Survival Probability and Survival Benefit Associated With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter‐Defibrillator Generator Changes

Background As patients derive variable benefit from generator changes (GCs) of implantable cardioverter‐defibrillators (ICDs) with an original primary prevention (PP) indication, better predictors of outcomes are needed. Methods and Results In the National Cardiovascular Data Registry ICD Registry,...

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Main Authors: Kenneth C. Bilchick, Yongfei Wang, Jeptha P. Curtis, Ramin Shadman, Todd F. Dardas, Inder Anand, Lars H. Lund, Ulf Dahlström, Ulrik Sartipy, Wayne C. Levy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-07-01
Series:Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.121.023743
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author Kenneth C. Bilchick
Yongfei Wang
Jeptha P. Curtis
Ramin Shadman
Todd F. Dardas
Inder Anand
Lars H. Lund
Ulf Dahlström
Ulrik Sartipy
Wayne C. Levy
author_facet Kenneth C. Bilchick
Yongfei Wang
Jeptha P. Curtis
Ramin Shadman
Todd F. Dardas
Inder Anand
Lars H. Lund
Ulf Dahlström
Ulrik Sartipy
Wayne C. Levy
author_sort Kenneth C. Bilchick
collection DOAJ
description Background As patients derive variable benefit from generator changes (GCs) of implantable cardioverter‐defibrillators (ICDs) with an original primary prevention (PP) indication, better predictors of outcomes are needed. Methods and Results In the National Cardiovascular Data Registry ICD Registry, patients undergoing GCs of initial non‐cardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs in 2012 to 2016, predictors of post‐GC survival and survival benefit versus control heart failure patients without ICDs were assessed. These included predicted annual mortality based on the Seattle Heart Failure Model, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >35%, and the probability that a patient's death would be arrhythmic (proportional risk of arrhythmic death [PRAD]). In 40 933 patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs (age 67.7±12.0 years, 24.5% women, 34.1% with LVEF >35%), Seattle Heart Failure Model–predicted annual mortality had the greatest effect size for decreased post‐GC survival (P<0.0001). Patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs with LVEF >35% had a lower Seattle Heart Failure Model–adjusted survival versus 23 472 control heart failure patients without ICDs (model interaction hazard ratio, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.11–1.31]). In patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchonization therapy PP ICDs with LVEF ≤35%, the model indicated worse survival versus controls in the 21% of patients with a PRAD <43% and improved survival in the 10% with PRAD >65%. The association of the PRAD with survival benefit or harm was similar in patients with or without pre‐GC ICD therapies. Conclusions Patients who received replacement of an ICD originally implanted for primary prevention and had at the time of GC either LVEF >35% alone or both LVEF ≤35% and PRAD <43% had worse survival versus controls without ICDs.
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spelling doaj.art-c0b3c80126df4503a22e1382c3937db22023-02-10T09:15:42ZengWileyJournal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease2047-99802022-07-01111310.1161/JAHA.121.023743Survival Probability and Survival Benefit Associated With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter‐Defibrillator Generator ChangesKenneth C. Bilchick0Yongfei Wang1Jeptha P. Curtis2Ramin Shadman3Todd F. Dardas4Inder Anand5Lars H. Lund6Ulf Dahlström7Ulrik Sartipy8Wayne C. Levy9Department of Medicine University of Virginia Health System Charlottesville VACenter for Outcomes Research and Evaluation Yale‐New Haven Hospital New Haven CTCenter for Outcomes Research and Evaluation Yale‐New Haven Hospital New Haven CTSouthern California Permanente Medical Group Los Angeles CTDepartment of Medicine University of Washington Seattle WAUniversity of Minnesota Minneapolis MNDepartment of Medicine/Cardiology Karolinska University Hospital Stockholm SwedenDepartment of Cardiology and Department of Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences Linkoping University Linkoping SwedenDepartment of Molecular Medicine and Surgery Karolinska Institutet Stockholm SwedenDepartment of Medicine University of Washington Seattle WABackground As patients derive variable benefit from generator changes (GCs) of implantable cardioverter‐defibrillators (ICDs) with an original primary prevention (PP) indication, better predictors of outcomes are needed. Methods and Results In the National Cardiovascular Data Registry ICD Registry, patients undergoing GCs of initial non‐cardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs in 2012 to 2016, predictors of post‐GC survival and survival benefit versus control heart failure patients without ICDs were assessed. These included predicted annual mortality based on the Seattle Heart Failure Model, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >35%, and the probability that a patient's death would be arrhythmic (proportional risk of arrhythmic death [PRAD]). In 40 933 patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs (age 67.7±12.0 years, 24.5% women, 34.1% with LVEF >35%), Seattle Heart Failure Model–predicted annual mortality had the greatest effect size for decreased post‐GC survival (P<0.0001). Patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs with LVEF >35% had a lower Seattle Heart Failure Model–adjusted survival versus 23 472 control heart failure patients without ICDs (model interaction hazard ratio, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.11–1.31]). In patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchonization therapy PP ICDs with LVEF ≤35%, the model indicated worse survival versus controls in the 21% of patients with a PRAD <43% and improved survival in the 10% with PRAD >65%. The association of the PRAD with survival benefit or harm was similar in patients with or without pre‐GC ICD therapies. Conclusions Patients who received replacement of an ICD originally implanted for primary prevention and had at the time of GC either LVEF >35% alone or both LVEF ≤35% and PRAD <43% had worse survival versus controls without ICDs.https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.121.023743generator changeheart failureimplantable cardioverter‐defibrillatorleft ventricular ejection fractionrisk scorerisk stratification
spellingShingle Kenneth C. Bilchick
Yongfei Wang
Jeptha P. Curtis
Ramin Shadman
Todd F. Dardas
Inder Anand
Lars H. Lund
Ulf Dahlström
Ulrik Sartipy
Wayne C. Levy
Survival Probability and Survival Benefit Associated With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter‐Defibrillator Generator Changes
Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
generator change
heart failure
implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator
left ventricular ejection fraction
risk score
risk stratification
title Survival Probability and Survival Benefit Associated With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter‐Defibrillator Generator Changes
title_full Survival Probability and Survival Benefit Associated With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter‐Defibrillator Generator Changes
title_fullStr Survival Probability and Survival Benefit Associated With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter‐Defibrillator Generator Changes
title_full_unstemmed Survival Probability and Survival Benefit Associated With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter‐Defibrillator Generator Changes
title_short Survival Probability and Survival Benefit Associated With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter‐Defibrillator Generator Changes
title_sort survival probability and survival benefit associated with primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator generator changes
topic generator change
heart failure
implantable cardioverter‐defibrillator
left ventricular ejection fraction
risk score
risk stratification
url https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.121.023743
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