The Impact of Coskewness and Cokurtosis as Augmentation Factors in Modeling Colombian Electricity Price Returns

This paper explores the empirical validity of an augmented volume model for Colombian electricity price returns (in the present study, the definition of returns is simply the “rate of change” of observed prices for different periods). Of particular interest is the impact of coskewness and cokurtosis...

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Main Authors: Edgardo Cayon, Julio Sarmiento
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-09-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/19/6930
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author Edgardo Cayon
Julio Sarmiento
author_facet Edgardo Cayon
Julio Sarmiento
author_sort Edgardo Cayon
collection DOAJ
description This paper explores the empirical validity of an augmented volume model for Colombian electricity price returns (in the present study, the definition of returns is simply the “rate of change” of observed prices for different periods). Of particular interest is the impact of coskewness and cokurtosis when modeling Colombian electricity price returns. We found that coskewness as an augmentation factor is highly significant and should be considered when modeling Colombian electricity price returns. The results obtained for coskewness as an augmentation factor in a volume model are consistent when using either an Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) specification for the data employed. On the other hand, the effect of cokurtosis is highly irrelevant and not significant in most cases under the proposed specification.
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spelling doaj.art-c0c8e97f0bb3444697dbf49d4d249e182023-11-23T20:10:16ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732022-09-011519693010.3390/en15196930The Impact of Coskewness and Cokurtosis as Augmentation Factors in Modeling Colombian Electricity Price ReturnsEdgardo Cayon0Julio Sarmiento1Finance Department, CESA Business School, Bogotá 111311, ColombiaBusiness Department, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá 110231, ColombiaThis paper explores the empirical validity of an augmented volume model for Colombian electricity price returns (in the present study, the definition of returns is simply the “rate of change” of observed prices for different periods). Of particular interest is the impact of coskewness and cokurtosis when modeling Colombian electricity price returns. We found that coskewness as an augmentation factor is highly significant and should be considered when modeling Colombian electricity price returns. The results obtained for coskewness as an augmentation factor in a volume model are consistent when using either an Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) specification for the data employed. On the other hand, the effect of cokurtosis is highly irrelevant and not significant in most cases under the proposed specification.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/19/6930electricity marketsasset pricinghigher moments
spellingShingle Edgardo Cayon
Julio Sarmiento
The Impact of Coskewness and Cokurtosis as Augmentation Factors in Modeling Colombian Electricity Price Returns
Energies
electricity markets
asset pricing
higher moments
title The Impact of Coskewness and Cokurtosis as Augmentation Factors in Modeling Colombian Electricity Price Returns
title_full The Impact of Coskewness and Cokurtosis as Augmentation Factors in Modeling Colombian Electricity Price Returns
title_fullStr The Impact of Coskewness and Cokurtosis as Augmentation Factors in Modeling Colombian Electricity Price Returns
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Coskewness and Cokurtosis as Augmentation Factors in Modeling Colombian Electricity Price Returns
title_short The Impact of Coskewness and Cokurtosis as Augmentation Factors in Modeling Colombian Electricity Price Returns
title_sort impact of coskewness and cokurtosis as augmentation factors in modeling colombian electricity price returns
topic electricity markets
asset pricing
higher moments
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/19/6930
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