The Impact of Threat Perception on Military Strategy: The Case of Türkiye during the Cold War Era

Military Strategy is the process of matching the resources provided to military power according to the threat. Threat is about the future rather than the present and involves an assessment based on the predictions. In a sense, it is perception. When perception is far from reality, it leads to unnece...

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Main Author: Osman Gazi Kandemir
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Milli Savunma Üniversitesi 2023-12-01
Series:Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/3295859
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author Osman Gazi Kandemir
author_facet Osman Gazi Kandemir
author_sort Osman Gazi Kandemir
collection DOAJ
description Military Strategy is the process of matching the resources provided to military power according to the threat. Threat is about the future rather than the present and involves an assessment based on the predictions. In a sense, it is perception. When perception is far from reality, it leads to unnecessary waste of resources or, conversely, to increased risks for countries. This study aims to explain the impact of threat perception on military strategy during the Cold War period through the case of Türkiye. The findings obtained through document analysis are supported by interviews with retired military officers specialized in military strategy. According to the main argument of the article, Türkiye’s threat perception during the Cold War was determined by the United States (US) and Türkiye’s defence design was based on this threat created by the US. Questioning the dimensions and accuracy of the threat revealed that the threat was overestimated. One of the reasons why the US overestimated the Soviet threat was its need to appropriate its resources by distributing the need for conventional power among its allies, and another reason was its desire to keep the Alliance under control. However, countries like Türkiye had to spend more strategic resources on military power than necessary.
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spelling doaj.art-c0b8b3b325dc40d7975d8c743fd1ec662024-01-04T08:40:13ZdeuMilli Savunma ÜniversitesiGüvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi1305-47402822-69842023-12-01194656158310.17752/guvenlikstrtj.1334816The Impact of Threat Perception on Military Strategy: The Case of Türkiye during the Cold War EraOsman Gazi Kandemirhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6283-6861Military Strategy is the process of matching the resources provided to military power according to the threat. Threat is about the future rather than the present and involves an assessment based on the predictions. In a sense, it is perception. When perception is far from reality, it leads to unnecessary waste of resources or, conversely, to increased risks for countries. This study aims to explain the impact of threat perception on military strategy during the Cold War period through the case of Türkiye. The findings obtained through document analysis are supported by interviews with retired military officers specialized in military strategy. According to the main argument of the article, Türkiye’s threat perception during the Cold War was determined by the United States (US) and Türkiye’s defence design was based on this threat created by the US. Questioning the dimensions and accuracy of the threat revealed that the threat was overestimated. One of the reasons why the US overestimated the Soviet threat was its need to appropriate its resources by distributing the need for conventional power among its allies, and another reason was its desire to keep the Alliance under control. However, countries like Türkiye had to spend more strategic resources on military power than necessary.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/3295859military strategythreat perceptiontürkiye-us military relationstransformation of armiescold war
spellingShingle Osman Gazi Kandemir
The Impact of Threat Perception on Military Strategy: The Case of Türkiye during the Cold War Era
Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi
military strategy
threat perception
türkiye-us military relations
transformation of armies
cold war
title The Impact of Threat Perception on Military Strategy: The Case of Türkiye during the Cold War Era
title_full The Impact of Threat Perception on Military Strategy: The Case of Türkiye during the Cold War Era
title_fullStr The Impact of Threat Perception on Military Strategy: The Case of Türkiye during the Cold War Era
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Threat Perception on Military Strategy: The Case of Türkiye during the Cold War Era
title_short The Impact of Threat Perception on Military Strategy: The Case of Türkiye during the Cold War Era
title_sort impact of threat perception on military strategy the case of turkiye during the cold war era
topic military strategy
threat perception
türkiye-us military relations
transformation of armies
cold war
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/3295859
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