarakias
George Papadakis
author_sort Kyriakos Dimitrios Kantarakias
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we consider the effect of stochastic uncertainties on non-linear systems with chaotic behavior. More specifically, we quantify the effect of parametric uncertainties to time-averaged quantities and their sensitivities. Sampling methods for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), such as the Monte–Carlo (MC), are very costly, while traditional methods for sensitivity analysis, such as the adjoint, fail in chaotic systems. In this work, we employ the non-intrusive generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) for UQ, coupled with the Multiple-Shooting Shadowing (MSS) algorithm for sensitivity analysis of chaotic systems. It is shown that the gPC, coupled with MSS, is an appropriate method for conducting UQ in chaotic systems and produces results that match well with those from MC and Finite-Differences (FD).
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spelling doaj.art-c09f5c37515b4174beb286d140c96faa2023-11-19T21:27:41ZengMDPI AGAlgorithms1999-48932020-04-011349010.3390/a13040090Application of Generalized Polynomial Chaos for Quantification of Uncertainties of Time Averages and Their Sensitivities in Chaotic SystemsKyriakos Dimitrios Kantarakias0George Papadakis1Department of Aeronautics, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UKDepartment of Aeronautics, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UKIn this paper, we consider the effect of stochastic uncertainties on non-linear systems with chaotic behavior. More specifically, we quantify the effect of parametric uncertainties to time-averaged quantities and their sensitivities. Sampling methods for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), such as the Monte–Carlo (MC), are very costly, while traditional methods for sensitivity analysis, such as the adjoint, fail in chaotic systems. In this work, we employ the non-intrusive generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) for UQ, coupled with the Multiple-Shooting Shadowing (MSS) algorithm for sensitivity analysis of chaotic systems. It is shown that the gPC, coupled with MSS, is an appropriate method for conducting UQ in chaotic systems and produces results that match well with those from MC and Finite-Differences (FD).https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/13/4/90uncertainty quantificationchaosgeneralized polynomial chaosmultiple shooting shadowingsensitivity analysisMonte–Carlo
spellingShingle Kyriakos Dimitrios Kantarakias
George Papadakis
Application of Generalized Polynomial Chaos for Quantification of Uncertainties of Time Averages and Their Sensitivities in Chaotic Systems
Algorithms
uncertainty quantification
chaos
generalized polynomial chaos
multiple shooting shadowing
sensitivity analysis
Monte–Carlo
title Application of Generalized Polynomial Chaos for Quantification of Uncertainties of Time Averages and Their Sensitivities in Chaotic Systems
title_full Application of Generalized Polynomial Chaos for Quantification of Uncertainties of Time Averages and Their Sensitivities in Chaotic Systems
title_fullStr Application of Generalized Polynomial Chaos for Quantification of Uncertainties of Time Averages and Their Sensitivities in Chaotic Systems
title_full_unstemmed Application of Generalized Polynomial Chaos for Quantification of Uncertainties of Time Averages and Their Sensitivities in Chaotic Systems
title_short Application of Generalized Polynomial Chaos for Quantification of Uncertainties of Time Averages and Their Sensitivities in Chaotic Systems
title_sort application of generalized polynomial chaos for quantification of uncertainties of time averages and their sensitivities in chaotic systems
topic uncertainty quantification
chaos
generalized polynomial chaos
multiple shooting shadowing
sensitivity analysis
Monte–Carlo
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/13/4/90
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