Gravitational model: analysis of mutual trade of the Eurasian Economic Union countries

This study presents the aggregative data analysis concerning foreign trade of the Eurasian Economic Union (hereinafter referred to as EAEU) countries. A gravity model of the foreign trade in several modifications between 2011 and 2019 (the period before the COVID-19 pandemic) was applied. On the bas...

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Main Authors: O. N. Zhilkin, S. A. Balashova, A. A. Abramova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Publishing House of the State University of Management 2023-12-01
Series:Вестник университета
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4880
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author O. N. Zhilkin
S. A. Balashova
A. A. Abramova
author_facet O. N. Zhilkin
S. A. Balashova
A. A. Abramova
author_sort O. N. Zhilkin
collection DOAJ
description This study presents the aggregative data analysis concerning foreign trade of the Eurasian Economic Union (hereinafter referred to as EAEU) countries. A gravity model of the foreign trade in several modifications between 2011 and 2019 (the period before the COVID-19 pandemic) was applied. On the basis of the conducted research it was discovered how fast the impact of the distance factor between foreign economic partners decreases with consideration to the time factor. Also those industries and spheres of activity were identified where the factor may be the least important or where the model is not applicable at all. Besides, the authors gave recommendations to include additional factors in the gravitational model if it is applied for analysis and forecasting of foreign trade with border states or states that are not part of the EAEU.
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spelling doaj.art-c1a0a4c8b8174288908beeabf19c6f692024-03-26T14:23:16ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152023-12-0101117918710.26425/1816-4277-2023-11-179-1872955Gravitational model: analysis of mutual trade of the Eurasian Economic Union countriesO. N. Zhilkin0S. A. Balashova1A. A. Abramova2RUDN UniversityRUDN UniversityRUDN UniversityThis study presents the aggregative data analysis concerning foreign trade of the Eurasian Economic Union (hereinafter referred to as EAEU) countries. A gravity model of the foreign trade in several modifications between 2011 and 2019 (the period before the COVID-19 pandemic) was applied. On the basis of the conducted research it was discovered how fast the impact of the distance factor between foreign economic partners decreases with consideration to the time factor. Also those industries and spheres of activity were identified where the factor may be the least important or where the model is not applicable at all. Besides, the authors gave recommendations to include additional factors in the gravitational model if it is applied for analysis and forecasting of foreign trade with border states or states that are not part of the EAEU.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4880gravitational model of the economyforeign tradeeconometric methodspanel dataeurasian economic union (eeu countries) countriestrade and economic relationsdistance factormutual export
spellingShingle O. N. Zhilkin
S. A. Balashova
A. A. Abramova
Gravitational model: analysis of mutual trade of the Eurasian Economic Union countries
Вестник университета
gravitational model of the economy
foreign trade
econometric methods
panel data
eurasian economic union (eeu countries) countries
trade and economic relations
distance factor
mutual export
title Gravitational model: analysis of mutual trade of the Eurasian Economic Union countries
title_full Gravitational model: analysis of mutual trade of the Eurasian Economic Union countries
title_fullStr Gravitational model: analysis of mutual trade of the Eurasian Economic Union countries
title_full_unstemmed Gravitational model: analysis of mutual trade of the Eurasian Economic Union countries
title_short Gravitational model: analysis of mutual trade of the Eurasian Economic Union countries
title_sort gravitational model analysis of mutual trade of the eurasian economic union countries
topic gravitational model of the economy
foreign trade
econometric methods
panel data
eurasian economic union (eeu countries) countries
trade and economic relations
distance factor
mutual export
url https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4880
work_keys_str_mv AT onzhilkin gravitationalmodelanalysisofmutualtradeoftheeurasianeconomicunioncountries
AT sabalashova gravitationalmodelanalysisofmutualtradeoftheeurasianeconomicunioncountries
AT aaabramova gravitationalmodelanalysisofmutualtradeoftheeurasianeconomicunioncountries